Weather analogues

The index is updated daily and compares today's Northern Hemisphere 500hPa profile with the same date in every year going back to 1948.

A lower index indicates a closer match.

Weather Analogue Index (WAI)

DAYS -45

Place Year Index value
1 1954 376479
2 2000 378511
3 1960 379739
4 2016 383442
5 1951 383735
6 1985 384169
7 2004 386175
8 1949 387172
9 1990 387675
10 2003 389399
11 1984 390031
12 1979 390970
13 2006 391247
14 2017 391386
15 2014 391577
16 1998 393290
17 1999 394532
18 1996 395134
19 1975 397052
20 2010 397699
21 1952 397811
22 2009 398693
23 1967 398723
24 1977 400224
25 1970 400469
26 1955 400485
27 1981 400555
28 1956 400877
29 1986 401122
30 1991 401325
31 2018 404217
32 1997 404693
33 1969 404904
34 1958 405442
35 2002 406337
36 2013 406936
37 1980 407513
38 2001 407517
39 1953 408445
40 2020 408666
41 1995 408752
42 2005 408824
43 2007 408908
44 1989 409133
45 1972 409164
46 1987 409487
47 2012 409950
48 1957 411094
49 1950 411692
50 1963 411849
51 1974 413033
52 2008 413556
53 1966 413651
54 1976 414624
55 2015 415417
56 1971 417612
57 1983 417777
58 1959 417899
59 1964 419336
60 1978 419455
61 1993 421885
62 1968 422888
63 1961 423264
64 1965 424962
65 1988 425249
66 1973 425342
67 2011 425550
68 2019 428623
69 1992 429646
70 1982 430901
71 1962 436883
72 1994 437722

Central England Temperatures

The monthly CET values for all of the years in the index are shown below.

Click on the CET value to view reanalysis charts for the month.

 

