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Rob K
11 March 2024 14:57:19
This is a cool video. A year of weather as seen from space!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4rRvUXSgnA 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Roger Parsons
14 March 2024 06:38:26
Last week, sky watchers in Texas witnessed a bright display of noctilucent clouds (NLCs). This should be impossible. They were man-made.
See my post in the "Space News" thread in "Science & Nature".
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
Chunky Pea
14 March 2024 22:54:46
Phenomenal intercept by Reed Trimmer in Kansas last night. 'Nader" formed directly over the his crews head. Cloudscapes in the 2nd half the the vid are just beyond incredible. 




Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022
polarwind
15 March 2024 20:34:40

   For more about these storms see -
   https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-us-canada-68577700

  

"The professional standards of science must impose a framework of discipline and at the same time encourage rebellion against it". – Michael Polyani (1962)
"If climate science is sound and accurate, then it should be able to respond effectively to all the points raised…." - Grandad
"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts". - Bertrand Russell
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
"A consensus means that everyone agrees to say collectively what no one believes individually.”- Abba Eban, Israeli diplomat
Dave,Derby
The Beast from the East
16 March 2024 03:34:58
That Reed Timmer guy is still going! I remember watching a doc with him in it back in the early 00s. Who was the famous guy that was killed by a tornado? He was on TV a lot too
 
Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
DEW
  • DEW
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16 March 2024 10:14:21
While researching the family history, and looking through a Google book 'History of the Dundee Banking Company', I came across this in the Memoranda of events for 1780; "From January 12th to 26th, the thermometer in the Botanic Garden, Edinburgh, showed a range of cold from 20 deg to 36 deg below the freezing point; and in Glasgow, a thermometer hung in the air, in Observatory Park, marked even 46 deg below it.

Degrees Fahrenheit, presumably (46 F below = 25 C below); those were the days!
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
DEW
  • DEW
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22 March 2024 07:56:06
Major outbreak of wildfires in Virginia and Maryland
https://news.sky.com/video/virginia-wow-thats-hot-man-drives-alongside-raging-wildfires-in-us-13099651 

That seems rather early in the year, even if the eastern US has has a dry winter (I think I've seen reports of that).
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Perthite1
23 March 2024 06:36:43
Even for Perth and surrounds the last 6 months have been unusually dry. At my location just south of Perth we have recorded 22 mm of rain since October 1st and most of that came in a thunderstorm in January. Today, as with so many other days it’s clear blue skies and sunshine with a warm easterly breeze. Looking to the southern horizon the smoke from a distant bushfire in the forests to the south is burning. The fire risks around here are approaching extreme levels with how dry the vegetation is. It’s time for the rain dance I think. The rains usually arrive here in April or May as we have a Mediterranean climate. However, this does look like the driest summer since the colonials started taking records here which is the 1870s.
scillydave
23 March 2024 16:32:52
An extraordinary temperature record set last night. El Ejido in Spain recorded Europe's highest March minimum at 28.1c as the low!!! It's so far above the old record that it would also beat April's highest minimum for the whole of Europe!!
Absolutely incredible and also frankly frightening as it's a foretaste of the future.


 
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
DEW
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29 March 2024 21:45:02
Ski-ing can be exciting - but this excitement is too much!
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-europe-68695712 

High winds in Italian Alps all but tip skiers out of chair lift - video
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Ally Pally Snowman
Retron
30 March 2024 15:16:34

Remarkable heat in Eastern Europe atm. Belgrade nudging 30c in March.
 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Just look at the forecast for next week - summer-type heat to our east, over a massive area.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp4.png 

I can't help but think we're in for another 40C sooner rather than later... we avoided it last year, but our luck won't hold forever!
Leysdown, north Kent
Ally Pally Snowman
30 March 2024 15:54:30

Just look at the forecast for next week - summer-type heat to our east, over a massive area.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp4.png 

I can't help but think we're in for another 40C sooner rather than later... we avoided it last year, but our luck won't hold forever!

Originally Posted by: Retron 



Could well be, heat records have been tumbling all over the world recently. 
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Jiries
31 March 2024 04:39:30

Could well be, heat records have been tumbling all over the world recently. 
 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 



Yes only the Uk won’t get any heat records at all but more at record summer cold temps rain and very dull. 

One area in a village had reached 31.8 in Cyprus while Nicosia was 29.1C.  This month failed to have a decent warm spring days with full sunshine.
GezM
  • GezM
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31 March 2024 10:02:04

Yes only the Uk won’t get any heat records at all but more at record summer cold temps rain and very dull. 
.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 



Not sure about record UK cold but my initial gut feeling is that much of the extreme heat will stay on the continent this summer. 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Retron
31 March 2024 10:25:02

Not sure about record UK cold but my initial gut feeling is that much of the extreme heat will stay on the continent this summer. 

Originally Posted by: GezM 


I really hope it does, but (as with snow down here) we're aiming for a smaller bullseye each year - in this case, to avoid 35+ temperatures.

