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A mixed pressure pattern may well develop, leading to changeable weather. Most of the rain looks to arrive later in the period, after a largely dry start.
The period begins settled, turning changeable around Friday 9 October, then settled during the second week.
It looks set to be on the chilly side for October, with daytime highs typically in the low teens. The relative high point comes on Monday 5 October, with temperatures around 17°C. A sharp drop in overnight temperatures is forecast around Tuesday 6 October. There are hints of colder nights later on, with minimums possibly around 3°C. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
There are signs of a windier spell later in the period, with gusts potentially around 42mph. Rainfall totals could be significant, with around 55mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.