I really hope it does, but (as with snow down here) we're aiming for a smaller bullseye each year - in this case, to avoid 35+ temperatures.

We've now had 15 months since the last below-average (61-90) month, and there were 18 months before that... the sheer scale of the warmth these days is incredible.

In my book it been below average due to many colder day time in Spring and summer but due to false night time temps will be ignored.  I more consider the day time feeling as were awake, at night no point to take note, we sleeping most of the time.  UK is heading to Faroes Island climate, period.  Below aveage max, below average sunshine and extreme above average unwelcome rainfall that we having now than what we get in 61/90.averages.

33.1C recorded so far in Atheniou, Cyprus one of the village hot spot.  Interesting to read about it Death Valley had a very cool late March day at 19C with rain.  Once agin very interesting stats.

But the payoff is of course rain and we've had record amounts since that heatwave in the summer of 22.

I just want a dry period. Doesnt look like thats possible for the foreseable

"A global analysis of heatwaves over a span of 40 years shows that they are getting more frequent, moving slower and lasting longer."

Heatwaves now last much longer than they did in the 1980s

https://www.newscientist.com/article/2424847-heatwaves-now-last-much-longer-than-they-did-in-the-1980s/ 

If this materialises it will be interesting to see its impact on the UK weather. Certainly SSTs are consistently above average in the North Atlantic these days. It wouldn't surprise me if this was part of the reason for our 18 month warm and wet period. Personally I'm not expecting any prolonged dry period this summer but I can't see any reason why temperatures won't remain trending above normal. 

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-68748796 

But it seems to have been a rather local event with >200mm confined to a small area

http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/awap/rain/index.jsp?colour=colour&time=latest&step=0&map=totals&period=week&area=ns 

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68746276 

A weather, rather than climate event IMO. The unusually warm weather in that area (see Model Output thread) has promoted a more-rapid-than-usual thaw.

Tomorrow(Sun) and Monday 12pm

Monday:

Another very unseasonably warm one for most/all of continental Europe.

 A month or two ago I mentioned that I considered the (then) present North Atlantic synoptics as being more like those of the 70's/80's as compared with the last three decades or so. My position hasn't changed.

Anyone have an opinion on this and what might be the likely outcome to our weather if the comparison is reasonable and becomes the norm?

Pakistan's most populated province Punjab has suffered the highest death toll so far, with 21 people killed by lightning between Friday and Sunday, AFP news agency reported.

Also lots of flash flooding there - again. 

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-68823490 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-68831408 

I can't believe that they were trying to taxi those aeroplanes in the floods... that's a massive no-no, you'd have thought! And just look at all those massive SUVs caught up in the flooding... there are some things that plenty of money can't help with.

The rain chart for the next week shows it's going to remain soggy out there, with around a year's worth of rain over the next week.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/prec9.png 

From the link:

The National Centre of Meteorology announced that 254.8mm (9.7in) had fallen on Khatm al-Shakla, in the emirate of al-Ain, over less than 24 hours. The country averages 140-200 mm of rainfall per year, while Dubai typically receives only 97mm. The monthly average for April is only about 8mm.

Interesting read and very lively weather than this country rubbish climate and so-called name storms that only deiver wind and rain while over there no name storm give once in a life time severe storm.

Pity it didn't wash the entire evil cesspit away

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2024/04/17/dubai-airport-flooded-record-rainfall-one-dead/ 

The reason it's laughable is because the models were predicting heavy rain in the area - and, of course, the models won't know a thing about whether or not cloud-seeding has happened!

This is one of those awkward topics which straddles two threads - see also 'Conspiracy Theories' in UIA

Apparently, according to a report on the BBC Website, the UAE has used cloud seeding and there was a report that it was used on Sunday/Monday but not Tuesday when the torrential downpours occurred.

The technique has been around for decades, and the UAE has used it in recent years to help address water shortages.

In the hours that followed the floods, some social media users were quick to wrongly attribute the extreme weather solely to recent cloud seeding operations in the country.

Earlier reports by Bloomberg suggested cloud seeding planes were deployed on Sunday and Monday, but not on Tuesday, when the flooding occurred.

I saw that, but obviously the timing is wrong, though not so wrong as to put conspiracy theorists off. The BBC link (in the Conspiracy Thread) however contains the statement (my bold)

BBC Weather meteorologist Matt Taylor also noted the severe weather event had already been forecast. "Ahead of the event, computer models (that don't factor in potential cloud seeding effects) were already predicting well over a year's worth of rain to fall in around 24 hours," he said.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-68839043 

That won't deter conspiracy theory either!

EDIT I suppose you could maintain that the prior seeding worsened the bad situation already predicted. I always understood that the silver iodide or whatever was being used for seeding had a temporary and local effect, being washed out by the rain generated - but does anyone know know for certain how long it remains aloft?