WX charts show little change with cold weather remaining to the NE, if anything the freezing area shrinks a little compared to yesterdays' forecast; by week 2 this is N of a line from S Sweden to S Urals, and excludes Scotland. Rain for western fringes , Norway and Scotland week 1, extending to Spain week 2, less penetrating into the continent than yesterday.
GFS Op - a general W-ly theme with variations. The default of LP near Iceland and Hp over the continent is perturbed by - Wed 31st, LP nearer Scotland with severe gales for the N:: Mon 5th, LP closer to Scandinavia so cooler NW-lies; Sat 10th, LP from Atlantic 960mb arrives in Cornwall traversing England NE-wards and dragging in cooler air in its wake; Thu 15th, LP is more to S of Iceland so winds are back to SW.
ECM - keeps pressure higher close to Britain, so gales on 31st restricted to NW (MetO agrees), the NW-lies on Mon affect the other side of the N Sea and it looks as if the LP Sat 10th will be downgraded to a trough off the W of Ireland.
GEFS - In the S, becoming mild and staying that way to about Wed 7th when ens agreement breaks up and mean declines to norm, with rain in most runs after that date. A lot more variation in temps in Scotland and to a lesser extent in N England with pronounced swings from mild to cool until the 7th after which a decline to norm as in the S, rain event ca Thu 1st and then more general rain after the 5th.
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Chichester 12m asl