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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Rain will feature on several days, interspersed with drier spells.
The period begins settled, turning changeable around Saturday 10 October, then settled during the second week.
It looks set to be on the chilly side for October, with daytime highs typically in the low teens. The warmest weather looks to come later in the period, potentially around 16°C, subject to considerable change. A sharp drop in overnight temperatures looks likely during the second week. There are hints of colder nights later on, with minimums possibly around 3°C. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
A blustery spell is expected around Friday 9 October, bringing gusts of 40mph. Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 64mm over the period. The wettest conditions are forecast on Friday 9 October. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.