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A mixed pressure pattern may well develop, leading to changeable weather. Spells of rainfall look frequent, with wet conditions on many days.
Daytime highs in the low teens at first, well below average for October, look set to ease back into the upper single figures later on, well below average. There are hints of temperatures reaching around 14°C later on, but the detail that far ahead is uncertain. A sharp drop in daytime temperatures looks likely during the second week. There are hints of colder nights later on, with minimums possibly around 3°C. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 249mm over the period. The wettest conditions are forecast on Friday 9 October.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.