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The pattern appears changeable, with neither high nor low pressure fully in control. Rain will feature on several days, interspersed with drier spells.
The period begins settled, turning unsettled around Wednesday 21 October, then changeable during the second week.
Overnight lows are set to become milder as the period progresses.
Temperatures look well below average for October, with daytime highs typically only in the low teens. The coldest night looks to be Saturday 17 October, with lows around 1°C, which is very chilly for mid-October. Sheltered and rural areas may see patchy frost during clearer nights.
Some of the model output hints at gusts near 47mph later on, though timing at that range is unreliable. Rainfall totals could be significant, with around 55mm over the period.
These forecasts use interpolation to improve accuracy for your specific location, and are powered by either ECMWF or GFS model data depending on your selection. As with all weather forecasts, confidence decreases rapidly beyond 5 days ahead — treat the later dates as a heads-up about possible conditions rather than a firm prediction.
If you have a moment, please let us know what you think.
Days where frost, strong winds, heavy rain or snow are indicated in this forecast.
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Data from different computer models is blended to increase accuracy.
Charts showing the spread of possible outcomes across all members of an ensemble model.