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Mean
1948 5.4 4.7 8.3 9.0 11.4 13.5 15.8 15.1 13.8 10.1 7.3 5.7 10.03
1949 5.5 5.7 5.1 10.0 11.2 15.3 17.4 16.8 16.3 11.7 6.6 5.8 10.64
1950 4.2 5.3 7.4 7.6 11.3 16.2 15.9 15.6 12.9 9.6 5.7 1.2 9.43
1951 3.9 3.7 4.1 6.8 10.1 14.0 16.3 14.8 14.1 9.4 8.5 5.5 9.30
1952 2.7 3.4 6.6 9.6 13.4 14.4 16.8 15.8 10.7 8.8 4.2 2.8 9.12
1953 3.3 4.3 5.6 7.3 12.6 14.4 15.5 16.2 13.8 9.7 8.5 6.9 9.87
1954 2.9 2.6 5.8 7.6 11.2 13.4 14.2 14.6 12.7 11.9 6.9 6.8 9.26
1955 2.6 1.2 3.2 9.3 9.7 13.8 17.7 18.1 14.2 9.2 7.0 5.4 9.33
1956 3.6 -0.2 6.2 6.9 11.7 13.1 15.8 13.5 14.3 9.4 6.0 5.7 8.87
1957 5.5 5.3 9.2 8.9 10.3 15.2 16.3 15.4 12.5 10.8 6.4 4.5 10.06
1958 3.4 4.7 3.7 7.4 11.1 14.1 15.9 15.8 15.1 10.8 6.4 4.7 9.45
1959 1.6 4.4 7.3 9.4 12.8 15.2 17.3 17.2 14.9 12.6 7.1 6.0 10.52
1960 3.8 4.1 6.4 8.9 12.8 16.1 15.1 15.0 13.1 10.3 7.3 3.9 9.75
1961 3.9 6.9 8.2 10.0 11.0 14.4 15.2 15.4 15.2 10.9 6.0 2.2 9.95
1962 4.3 4.4 2.8 7.7 10.3 13.7 15.1 14.5 12.6 10.4 5.5 1.8 8.61
1963 -2.1 -0.7 6.0 8.7 10.6 14.9 15.2 14.3 12.9 11.1 8.2 2.6 8.52
1964 3.4 4.5 4.3 8.7 13.3 13.8 16.1 15.5 14.1 8.9 7.4 3.6 9.48
1965 3.3 3.1 5.2 8.0 11.7 14.7 14.0 14.9 12.3 11.0 4.5 4.7 8.99
1966 2.9 5.7 6.5 7.2 11.0 15.4 15.0 14.7 13.8 10.1 5.6 5.5 9.47
1967 4.5 5.4 7.0 7.7 10.4 14.0 16.7 15.7 13.5 10.8 5.4 4.2 9.64
1968 4.4 1.9 6.3 8.1 9.8 14.8 15.0 15.4 13.9 12.5 6.5 3.0 9.32
1969 5.5 1.0 3.3 7.4 11.2 13.9 16.8 16.4 13.9 13.0 5.4 3.3 9.32
1970 3.7 2.9 3.7 6.7 13.0 16.4 15.2 16.0 14.4 10.7 7.8 4.3 9.60
1971 4.5 4.5 4.9 7.9 11.6 12.4 16.9 15.6 14.0 11.3 6.0 6.6 9.72
1972 3.9 4.3 6.5 8.2 10.5 11.8 15.6 15.1 11.7 10.6 6.3 5.8 9.22
1973 4.5 4.3 6.2 7.0 11.4 14.8 15.6 16.5 14.3 9.0 6.0 4.9 9.57
1974 5.9 5.4 5.8 8.2 11.0 13.9 15.2 15.2 12.1 7.8 6.8 8.1 9.64
1975 6.8 4.4 4.8 8.3 9.9 14.7 17.4 18.7 13.5 9.9 6.3 5.3 10.04
1976 5.9 4.5 4.8 8.1 12.1 17.0 18.7 17.6 13.4 10.6 6.3 2.0 10.10
1977 2.8 5.2 6.9 7.2 10.6 12.2 15.9 15.2 13.3 11.8 6.6 6.1 9.51
1978 3.4 2.8 6.7 6.5 11.7 13.7 14.8 15.0 14.2 11.9 8.5 3.9 9.47
1979 -0.4 1.2 4.7 7.8 10.0 13.9 16.2 14.9 13.5 11.3 6.8 5.8 8.85
1980 2.3 5.7 4.7 8.8 11.2 13.8 14.7 15.9 14.7 9.0 6.6 5.6 9.42
1981 4.9 3.0 7.9 7.8 11.2 13.2 15.5 16.2 14.5 8.6 7.8 0.3 9.28
1982 2.6 4.8 6.1 8.6 11.6 15.5 16.5 15.7 14.2 10.1 8.0 4.4 9.86
1983 6.7 1.7 6.4 6.8 10.3 14.4 19.5 17.3 13.7 10.5 7.5 5.6 10.10
