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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Most of the rain looks to arrive later in the period, after a largely dry start.
The period begins unsettled, turning settled around Friday 20 November.
Temperatures look well below average for November, with daytime highs typically only in the mid single figures. Even the warmest day, Friday 13 November, only reaches about 8°C, which is chilly for mid-November. Overnight frosts are predicted around Thursday 19 November, with temperatures dipping to 0°C.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 47mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. Rainfall totals could be significant, with around 51mm over the period. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.