The Weather Outlook

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Matty H
14 June 2026 08:45:01

I think I wrote that about this weekend which AIFS was the best model imo. But far from perfect. 

As for the up coming spell. AIFS is being pretty consistent, for the SE heat builds this week peaking on Friday with 30c ish . Then HP takes over and heat builds again peaking day 12 ish with mid 30s possible. 

We'll see if it's accurate again , other models are similar so hopefully it will be.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

GFS and ECM were painting a pattern of pretty much what we’ve got. AIFS was having none of it. That’s what I was quoting

The overall theme for later next week is for temps to rise. How high remains to be seen

Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

The Beast from the East
14 June 2026 08:55:03
longer range ECM only gives a glancing blow from the Euro heat dome, but the orientation of the block will keep changing with every run

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Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

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The Beast from the East
14 June 2026 08:56:54
Brexit day 10 year anniversary 23rd June looking like a day to look out for,  potential for 40c in the south

Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

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Ally Pally Snowman
14 June 2026 08:58:59

GFS and ECM were painting a pattern of pretty much what we’ve got. AIFS was having none of it. That’s what I was quoting

The overall theme for later next week is for temps to rise. How high remains to be seen

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

Tbf I think this week ECM in particular has handled it better than AIFS. AIFS was more unsettled but the LP is near our NW so it was close.

Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Brian Gaze
14 June 2026 10:21:23
Looks like a lucky dip from next weekend onwards. That said, the whiskers are representing the 25th and 75th percentiles, and most runs are going cooler.

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Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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