The Weather Outlook

Remove ads from site

doctormog
15 June 2026 08:43:07
Southern heatwave possibilities aside I would welcome some warm or at least sunny summery weather. Even high teens would be good, and that is what much of the output is showing for parts of the north. The BBC app has a forecast max of 13°C for both today and tomorrow here.
Charmhills
15 June 2026 10:17:02
And we have an El Niño now in force, which is only going to strengthen, causing all sorts of fun and games in the coming months ahead.🌩️☂️☀️❄️
Loughborough, EM.

Knowledge is power, ignorance is weakness.

Duane.

Ally Pally Snowman
15 June 2026 10:42:08
The GFS 6z breaks the record next Monday.  37c 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=20&model=gfs&var=17&run=6&time=177&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=3#mapref 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Retron
15 June 2026 11:15:14

The GFS 6z breaks the record next Monday.  37c 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=20&model=gfs&var=17&run=6&time=177&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=3#mapref 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Absolutely vile weather TBH. A min of 23 followed by a high of 37 even here...

I really hope that doesn't come off. Thankfully as it's a week away there's still plenty of time for it to change!


Leysdown, north Kent
Ally Pally Snowman
15 June 2026 11:35:28

Absolutely vile weather TBH. A min of 23 followed by a high of 37 even here...

I really hope that doesn't come off. Thankfully as it's a week away there's still plenty of time for it to change!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Don't look at the Control Darren. 

From next Monday 38c, 38c, 40c, 40c.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Retron
15 June 2026 11:38:35

Don't look at the Control Darren. 

From next Monday 38c, 38c, 40c, 40c.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Sounds more like it's out of control! I have to admit a certain feeling of trepidation when the G(E)FS goes off on one - we all remember 2022, of course...


Leysdown, north Kent
Ally Pally Snowman
15 June 2026 11:41:08

Sounds more like it's out of control! I have to admit a certain feeling of trepidation when the G(E)FS goes off on one - we all remember 2022, of course...

Originally Posted by: Retron 

It does have 2022 vibes definitely.  But still plenty of scenarios possible most much cooler. My bet atm would be 34/35c for a day or two. But a fairly prolonged high 20s period for the SE. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Chidog
15 June 2026 11:54:53
Six 100F days in a row for London on the control, and still no breakdown...
Retron
15 June 2026 12:06:20
If you're a heat fan you'll definitely want to bookmark the 6z control - it's a classic "heat dome" setup, something which used to be vanishingly rare here.

This chart is simply bonkers... note these are 850s!

https://images.meteociel.fr/im/41/243/gens_0_0_312alk9.png 

UserPostedImage


Leysdown, north Kent
Ally Pally Snowman
15 June 2026 12:12:19

If you're a heat fan you'll definitely want to bookmark the 6z control - it's a classic "heat dome" setup, something which used to be vanishingly rare here.

This chart is simply bonkers... note these are 850s!

https://images.meteociel.fr/im/41/243/gens_0_0_312alk9.png 

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Indeed it has 850s above 21c for a week (21st to 28th). Top end of the ensembles as you would expect. 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Bertwhistle
15 June 2026 12:23:39

The GFS 6z breaks the record next Monday.  37c 

https://www.wetterzentrale.de/en/topkarten.php?map=20&model=gfs&var=17&run=6&time=177&lid=OP&h=0&mv=0&tr=3#mapref 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

The Control in the 6z is loopy. 5 days of 35+ forecast here, with a string of Thames Valley 40s on one day.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

Brian Gaze
15 June 2026 12:47:27
That control run is something else. There's a static (it won't refresh with 12Z data) animation here. 

UserPostedImage


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 

"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan

doctormog
15 June 2026 13:28:11
t850s at over 20°C here at the peak with t2m maxima about the same. 😂
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
15 June 2026 14:47:28

That control run is something else. There's a static (it won't refresh with 12Z data) animation here. 

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

Thought for a minute I had a 38 there, but upon looking more closely it's 'only' a 36. 

But that would still put this area into July 2022 territory.


Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
15 June 2026 14:51:28

Absolutely vile weather TBH. A min of 23 followed by a high of 37 even here...

I really hope that doesn't come off. Thankfully as it's a week away there's still plenty of time for it to change!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

I see nobody has yet stuck their head above the parapet and started a 'Late June Heatwave' thread yet.

Perhaps you should do it in order to scupper it 🙂


Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Remove ads from site