1984 3.8 3.3 4.7 8.1 9.9 14.5 16.9 17.6 13.7 11.1 8.0 5.2 9.75
1985 0.8 2.1 4.7 8.3 10.9 12.7 16.2 14.6 14.6 11.0 4.1 6.3 8.90
1986 3.5 -1.1 4.9 5.8 11.1 14.8 15.9 13.7 11.3 11.0 7.8 6.2 8.81
1987 0.8 3.6 4.1 10.3 10.1 12.8 15.9 15.6 13.6 9.7 6.5 5.6 9.08
1988 5.3 4.9 6.4 8.2 11.9 14.4 14.7 15.2 13.2 10.4 5.2 7.5 9.80
1989 6.1 5.9 7.5 6.6 13.0 14.6 18.2 16.6 14.7 11.7 6.2 4.9 10.54
1990 6.5 7.3 8.3 8.0 12.6 13.6 16.9 18.0 13.2 11.9 6.9 4.3 10.65
1991 3.3 1.5 7.9 7.9 10.8 12.1 17.3 17.1 14.7 10.2 6.8 4.7 9.58
1992 3.7 5.4 7.5 8.7 13.6 15.7 16.2 15.3 13.4 7.8 7.4 3.6 9.87
1993 5.9 4.6 6.7 9.5 11.4 15.0 15.2 14.6 12.4 8.5 4.6 5.5 9.52
1994 5.3 3.2 7.7 8.1 10.7 14.5 18.0 16.0 12.7 10.2 10.1 6.4 10.29
1995 4.8 6.5 5.6 9.1 11.6 14.3 18.6 19.2 13.7 12.9 7.7 2.3 10.55
1996 4.3 2.5 4.5 8.5 9.1 14.4 16.5 16.5 13.6 11.7 5.9 2.9 9.22
1997 2.5 6.7 8.4 9.0 11.5 14.1 16.7 18.9 14.2 10.2 8.4 5.8 10.56
1998 5.2 7.3 7.9 7.7 13.1 14.2 15.5 15.9 14.9 10.6 6.2 5.5 10.35
1999 5.5 5.3 7.4 9.4 12.9 13.9 17.7 16.1 15.6 10.7 7.9 5.0 10.65
2000 4.9 6.3 7.6 7.8 12.1 15.1 15.5 16.6 14.7 10.3 7.0 5.8 10.32
2001 3.2 4.4 5.2 7.7 12.6 14.3 17.2 16.8 13.4 13.3 7.5 3.6 9.97
2002 5.5 7.0 7.6 9.3 11.8 14.4 16.0 17.0 14.4 10.1 8.5 5.7 10.63
2003 4.5 3.9 7.5 9.6 12.1 16.1 17.6 18.3 14.3 9.2 8.1 4.8 10.54
2004 5.2 5.4 6.5 9.4 12.1 15.3 15.8 17.6 14.9 10.5 7.7 5.4 10.50
2005 6.0 4.3 7.2 8.9 11.4 15.5 16.9 16.2 15.2 13.1 6.2 4.4 10.48
2006 4.3 3.7 4.9 8.6 12.3 15.9 19.7 16.1 16.8 13.0 8.1 6.5 10.87
2007 7.0 5.8 7.2 11.2 11.9 15.1 15.2 15.4 13.8 10.9 7.3 4.9 10.50
2008 6.6 5.4 6.1 7.9 13.4 13.9 16.2 16.2 13.5 9.7 7.0 3.5 9.97
2009 3.0 4.1 7.0 10.0 12.1 14.8 16.1 16.6 14.2 11.6 8.7 3.1 10.14
2010 1.4 2.8 6.1 8.8 10.7 15.2 17.1 15.3 13.8 10.3 5.2 -0.7 8.86
2011 3.7 6.4 6.7 11.8 12.2 13.8 15.2 15.4 15.1 12.6 9.6 6.0 10.72
2012 5.4 3.8 8.3 7.2 11.7 13.5 15.5 16.6 13.0 9.7 6.8 4.8 9.72
2013 3.5 3.2 2.7 7.5 10.4 13.6 18.3 16.9 13.7 12.5 6.2 6.3 9.61
2014 5.7 6.2 7.6 10.2 12.2 15.1 17.7 14.9 15.1 12.5 8.6 5.2 10.95
2015 4.4 4.0 6.4 9.0 10.8 14.0 15.9 15.9 12.6 11.0 9.5 9.7 10.31
2016 5.4 4.9 5.8 7.5 12.5 15.2 16.9 17.0 16.0 10.9 5.6 6.0 10.34
2017 4.0 6.1 8.7 8.9 13.2 16.0 16.8 15.6 13.5 12.4 6.8 4.8 10.58
2018 5.3 2.9 4.9 9.8 13.2 16.1 19.1 16.6 13.7 10.6 8.3 6.9 10.68
2019 4.0 6.7 7.8 9.1 11.1 14.2 17.5 17.1 14.3 10.0 6.2 5.8 10.34
2020 6.4 6.3 6.7 10.4 12.5 15.3 15.7 17.6 13.9 10.5 8.5 5.0 10.76