UK Seasonal Outlook

First half

After a dry start more changeable conditions develop. They lead to showers or longer outbreaks of rain, but it may stay mostly dry in Scotland. During the second week the rain risk becomes focused on the northern half of the UK. In the south it should often be dry and warm. Temperatures slightly above the average taken over the period as a whole.

Second half

Unsettled conditions are expected to develop, with wet and windy spells resulting, particularly in the north west. Later on a transition to drier and more settled conditions is favoured, especially in the south and west. Temperatures are forecast to be slightly above the average in the south and close to it in the north.

October

Temperature:

Above average.

Precipitation:

Slightly below average.

First half

A good deal of settled weather is forecast early on and it could be quite warm for the time of year on some days. Later on the risk of wet and windy periods increases, particularly in the north. Temperatures as a whole are expected to be above the average.

Second half

After a rather mild start with the risk of wet and windy spells, a transition back to more settled weather takes place. Daytime temperatures generally remain above the average, but some chilly nights could lead to patchy frosts. Fog could also start to become an issue. 

November

Temperature:

Close to average.

Precipitation

Close to average.

First half

Rather mild and often dry conditions early on with rain most likely in the west and north west. A change to unsettled weather probably develops and it leads to wet and windy spells. Temperatures generally above the average over the period as a whole.

Second half

After an unsettled start the chance of colder incursions in the north increases. Temperatures in the south remain close to or slightly above the average. Towards the end of the month high pressure may begin to have more influence, with nighttime frosts becoming widespread at times. The chance of sleet or snow falling to low levels, particularly in the north of the UK, is considered to be greater than usual. Temperatures are favoured to be below the average over the period as a whole.