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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. A largely dry start is expected, with rain becoming more likely later on.
Daytime highs in the upper teens at first, above average for October, look set to ease back into the mid teens later on, closer to average. Temperatures peak on Monday 5 October at 21°C, warm for early October, before a sharp drop in daytime temperatures around Wednesday 7 October brings fresher conditions. Thursday 8 October sees the lowest temperatures, though remaining above 8°C.
There are signs of a windier spell later in the period, with gusts potentially around 48mph. There will be some wet spells, with rainfall totals near 34mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.