Crepuscular Ray
01 March 2024 11:50:44
My daughter's team (carers) have had their work cut out this morning in the High Peak. Quite a bit of snow on the roads
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
01 March 2024 12:27:54
We can use the radar to estimate where the downstream effects of evap is going to be most effective. I've used the rainfall tendency as a proxy for wind direction in the boundary layer; this is better than surface wind since its more up to date and takes height into account. Anyway you can see that the winds are perpendiculat to the front for most of England so evap cooling is ineficient. BUT the showers in the south west cover large parts of England in cold air downstream. I've highlighted in blue where the greatest potential is.

https://snipboard.io/PBQ5oL.jpg
IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page
 

Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
scillydave
01 March 2024 12:44:33
Very heavy hail shower here about 10 minutes ago. A real window rattler.
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
Brian Gaze
01 March 2024 13:36:27
Rain, glorious rain, in the Chilterns. Lots of it too. 
Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
overland
01 March 2024 14:08:26
Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Your bubble of cold is on its way to cornwall and devon now.

Its time to look South west for the snow risk. Its not often plymouth and exetor are in the firing line!
 



I hope this equally applies to Swansea! We have had a couple of heavy hail showers, but no snow - yet!
Mumbles, Swansea. 80m asl
Tim A
01 March 2024 14:47:58
We had some wet flakes in the heavier bursts but far off settling snow with the temp above 2.5c at all times.  7mm rain so that would have been a good fall had it been a couple of degrees colder.
Moors look white above 350m to the SW. 

Have to get very lucky from an intense shower to get anything out of this weekend. 
Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl


ARTzeman
01 March 2024 14:55:52
several falls of hail and rain today. The  latest covering the edges of the lawn.




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Surrey John
02 March 2024 06:38:55
Have about 3cm of snow lying on ground which fell overnight.
Already starting to melt as now drizzling 

Wasn't expecting snow in Wiltshire

 
Bradford on Avon, Wiltshire
35m ASL
overland
02 March 2024 07:31:44
Settling snow in Bath too!
Mumbles, Swansea. 80m asl
Matty H
02 March 2024 07:35:51
A few cm of snow here. Still snowing
Jim-55
02 March 2024 08:25:50
Oh what a surprise, for the dogs anyway, woke up to around two and a half inches this morning, no longer snowing and thawing already underway so won't be around long. 


I thought I'd edit this and add how I felt when I saw the snow, I didn't feel anything, for the first time in my life I didn't get at all excited, must be either getting too old or just fed up with seeing a little bit of slushy rubbish and nothing more.
Previously JimC. joined back then in 2009. Frome, N/E Somerset, 125mtrs asl.
Saint Snow
02 March 2024 15:26:48
Nothing but rain (and long spells of dry) here

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
dagspot
02 March 2024 22:40:17
very wet sleet.  More ‘snow’  in Hollywood than here this winter. 
Neilston 600ft ASL
doctormog
24 March 2024 08:19:32
An interesting “forecast” for Aboyne (based on the 00z GFS op run this morning): https://www.xcweather.co.uk/forecast/Aboyne  
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
24 March 2024 13:56:08
Saw doctormog posted in here.

This could really deliver for you if you like snow! Not much interest outside of NE scotland though!
Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
doctormog
24 March 2024 14:08:43
Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Saw doctormog posted in here.

This could really deliver for you if you like snow! Not much interest outside of NE scotland though!



Not here I doubt but a bit inland with elevation. I suspect there will probably just be flooding in low lying areas of NE Scotland.
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
24 March 2024 14:36:15
Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Not here I doubt but a bit inland with elevation. I suspect there will probably just be flooding in low lying areas of NE Scotland.


https://modeles16.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm/runs/2024032406/nmm_uk1-37-35-0.png?24-10

WRF is showing that the airmass coming off the sea is genuinely  
cold. On the immediate coast, rain yes, but even a bit inland will be enough I reckon particularly if the precip occurs at night.
 
Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
Quantum
  • Quantum
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
24 March 2024 19:41:48
Really envy those that live in NE scotland. This could be quite something. This is the snow only up to midnight Tuesday, when the Met warning only starts to become valid.
IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

Twitter: @QuantumOverlord (general), @MedicaneWatch (medicane/TC stuff)
2023/2024 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):
29/11 (-6), 30/11 (-6), 02/12 (-5), 03/12 (-5), 04/12 (-3), 16/01 (-3), 18/01 (-8), 08/02 (-5)

Total: 8 days with snow/sleet falling.

2022/2023 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

18/12 (-1), 06/03 (-6), 08/03 (-8), 09/03 (-6), 10/03 (-8), 11/03 (-5), 14/03 (-6)

Total: 7 days with snow/sleet falling.

2021/2022 Snow days (approx 850hpa temp):

26/11 (-5), 27/11 (-7), 28/11 (-6), 02/12 (-6), 06/01 (-5), 07/01 (-6), 06/02 (-5), 19/02 (-5), 24/02 (-7), 30/03 (-7), 31/03 (-8), 01/04 (-8)
Total: 12 days with snow/sleet falling.
doctormog
25 March 2024 13:24:13
I see that the Met Office has now cancelled the warning for rain and snow.
Viking3
25 March 2024 23:04:11
Rain changed over to snow surprisingly early today - around 4pm - and it has snowed steadily since then leaving 1-2cm on grass and cars but little or no accumulation on roads or pavements.
Keith
Aboyne, Aberdeenshire
135m asl
Users browsing this topic

Ads