The Weather Outlook

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westv
01 November 2024 09:15:50

Aren't all events local?

Originally Posted by: Devonian 

Hurricanes/typhoons/cylones?

Snowmageddon events? 


Big heat in May

Summer will be spray.

Devonian
01 November 2024 09:21:47

Hurricanes/typhoons/cylones?

Snowmageddon events? 

Originally Posted by: westv 

Well, it depends what 'local' means.

Saint Snow
01 November 2024 17:44:52
UserPostedImage

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Gandalf The White
01 November 2024 23:20:39

Well, it depends what 'local' means.

Originally Posted by: Devonian 

If you mean ‘local’ as opposed to ‘national’ then I’d agree.  But I think there’s space for something in between. 


Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



White Meadows
02 November 2024 07:35:48

It was swept away (on webcam) well before it was covered.

Here's another page documenting the1957 flood which cannot be mentioned in mainstream media as the permissible narrative has been decreed.

.

https://carolineangus.com/2013/10/14/la-riua-october-14-1957-the-flood-that-changed-valencia-forever/ 

There was 20" of rain over 2 days, there was 14" in the recent event though it hasn't stopped yet.

The 1957 storm was far worse so the leaping to blame it on climate change is as usual agenda ridden tosh.

Originally Posted by: four 

The ‘Gota Fria’ was a term coined a long time ago, so mostly agenda driven media articles typically cancel this fact. Its origin dates back to 1886 so the conspiracy deniers have little to cling to this time. 

Hungry Tiger
02 November 2024 20:37:26
Cyprus getting some heavy thunderstorms. Cyprus FB page showing flooded roads.   😞 
Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Ulric
03 November 2024 08:38:19
Local news from Cyprus...

https://cyprus-mail.com/2024/11/02/storms-and-strong-winds-cause-chaos-in-limassol/ 


Solar is only worth it if your roof has toenail fungus.
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
05 November 2024 16:54:47
Saudi Arabia is experiencing an unusual bout of extreme hail storms and heavy rain, turning its typically arid landscapes into scenes resembling winter snowfall.

https://watchers.news/2024/11/04/extreme-hailstorms-turn-saudi-desert-into-rare-winter-wonderland-saudi-arabia/ 

4th item after Cyprus, cf Ulric's post


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Ally Pally Snowman
08 November 2024 11:25:25
https://x.com/volcaholic1 

Terrible floods again in Spain,  this time in Girona.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Gandalf The White
08 November 2024 12:35:20

https://x.com/volcaholic1

Terrible floods again in Spain,  this time in Girona.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

BBC report here: 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crk4zlkdgk8o 

Fortunately no reported deaths but there’s another huge clean up to do and more insurance claims.


Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



tallyho_83
08 November 2024 17:56:18
Well, I am off to Budapest in a few days for 12 days and looking at temperatures looks like I can bring my short sleeves haha 🙂 In fact most of Europe is under warm airmass at the end of November. - This is for fun and and outlier but gosh if this did materialise!?

UserPostedImage


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

picturesareme
12 November 2024 23:09:49
Snow in south Africa in November. Apparently the first time it's happened in 85 years.

https://www.instagram.com/reel/DCHIRBmNMO5/?igsh=MTIzNmNuYzhjZmZoOA== 

Hungry Tiger
13 November 2024 15:47:21
Terrible rain this time in Malaga. Anyone got any totals.  It's looking awful. I'd never be surprised if we're talking many inches in just a couple of hours.    😞 
Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Roger Parsons
14 November 2024 13:56:16

Terrible rain this time in Malaga. Anyone got any totals.  It's looking awful. I'd never be surprised if we're talking many inches in just a couple of hours.    😞 

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

Telegraft on Malaga floods. Updated on 14th.

Spain is still reeling from recent floods that killed over 200 people.

"Residents in Malaga were recovering from heavy flooding after a deluge of up to 180mm of rainfall hit the southern Spanish region in just 12 hours on Wednesday.

Video footage shared on social media showed water cascading through the streets as public transport was suspended in the metropolitan and several neighbourhoods were evacuated.

The swollen Benamargosa river swept dozens of cars away after bursting its banks as heavy rain caused havoc in southern and eastern Spain."

Why has Spain had so much flooding in Malaga and Valencia?

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/why-spain-flooding-dana-115922793.html 


RogerP

West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire

Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.

William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830

Hungry Tiger
15 November 2024 15:37:26

Telegraft on Malaga floods. Updated on 14th.

Spain is still reeling from recent floods that killed over 200 people.

"Residents in Malaga were recovering from heavy flooding after a deluge of up to 180mm of rainfall hit the southern Spanish region in just 12 hours on Wednesday.

Video footage shared on social media showed water cascading through the streets as public transport was suspended in the metropolitan and several neighbourhoods were evacuated.

The swollen Benamargosa river swept dozens of cars away after bursting its banks as heavy rain caused havoc in southern and eastern Spain."

