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Atlantic low pressure systems are forecast to push in, bringing unsettled or changeable conditions. Most of the rain looks to arrive later in the period, after a largely dry start.
The period begins settled, turning changeable around Thursday 8 October.
Temperatures look well below average for October, with daytime highs typically only in the low teens. Temperatures will peak on Sunday 4 October, reaching 15°C. The coldest nights look to come later in the period, potentially near 2°C, subject to change. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
There are signs of a windier spell later in the period, with gusts potentially around 50mph. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 35mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.