Weather analogues

The index is updated daily and compares today's Northern Hemisphere 500hPa profile with the same date in every year going back to 1948.

A lower index indicates a closer match.

Weather Analogue Index (WAI)

DAYS -45

Place Year Index value
1 1948 337529
2 1961 528763
3 1986 534182
4 2004 535745
5 1976 544387
6 2000 546188
7 2019 550410
8 2020 551385
9 2007 553774
10 1984 554242
11 1990 554435
12 1965 554802
13 1949 557437
14 2014 557600
15 1950 559648
16 2012 560833
17 1998 563482
18 1992 563659
19 1953 564391
20 1994 566762
21 1999 567385
22 2017 567630
23 2015 570032
24 2003 570571
25 2018 572083
26 1978 573933
27 2005 575180
28 2002 577676
29 1954 578549
30 2001 578848
31 1970 579460
32 2013 580037
33 2008 581614
34 1996 584250
35 1995 585483
36 1960 586284
37 2006 586303
38 1951 587318
39 1971 588383
40 1964 589065
41 1968 589445
42 1967 589560
43 1987 592213
44 1974 594472
45 1988 597576
46 1966 598340
47 1991 598372
48 1952 598726
49 1962 600063
50 1997 601147
51 1981 601518
52 1979 601532
53 2011 602022
54 1982 605622
55 1957 606789
56 2009 607098
57 1959 611747
58 1983 612136
59 1969 614284
60 1993 614715
61 1972 619354
62 1958 620025
63 1963 620266
64 2016 620909
65 1985 623609
66 2010 626459
67 1977 635350
68 1973 636706
69 1956 640183
70 1980 640381
71 1975 647456
72 1955 649490
73 1989 665136

Central England Temperatures

The monthly CET values for all of the years in the index are shown below.

Click on the CET value to view reanalysis charts for the month.

 