Why has Spain had so much flooding in Malaga and Valencia?

https://uk.yahoo.com/news/why-spain-flooding-dana-115922793.html 

Originally Posted by: Roger Parsons 

Dreadful. Incredible as well.   😞 


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Perthite1
28 November 2024 08:55:48
An early start to the fire season here in Western Australia. The latest incident caused by a fatal car accident 200km north of Perth on Monday. As a result a large bushfire has formed having so far burnt over 42,000 hectares. The coastal town of Cervantes has been evacuated as a 48km long fire front heads towards the town of 500 people. Easterly winds are blowing the fire towards the west coast, but this afternoon a south-westerly sea breeze has formed within a couple of kms from the coast. A very challenging situation is only worsened by wind direction changes like this. More Easterly winds predicted overnight and tomorrow. Over the weekend a cooler westerly reprieve is expected. 

The Himawari 9 satellite image clearly shows the 1000km smoke plume, which I can see on the western horizon from Perth. 

SydneyonTees
28 November 2024 09:52:14
Heatwave conditions in Sydney this week, it hit 40c in the western suburbs yesterday, 38c in Parramatta which is about the mid point between coast and blue mountains and low 30’s on the coast. Night time temps have been oppressive with theme 25c+ until after midnight.

Thunderstorms today and some rain forecast for Friday and Saturday with temps back down to the mid 20’s, but will pop back about 30c again by Sunday.

It’s not so unusual to get hot days in November in Sydney..basically it’s to do with how the high pressure ridge pushes across Australia at this time of year. The higher placement of the ridge allows for a NW wind drag from the centre of Australia as the high exits Australia and enters the Tasman sea. When the monsoon really ramps up over the top end, it has the effect of squashing the high pressure ridge south and rather than NW winds around the high, you get damp humid easterlies which dominate Sydney’s weather between January and March. This is why the bushfire season in Sydney is generally from mid October to early January.

johncs2016
28 November 2024 10:07:08

Heatwave conditions in Sydney this week, it hit 40c in the western suburbs yesterday, 38c in Parramatta which is about the mid point between coast and blue mountains and low 30’s on the coast. Night time temps have been oppressive with theme 25c+ until after midnight.

Thunderstorms today and some rain forecast for Friday and Saturday with temps back down to the mid 20’s, but will pop back about 30c again by Sunday.

It’s not so unusual to get hot days in November in Sydney..basically it’s to do with how the high pressure ridge pushes across Australia at this time of year. The higher placement of the ridge allows for a NW wind drag from the centre of Australia as the high exits Australia and enters the Tasman sea. When the monsoon really ramps up over the top end, it has the effect of squashing the high pressure ridge south and rather than NW winds around the high, you get damp humid easterlies which dominate Sydney’s weather between January and March. This is why the bushfire season in Sydney is generally from mid October to early January.

Originally Posted by: SydneyonTees 

Yes, I can see that summer has arrived big time Down Under and of course, we also have to bear in mind that you're not even into your official meteorological summer just yet (that will happen at the same time as when we enter our own meteorological winter here in the Northern Hemisphere on 1 December).

I therefore hate to imagine what it will be like in your high summer period in January and February as I would imagine that this could be a very scary prospect for you.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

SydneyonTees
28 November 2024 10:28:18

Yes, I can see that summer has arrived big time Down Under and of course, we also have to bear in mind that you're not even into your official meteorological summer just yet (that will happen at the same time as when we enter our own meteorological winter here in the Northern Hemisphere on 1 December).

I therefore hate to imagine what it will be like in your high summer period in January and February as I would imagine that this could be a very scary prospect for you.

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 

Conditions in Sydney after the new year tend to be surprisingly cloudy and wet with high humidity and temps between 25c to 28c. We don’t have the Mediterranean climate Perth and Adelaide have, it’s quite oceanic. The number of times I have been down to circular quay / opera house area and seen glum tourists trudging around in the summer rain. Bushfires around Sydney in Feb and March are unheard of, I have been around here for over 20 years and I have never known it. Having said that temps of around 40c can pop up anytime in the summer, but much more common early.

The cricket test match at the Sydney Cricket Ground is always first week of January and is notorious for wet weather.

johncs2016
28 November 2024 11:08:14

Conditions in Sydney after the new year tend to be surprisingly cloudy and wet with high humidity and temps between 25c to 28c. We don’t have the Mediterranean climate Perth and Adelaide have, it’s quite oceanic. The number of times I have been down to circular quay / opera house area and seen glum tourists trudging around in the summer rain. Bushfires around Sydney in Feb and March are unheard of, I have been around here for over 20 years and I have never known it. Having said that temps of around 40c can pop up anytime in the summer, but much more common early.

The cricket test match at the Sydney Cricket Ground is always first week of January and is notorious for wet weather.

Originally Posted by: SydneyonTees 

If all of that happened here, we would just call that a front-loaded summer but I would imagine that the ENSO state (La Nina/El Nino) would be a major factor here as well.

