Yes please doesn't get much better than that for a Summer forecast. 
 

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Nice. Fingers crossed.

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Text message to me (as registered as at risk on account of age) from SSE networks, responsible for electricity network here ...

"a Weather Warning status in preparation for a period of unsettled weather which could impact the electricity network across central southern England on Monday. We are expecting high winds ..."

MetO forecast 47mph gusts, BBC 53mph; fairly wild but doesn't seem so bad as to generate the warning above.

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Apparently we were on the cusp of a major power nationwide power cut about four days ago but escaped with a more than a little help from our friends on the Continent.

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The met office have cancelled the level 3 cold weather alert and issued a new Level 2 alert for parts of England

Issued at: 08:52 on Sun 12 Mar 2023

There is a 80% probability of severe cold weather/icy conditions/heavy snow between 1800 on Monday 13 Mar and 0900 on Thursday 16 Mar in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action.

Much milder weather covers England during Sunday. Remaining very mild overnight and into Monday with wet and windy conditions. Snow thawing rapidly. Timing of much colder air spreading from Scotland later on Monday is associated with low confidence currently, however confidence is higher that colder air will spread southwards to affect all areas during Tuesday. Confidence is also low with regard to snow amounts occurring on Tuesday with showers perhaps merging to give more organised spells of snow in places.

An update will be issued when the alert level changes in any region. Alerts are issued once a day by 0900 if required and are not subject to amendment in between standard issue times. Note that the details of the forecast weather are valid at the time of issue but may change over the period that an alert remains in force. These details will not be updated here unless the alert level also changes, the latest forecast details can be obtained at the following link: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/#?tab=map 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/?tab=coldWeatherAlert&season=normal#?tab=coldWeatherAlert 

We were indeed... firing up one of the mothballed coal power plants also helped.
 

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Hosepipe ban brewing amid 'acute risk of water shortages', warn climate, farming and infrastructure chiefs

https://news.sky.com/story/hosepipe-ban-brewing-amid-acute-risk-of-water-shortages-warn-climate-farming-and-infrastructure-chiefs-12833497 

BBC monthly outlook
Unsettled with no extreme temperatures

Wednesday 15 March to – Sunday 19 March
Milder and unsettled

Monday 20 March to – Sunday 26 March
Unsettled and a little cooler

Monday 27 March to – Sunday 9 April
Turning drier through April?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Mild ramper Schafenaker going ‘up o 16dc mild and wet as far as eye can see’  but Louise Lear instead highlighting notherlies and further snow next week… whos been on the gin this time? 

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BBC monthly outlook
Unsettled with mostly near-seasonal temperatures

Saturday 18 March to – Sunday 26 March
Mild and unsettled until a chillier weekend

Monday 27 March to – Sunday 2 April
Wet. Seasonal temperatures but colder in Scotland

Monday 3 April to – Sunday 16 April
Possibly becoming drier by mid-April

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

"-9C and 700-mile snow blast this week" - The Star front page. Where do they get this rubbish from?

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Must use Donald trumps media advisor 🤣

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LOL. Did they say where this was going to happen?
 

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GB News telling us 40c will hit within weeks, and they're using northerly charts to back it up!

https://www.gbnews.com/weather/uk-weather-mini-heatwave-record-temperatures-britain 

beyond parody. This ridiculous channel breaks Ofcom rules everyday but is still permitted to broadcast 

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Interesting work by Reading Uni to try and recreate the exact synoptics of the "Ulysses" storm of 26-27 Feb 1903 here

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-65365106 

They have found that by analysing and digitising more data from the area at that time that this storm was somewhat more intense than previously thought and (to me at least) looks very reminescent of the "Burns Day" storm of 1990 which I remember well

The odd thing is that in the Met Office Digital Archive for this date there is already a synoptic map presumably based on the readings from that date as below



Thi one shows a central pressure of 28.1 inches or slighly less which equates to around 950mb and is quite a lot deeper still than even the new Reading data. The isobar gaps on this map are of 0.2 inches or around 7mb (2-4 times more speced than current maps) so even then a very serious storm was being shown. Note the similarity to the storm of Jan 1990 too

https://digital.nmla.metoffice.gov.uk/IO_1effbd85-6cc3-4631-b210-29148502d32b/ 

 

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A somewhat concerning news item…..

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-65339934 



 

Also posted in the UIA Environment thread (before I saw this post) and best to follow it up there? This tread is intended for media treatment of current weather, not climate issues.

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A hosepipe ban in the south-west has been extended to cover 390,000 more properties in places including Plymouth, Barnstaple, Tavistock and Torquay.


Any households caught using a hosepipe will face a fine of £1,000

BBC review of MetO summer outlook
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/65560104 
 

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The UK Health Security Agency and the Met Office have issued a yellow Heat-Health Alert for;

• London
• East Midlands
• West Midlands
• East of England
• South East
• South West

The alert is valid from 9am on Friday to 9am Monday

https://www.gov.uk/government/news/first-heat-health-alert-of-the-year-issued-by-ukhsa-and-the-met-office 

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Maybe if she had health problems that are affected by hot weather, she would shut up and take her own words and F off. 

As commented on by tierradelfuego on the Model Output Thread:

The BBC Automated weather forecasts on the site have gone as badly wrong as this evening's TV broadcast forecast. It shows maxima of 8C here every day until next Thursday (apart from Sunday) then suddenly shoots up to 23C next Friday.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/rg45 

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That's really, really poor to actually broadcast such rubbish, especially on the flagship national news programme! Laughable, in fact.

At least in the old "Weather 2000" system - the one with symbols - they could make the charts say whatever they wanted. I think they were able to modify the charts in the earlier iterations of the current system, it's frankly unbelievable that they can't do that any more.

 

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