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Conditions appear variable for most of the period. Some wet days are likely, but there should be dry breaks in between.
The period begins settled, turning unsettled around Wednesday 21 October.
Temperatures look well below average for October, with daytime highs typically only in the upper single figures. Even the warmest day, Monday 19 October, only reaches about 10°C, which is chilly for mid-October. The coldest night looks to be Saturday 17 October, with lows around 1°C, which is very chilly for mid-October. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 45mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 133mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.