Here in the UK, we tend to use that as one of the global factors for what our winter in particular might be like. For that, we tend to base that on the conditions during the Northern Hemisphere winter when that is at its peak and since we are about to enter our winter, we are now going into the time of year when that peak would be expected to occur.

However, the UK is a lot further away from the ENSO region than Australia and so, I would expect Australia to be more greatly impacted by that in terms of what its summer will be like.

As far as I know, an El Nino tends to increase the risk of drought and bushfires in Australia whereas La Nina tends to result in wetter weather in Australia, thus increasing the risk of flooding but reducing the risk of drought or bushfires.

At the moment, La Nina has been struggling to form and this looks as though we will be in weak La Nina at most or possibly even ENSO neutral over the course of the coming Northern Hemisphere winter and Southern Hemisphere summer.

It will therefore be interesting to see the effect which this goes on to have on your summer as it would appear as though these bushfires and extremes in temperatures across Australia could at least be partly the result of La Nina failing to take hold as expected. 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Perthite1
28 November 2024 13:48:07

Heatwave conditions in Sydney this week, it hit 40c in the western suburbs yesterday, 38c in Parramatta which is about the mid point between coast and blue mountains and low 30’s on the coast. Night time temps have been oppressive with theme 25c+ until after midnight.

Thunderstorms today and some rain forecast for Friday and Saturday with temps back down to the mid 20’s, but will pop back about 30c again by Sunday.

It’s not so unusual to get hot days in November in Sydney..basically it’s to do with how the high pressure ridge pushes across Australia at this time of year. The higher placement of the ridge allows for a NW wind drag from the centre of Australia as the high exits Australia and enters the Tasman sea. When the monsoon really ramps up over the top end, it has the effect of squashing the high pressure ridge south and rather than NW winds around the high, you get damp humid easterlies which dominate Sydney’s weather between January and March. This is why the bushfire season in Sydney is generally from mid October to early January.

Originally Posted by: SydneyonTees 

Good to have a fellow Aussie here. The January to March period over here in the west is so dry. Not unusual to go the 3 months without any rainfall. Easterly winds dominate bringing the dry heat from the centre. We rely on the sea breezes to alleviate the heat. We are expecting 38c tomorrow. The first hot day of the summer. 

GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
28 November 2024 17:24:10

Conditions in Sydney after the new year tend to be surprisingly cloudy and wet with high humidity and temps between 25c to 28c. We don’t have the Mediterranean climate Perth and Adelaide have, it’s quite oceanic. The number of times I have been down to circular quay / opera house area and seen glum tourists trudging around in the summer rain. Bushfires around Sydney in Feb and March are unheard of, I have been around here for over 20 years and I have never known it. Having said that temps of around 40c can pop up anytime in the summer, but much more common early.

The cricket test match at the Sydney Cricket Ground is always first week of January and is notorious for wet weather.

Originally Posted by: SydneyonTees 

As a youngish lad, I spent close to 2 years travelling around the world from early 1993 to late 1994. 5 months of that was spent living and working in Sydney - from November 93 to March 94. That coincided with the famous bush fires after a prolonged spell of hot dry weather. The fires covered a large area of the eastern seaboard and inland ranges but also spread into Sydney itself. I was living in Coogee Bay which was one of the only parts of Sydney not covered in a pall of smoke. But I was working in the city and we didn't see the sun in our office for a few days because of this. The smell of burning wood was overwhelming too. 

So I experienced quite a long spell of real summer Sydney heat but I do remember that after the fires, the weather reverted to warm and showery - often into the mid to high 20s by day and with fresh easterly sea breezes. 

EDIT: Just found this on Wikipedia ....

This was the only occasion in which a major city, Sydney, had been threatened with total isolation due to fire. At the peak of the fires only the Hume Highway to the southwest remained open.[citation needed] All other road and rail routes out of Sydney were closed. Residents of the entire metropolitan area of Sydney had to contend with ash raining down on them, and the sky remained a blazing orange colour for days afterwards.


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

tierradelfuego
28 November 2024 17:29:58
We're just back from our annual trip to Melbourne, where my wife is from, and it was certainly a lot warmer and drier than usual at this time of year, a worry for the bushfire season in my view, given there were a few already locally.

Obviously Melbourne is cooler than Perth and Sydney, and although we have had 37c before in November we often also have cold wet days around 13 or 14c, but not this year. The warm days were mid-30s but the "cool" days were down to maybe 19c and even where my sister-in-law lives 600m ASL in Mount Macedon it was over 30c on some days, which is unusual before summer starts.

Fingers crossed for all that there is some rain soon as hopefully La Nina will kick in...


Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

Hungry Tiger
06 December 2024 21:26:58
Many reports of some amazing lake effect snowfall in the North East United States and Canada. Many places have had 6 feet of snow in 3 or 4 days. Some amazing photos.   🙂 
Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
06 December 2024 23:05:31
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2024/12/02/lake-effect-snow-bitter-cold-weather-forecast/76699086007/ 


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

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