We've now had 15 months since the last below-average (61-90) month, and there were 18 months before that... the sheer scale of the warmth these days is incredible.
Leysdown, north Kent
Jiries
31 March 2024 12:56:23

I really hope it does, but (as with snow down here) we're aiming for a smaller bullseye each year - in this case, to avoid 35+ temperatures.

We've now had 15 months since the last below-average (61-90) month, and there were 18 months before that... the sheer scale of the warmth these days is incredible.

Originally Posted by: Retron 



In my book it been below average due to many colder day time in Spring and summer but due to false night time temps will be ignored.  I more consider the day time feeling as were awake, at night no point to take note, we sleeping most of the time.  UK is heading to Faroes Island climate, period.  Below aveage max, below average sunshine and extreme above average unwelcome rainfall that we having now than what we get in 61/90.averages.

33.1C recorded so far in Atheniou, Cyprus one of the village hot spot.  Interesting to read about it Death Valley had a very cool late March day at 19C with rain.  Once agin very interesting stats.

 
The Beast from the East
31 March 2024 13:16:49

I really hope it does, but (as with snow down here) we're aiming for a smaller bullseye each year - in this case, to avoid 35+ temperatures.

We've now had 15 months since the last below-average (61-90) month, and there were 18 months before that... the sheer scale of the warmth these days is incredible.

Originally Posted by: Retron 



But the payoff is of course rain and we've had record amounts since that heatwave in the summer of 22.

I just want a dry period. Doesnt look like thats possible for the foreseable
 
Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
ozone_aurora
31 March 2024 17:57:18

In my book it been below average due to many colder day time in Spring and summer but due to false night time temps will be ignored.  I more consider the day time feeling as were awake, at night no point to take note, we sleeping most of the time.  UK is heading to Faroes Island climate, period.  Below aveage max, below average sunshine and extreme above average unwelcome rainfall that we having now than what we get in 61/90.averages.

33.1C recorded so far in Atheniou, Cyprus one of the village hot spot.  Interesting to read about it Death Valley had a very cool late March day at 19C with rain.  Once agin very interesting stats.

 

Originally Posted by: Jiries 


There seems to be greater contrast between increasingly hot continental interior and cool, wet western/northwestern coastal margins now. I too think the UK's climate will become increasingly cool and dank, more like the Aleutians, or, as you've said, the Faroes. Eastern Europe and western Russia will become hotter and hotter, more like Arkansas or Oklahoma (in Summer).
Retron
01 April 2024 05:49:15

I too think the UK's climate will become increasingly cool and dank,.

Originally Posted by: ozone_aurora 


Not a chance IMO. Even in the last 30 years we've seen a massive warming trend across all seasons - to the point where a flurry of snow is now newsworthy in the south.

I expect in another 30 years (even though I'll be dead by then) we'll have something like a murky, wet, mild climate in winter and a warm, relatively dry climate in summer, albeit with more in the way of convective rain than we have now. Temperatures almost certainly won't be lower than they are now!

Northern England north may just cling onto what we're currently seeing down here in Kent - but as an article on the Beeb said a couple of months back, Edinburgh and Cumbria now have the same amount of frost that Kent and Sussex did 50 years ago. That trend isn't likely to reverse!

EDIT: I also expect 40 to be reached at least as often as 35 is now, and for most summers to reach 35 somewhere in the south/Midlands. As ever, the "area under the curve" effect means this will have a much bigger effect than the numbers suggest!
 
Leysdown, north Kent
Roger Parsons
02 April 2024 02:41:21
New Scientist piece... 29 March.
"A global analysis of heatwaves over a span of 40 years shows that they are getting more frequent, moving slower and lasting longer."
Heatwaves now last much longer than they did in the 1980s
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2424847-heatwaves-now-last-much-longer-than-they-did-in-the-1980s/ 
RogerP
West Lindsey district of Lincolnshire
Everything taken together, here in Lincolnshire are more good things than man could have had the conscience to ask.
William Cobbett, in his Rural Rides - c.1830
The Beast from the East
05 April 2024 14:05:50
Cant find the old Cyclone thread so will just put it here


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
05 April 2024 15:44:55

Cant find the old Cyclone thread so will just put it here

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 



If this materialises it will be interesting to see its impact on the UK weather. Certainly SSTs are consistently above average in the North Atlantic these days. It wouldn't surprise me if this was part of the reason for our 18 month warm and wet period. Personally I'm not expecting any prolonged dry period this summer but I can't see any reason why temperatures won't remain trending above normal. 
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
06 April 2024 16:52:33
Reports of serious flooding in Sydney offer some interest
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-68748796 

But it seems to have been a rather local event with >200mm confined to a small area
http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/rain/index.jsp?colour=colour&time=latest&step=0&map=totals&period=week&area=ns 
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
DEW
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06 April 2024 16:56:00
Flooding on the Russia Kazakhstan border
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68746276 

A weather, rather than climate event IMO. The unusually warm weather in that area (see Model Output thread) has promoted a more-rapid-than-usual thaw.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl

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