Will it thunder in California, Buckinghamshire?

The thunderstorm forecast percentage is calculated by combining data from several computer models.

Short range

Will it thunder today, tomorrow or the day after?

Mon 20 May
0%

Tue 21 May
44%

Medium range

Will it thunder during the following ten days?

Wed 22 May
3%
Thu 23 May
3%
Fri 24 May
0%
Sat 25 May
0%
Sun 26 May
0%
Mon 27 May
3%
Tue 28 May
6%
Wed 29 May
3%
Thu 30 May
3%
Fri 31 May
6%
Sat 01 Jun
6%

Frost, rain, snow, heat and thunder risk

California,buckinghamshire frost

California,buckinghamshire rain

California,buckinghamshire snow

California,buckinghamshire heat

California,buckinghamshire thunder

Full weather forecast

Next 3 days hour by hour

California,buckinghamshire hourly

Next 16 days in 3 hour intervals

California,buckinghamshire 16 day

Select location

UK postcode or place

What is needed for thunderstorms?

Thunderstorms need moisture, an unstable atmosphere and lift, to develop.

Moisture is needed to create the clouds and rain.

The atmosphere needs to be unstable so that the air can rise and cool.

Lift is needed to get the air rising. This can be provided by fronts, sea breezes, mountains or heating from the sun.

Thunderstorms are most likely to occur in the summer months when the air is warm and moist. They are most likely to occur in the afternoon and evening when the sun has had time to heat the ground.

If you would like more in-depth information check our extensive range of Numerical Weather Prediction model data

To check the complete weather forecast use the Place, postcode or geolocation options in the header.



COMPUTER MODELS

INFO

Short range
Short to medium range
Medium to long range
Deterministic
Ensemble

See the Model inventory for the full list of model charts and data