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Mean
1948 5.4 4.7 8.3 9.0 11.4 13.5 15.8 15.1 13.8 10.1 7.3 5.7 10.03
1949 5.5 5.7 5.1 10.0 11.2 15.3 17.4 16.8 16.3 11.7 6.6 5.8 10.64
1950 4.2 5.3 7.4 7.6 11.3 16.2 15.9 15.6 12.9 9.6 5.7 1.2 9.43
1951 3.9 3.7 4.1 6.8 10.1 14.0 16.3 14.8 14.1 9.4 8.5 5.5 9.30
1952 2.7 3.4 6.6 9.6 13.4 14.4 16.8 15.8 10.7 8.8 4.2 2.8 9.12
1953 3.3 4.3 5.6 7.3 12.6 14.4 15.5 16.2 13.8 9.7 8.5 6.9 9.87
1954 2.9 2.6 5.8 7.6 11.2 13.4 14.2 14.6 12.7 11.9 6.9 6.8 9.26
1955 2.6 1.2 3.2 9.3 9.7 13.8 17.7 18.1 14.2 9.2 7.0 5.4 9.33
1956 3.6 -0.2 6.2 6.9 11.7 13.1 15.8 13.5 14.3 9.4 6.0 5.7 8.87
1957 5.5 5.3 9.2 8.9 10.3 15.2 16.3 15.4 12.5 10.8 6.4 4.5 10.06
1958 3.4 4.7 3.7 7.4 11.1 14.1 15.9 15.8 15.1 10.8 6.4 4.7 9.45
1959 1.6 4.4 7.3 9.4 12.8 15.2 17.3 17.2 14.9 12.6 7.1 6.0 10.52
1960 3.8 4.1 6.4 8.9 12.8 16.1 15.1 15.0 13.1 10.3 7.3 3.9 9.75
1961 3.9 6.9 8.2 10.0 11.0 14.4 15.2 15.4 15.2 10.9 6.0 2.2 9.95
1962 4.3 4.4 2.8 7.7 10.3 13.7 15.1 14.5 12.6 10.4 5.5 1.8 8.61
1963 -2.1 -0.7 6.0 8.7 10.6 14.9 15.2 14.3 12.9 11.1 8.2 2.6 8.52
1964 3.4 4.5 4.3 8.7 13.3 13.8 16.1 15.5 14.1 8.9 7.4 3.6 9.48
1965 3.3 3.1 5.2 8.0 11.7 14.7 14.0 14.9 12.3 11.0 4.5 4.7 8.99
1966 2.9 5.7 6.5 7.2 11.0 15.4 15.0 14.7 13.8 10.1 5.6 5.5 9.47
1967 4.5 5.4 7.0 7.7 10.4 14.0 16.7 15.7 13.5 10.8 5.4 4.2 9.64
1968 4.4 1.9 6.3 8.1 9.8 14.8 15.0 15.4 13.9 12.5 6.5 3.0 9.32
1969 5.5 1.0 3.3 7.4 11.2 13.9 16.8 16.4 13.9 13.0 5.4 3.3 9.32
1970 3.7 2.9 3.7 6.7 13.0 16.4 15.2 16.0 14.4 10.7 7.8 4.3 9.60
1971 4.5 4.5 4.9 7.9 11.6 12.4 16.9 15.6 14.0 11.3 6.0 6.6 9.72
1972 3.9 4.3 6.5 8.2 10.5 11.8 15.6 15.1 11.7 10.6 6.3 5.8 9.22
1973 4.5 4.3 6.2 7.0 11.4 14.8 15.6 16.5 14.3 9.0 6.0 4.9 9.57
1974 5.9 5.4 5.8 8.2 11.0 13.9 15.2 15.2 12.1 7.8 6.8 8.1 9.64
1975 6.8 4.4 4.8 8.3 9.9 14.7 17.4 18.7 13.5 9.9 6.3 5.3 10.04
1976 5.9 4.5 4.8 8.1 12.1 17.0 18.7 17.6 13.4 10.6 6.3 2.0 10.10
1977 2.8 5.2 6.9 7.2 10.6 12.2 15.9 15.2 13.3 11.8 6.6 6.1 9.51
1978 3.4 2.8 6.7 6.5 11.7 13.7 14.8 15.0 14.2 11.9 8.5 3.9 9.47
1979 -0.4 1.2 4.7 7.8 10.0 13.9 16.2 14.9 13.5 11.3 6.8 5.8 8.85
1980 2.3 5.7 4.7 8.8 11.2 13.8 14.7 15.9 14.7 9.0 6.6 5.6 9.42
1981 4.9 3.0 7.9 7.8 11.2 13.2 15.5 16.2 14.5 8.6 7.8 0.3 9.28
1982 2.6 4.8 6.1 8.6 11.6 15.5 16.5 15.7 14.2 10.1 8.0 4.4 9.86
1983 6.7 1.7 6.4 6.8 10.3 14.4 19.5 17.3 13.7 10.5 7.5 5.6 10.10
