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ARTzeman
Monday, July 18, 2022 1:49:08 PM

MET OFFICE HADLEY CENTER       17.3C     ANOMALY   1.3C. PROVISIONAL TO 17TH






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Frank H
  • Frank H
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 8:14:58 AM


MET OFFICE HADLEY CENTER       17.3C     ANOMALY   1.3C. PROVISIONAL TO 17TH


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Probably rise approx 0.5c after yesterday


Wrightington, Wigan
ARTzeman
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 10:11:11 AM

Metcheck                18.23c         Anomaly        1.27c


Netweather             18.81c         Anomaly         2.31c 


Peasedown St John  18.65c         Anomaly         1.30c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
lanky
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 11:55:06 AM


Monday is surely going to be a strong contender for the hottest CET day ever, and by some margin?

The record to beat is 25.2C (set on 29 Jul 1948 & 25 Jul 2019).

Looking at the UKV, even a conservative estimate would have a max for the CET area of 36C and a minimum of 21C, giving a mean of 28.5C.


Taking the more extreme end of a 38C max and a 22C minimum we would end up with a 30C CET day, which is just ridiculous to contemplate. 


Originally Posted by: Rob K 


If the Met Office just take the average of the 3 maxima and the 3 minima from 09:00 to 09:00 of the 3 stations then I think the mean CET from the last 24 hours will be aroind 27.0C which is easily a new record - probably lasting 1 day


 


Martin
Richmond, Surrey
Bertwhistle
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 12:21:18 PM


 


Probably rise approx 0.5c after yesterday


Originally Posted by: Frank H 


That's what I reckon, going on the 3 stations' thermographs.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
lanky
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 12:43:50 PM


 


If the Met Office just take the average of the 3 maxima and the 3 minima from 09:00 to 09:00 of the 3 stations then I think the mean CET from the last 24 hours will be aroind 27.0C which is easily a new record - probably lasting 1 day


 


Originally Posted by: lanky 


Evidently yhey don't do it that way then I have just seen they have it at 24.4 and not breaking the record


The new month to date is now 17.7


Martin
Richmond, Surrey
Bertwhistle
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 12:54:27 PM


 


Evidently yhey don't do it that way then I have just seen they have it at 24.4 and not breaking the record


The new month to date is now 17.7


Originally Posted by: lanky 


Is that because of the minima used for a day being the ones before the day and maybe you'd used last night's for yesterday's? The previous night was cooler, especially at Pershore; the record will go today- those minima will be used.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
lanky
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 1:13:47 PM


 


Is that because of the minima used for a day being the ones before the day and maybe you'd used last night's for yesterday's? The previous night was cooler, especially at Pershore; the record will go today- those minima will be used.


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


Thanks Bert


I think you nailed it - doing it that way gives their answer


That means we will smash it on tomorrows figure


Martin
Richmond, Surrey
Chidog
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 1:52:29 PM

Today's figure is going to be pretty hard to beat even with global warming, going to be something like 20C min and 37C max = 28.5C...

redmoons
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 2:26:52 PM
Northholt
2022-07-19 15:00 39.1 °C Fog 😉
Andrew,
Watford
ASL 35m
http://weather.andrewlalchan.co.uk 





Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 3:24:40 PM


 


Thanks Bert


I think you nailed it - doing it that way gives their answer


That means we will smash it on tomorrows figure


Originally Posted by: lanky 

Yes, at the end of the month, there’s always one more minima to count. So it’ll be 9am today, to 9am tomorrow.  Now I’m confused. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Snowshoe
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 4:46:02 PM
Yesterday was a daily record for maximum temperatures, at 34.8°C, beating the 34.2°C set in 2019.

It's quite remarkable that this record will probably be smashed today.
Gavin D
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 4:57:28 PM

Hadley



17.7c to the 18th


1.7c above the 61 to 90 average
1.3c above the 81 to 10 average


Rob K
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 7:13:21 PM


Hadley



17.7c to the 18th


1.7c above the 61 to 90 average
1.3c above the 81 to 10 average



Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Will be well over 18 after today then?


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Bertwhistle
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 7:39:11 PM


Yes, at the end of the month, there’s always one more minima to count. So it’ll be 9am today, to 9am tomorrow.  Now I’m confused. 


Originally Posted by: Caz 


That will be the minimum for tomorrow Caz!


Not sure if that helped at all!


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
Wednesday, July 20, 2022 8:01:58 AM
By my quickfire calculations I make it 18.4C at the end of the month, per this morning's 00z GFS. But note that does have early 30s on the last couple of days which hike the average up a lot.

Some quite cool, single figure nights to come. The difference between daytime and night temperatures this month is quite stark - with the honourable exception of the last 3 nights.
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Hungry Tiger
Wednesday, July 20, 2022 9:49:27 AM

By my quickfire calculations I make it 18.4C at the end of the month, per this morning's 00z GFS. But note that does have early 30s on the last couple of days which hike the average up a lot.

Some quite cool, single figure nights to come. The difference between daytime and night temperatures this month is quite stark - with the honourable exception of the last 3 nights.


Originally Posted by: TimS 


The exceptionally low soil moisture levels are to explain for some of the cool nights. With much more heat expected further on in the summer those cool nights are welcome.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
Wednesday, July 20, 2022 12:06:04 PM

Metcheck                 18.74c           Anomaly         2.28c


Netweather              19.34c           Anomaly         2.85c


Peasedown St John   18.7c             Anomaly         1.47c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
Wednesday, July 20, 2022 1:30:56 PM


 


That will be the minimum for tomorrow Caz!


Not sure if that helped at all!


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 

 Erm.  It still frazzles my brain!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Chidog
Wednesday, July 20, 2022 1:30:58 PM

Minimum yesterday: 18.9


Maximum: 37.3 (!!!)


No mean released, but my maths says 28.1. Hottest day ever by 2.8C!

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