The GFS OP is as useful as a headline from The Daily Express at the moment. That accepted, the EPS and EC46 do show a solid slide in 2m temps with Iberian heights finally draining in favour of a Scandy trough sinking SE.
We might have something developing (see end of latest MetO deep dive) but the OPs won't tell us much at the moment.
Expectation (from a cold perspective) on hold but from where we were this time last week that's a big improvement.
That 'Deep Dive' was interesting in that there was more confidence about the general pattern in 10 days' time than there was for next week - albeit still not high confidence, given the range. Essentially a messy transition with timing issues from where we are now with low pressure and mild weather dominating to something with a greater high pressure influence.
Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E