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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Spells of rainfall look frequent, with wet conditions on many days.
The period begins settled, turning unsettled around Wednesday 21 October.
Unusually chilly weather for October looks likely, with daytime highs typically only in the upper single figures. Even the warmest day, Monday 19 October, only reaches about 10°C, which is chilly for mid-October. With temperatures anticipated to fall to or below freezing, overnight frosts are favoured, particularly during any clear spells.
There are signs of a windier spell later in the period, with gusts potentially around 58mph. Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 154mm over the period. Colder interludes may bring a risk of sleet or snow.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.