1984 3.8 3.3 4.7 8.1 9.9 14.5 16.9 17.6 13.7 11.1 8.0 5.2 9.75
1985 0.8 2.1 4.7 8.3 10.9 12.7 16.2 14.6 14.6 11.0 4.1 6.3 8.90
1986 3.5 -1.1 4.9 5.8 11.1 14.8 15.9 13.7 11.3 11.0 7.8 6.2 8.81
1987 0.8 3.6 4.1 10.3 10.1 12.8 15.9 15.6 13.6 9.7 6.5 5.6 9.08
1988 5.3 4.9 6.4 8.2 11.9 14.4 14.7 15.2 13.2 10.4 5.2 7.5 9.80
1989 6.1 5.9 7.5 6.6 13.0 14.6 18.2 16.6 14.7 11.7 6.2 4.9 10.54
1990 6.5 7.3 8.3 8.0 12.6 13.6 16.9 18.0 13.2 11.9 6.9 4.3 10.65
1991 3.3 1.5 7.9 7.9 10.8 12.1 17.3 17.1 14.7 10.2 6.8 4.7 9.58
1992 3.7 5.4 7.5 8.7 13.6 15.7 16.2 15.3 13.4 7.8 7.4 3.6 9.87
1993 5.9 4.6 6.7 9.5 11.4 15.0 15.2 14.6 12.4 8.5 4.6 5.5 9.52
1994 5.3 3.2 7.7 8.1 10.7 14.5 18.0 16.0 12.7 10.2 10.1 6.4 10.29
1995 4.8 6.5 5.6 9.1 11.6 14.3 18.6 19.2 13.7 12.9 7.7 2.3 10.55
1996 4.3 2.5 4.5 8.5 9.1 14.4 16.5 16.5 13.6 11.7 5.9 2.9 9.22
1997 2.5 6.7 8.4 9.0 11.5 14.1 16.7 18.9 14.2 10.2 8.4 5.8 10.56
1998 5.2 7.3 7.9 7.7 13.1 14.2 15.5 15.9 14.9 10.6 6.2 5.5 10.35
1999 5.5 5.3 7.4 9.4 12.9 13.9 17.7 16.1 15.6 10.7 7.9 5.0 10.65
2000 4.9 6.3 7.6 7.8 12.1 15.1 15.5 16.6 14.7 10.3 7.0 5.8 10.32
2001 3.2 4.4 5.2 7.7 12.6 14.3 17.2 16.8 13.4 13.3 7.5 3.6 9.97
2002 5.5 7.0 7.6 9.3 11.8 14.4 16.0 17.0 14.4 10.1 8.5 5.7 10.63
2003 4.5 3.9 7.5 9.6 12.1 16.1 17.6 18.3 14.3 9.2 8.1 4.8 10.54
2004 5.2 5.4 6.5 9.4 12.1 15.3 15.8 17.6 14.9 10.5 7.7 5.4 10.50
2005 6.0 4.3 7.2 8.9 11.4 15.5 16.9 16.2 15.2 13.1 6.2 4.4 10.48
2006 4.3 3.7 4.9 8.6 12.3 15.9 19.7 16.1 16.8 13.0 8.1 6.5 10.87
2007 7.0 5.8 7.2 11.2 11.9 15.1 15.2 15.4 13.8 10.9 7.3 4.9 10.50
2008 6.6 5.4 6.1 7.9 13.4 13.9 16.2 16.2 13.5 9.7 7.0 3.5 9.97
2009 3.0 4.1 7.0 10.0 12.1 14.8 16.1 16.6 14.2 11.6 8.7 3.1 10.14
2010 1.4 2.8 6.1 8.8 10.7 15.2 17.1 15.3 13.8 10.3 5.2 -0.7 8.86
2011 3.7 6.4 6.7 11.8 12.2 13.8 15.2 15.4 15.1 12.6 9.6 6.0 10.72
2012 5.4 3.8 8.3 7.2 11.7 13.5 15.5 16.6 13.0 9.7 6.8 4.8 9.72
2013 3.5 3.2 2.7 7.5 10.4 13.6 18.3 16.9 13.7 12.5 6.2 6.3 9.61
2014 5.7 6.2 7.6 10.2 12.2 15.1 17.7 14.9 15.1 12.5 8.6 5.2 10.95
2015 4.4 4.0 6.4 9.0 10.8 14.0 15.9 15.9 12.6 11.0 9.5 9.7 10.31
2016 5.4 4.9 5.8 7.5 12.5 15.2 16.9 17.0 16.0 10.9 5.6 6.0 10.34
2017 4.0 6.1 8.7 8.9 13.2 16.0 16.8 15.6 13.5 12.4 6.8 4.8 10.58
2018 5.3 2.9 4.9 9.8 13.2 16.1 19.1 16.6 13.7 10.6 8.3 6.9 10.68
2019 4.0 6.7 7.8 9.1 11.1 14.2 17.5 17.1 14.3 10.0 6.2 5.8 10.34
2020 6.4 6.3 6.7 10.4 12.5 15.3 15.7 17.6 13.9 10.5 8.5 5.0 10.76