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A mixed pressure pattern is likely, leading to changeable weather. Spells of rainfall look frequent, with wet conditions on many days.
The period begins settled, turning unsettled around Friday 9 October, then changeable during the second week.
Overnight lows are set to drop through the period.
Temperatures look well below average for October, with daytime highs typically only in the low teens. Highs peak at only around 13°C on Sunday 4 October, which is chilly for early October. The chilliest spell comes on Thursday 8 October, with minimums near 2°C, which is very chilly for early October. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 43mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 125mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.