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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Some wet days are likely, but there should be dry breaks in between.
The period begins settled, turning unsettled around Tuesday 20 October.
It looks set to be on the chilly side for October, with daytime highs typically in the low teens. There are hints of temperatures reaching around 14°C later on, but the detail that far ahead is uncertain. The chilliest spell comes on Sunday 18 October, with minimums near 2°C, which is very chilly for mid-October. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
A blustery spell is anticipated around Friday 23 October, bringing gusts of 49mph. Rainfall totals look substantial, with around 104mm over the period. The wettest conditions are predicted on Friday 23 October.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.