UK Seasonal Outlook

The seasonal outlook is updated every three months. Forecast availability is: Spring - March 1st, Summer - June 1st, Autumn - September 1st, Winter - December 1st.

Spring 2014: Mixed season

Important note about long range weather forecasts
It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts. 

Overview
A close to average spring. Temperatures probably a little above average. No strong signal for rainfall levels, but possibly a slight bias towards wetter than average.
 
Temperature
The spring is expected to be slightly warmer than average over the 3 month period.   


Precipitation
Close to or slightly above average over the 3 month period.  

March
Temperature: Above average  
Precipitation: Close to average 
First half
The first half of the month will start with unsettled weather and rather chilly conditions across the country. Temperatures should recover quite quickly, becoming increasingly mild in southern and central regions, but probably remaining close to average in the north. For a time it may also become significantly drier in southern regions, but a more unsettled picture is expected further north and west during the second week of the month.

The second half of the month is expected to start off changeable in the north west, but drier further south and east. Temperatures at this stage possibly significantly above average in southern regions, and close to or slightly above average in the north. Later in the period rather changeable conditions probably extending further south and east with rain or showers at times in all regions. Temperatures becoming close to or slightly above average.
April
Temperature: Close to average
Precipitation: Close to average
The first half of the month is expected to bring quite unsettled and at times chilly conditions with heavy showers and some longer spells of rain. It may be cold enough for the showers to turn wintry at times over higher ground, and more widely in northern areas. The wettest conditions possibly moving further south with drier and colder conditions further north.

The second half of the month probably unsettled for much of the time, but temperatures generally becoming close to the seasonal average. As the forecast period progresses there could be increasing chance of drier and warmer spells, particularly in southern and central regions.
May
Temperature: Slightly above average
Precipitation: Slightly above average

The first half of the month is expected to bring warmer than average conditions, with a good deal of sunshine, but also heavy showers. Northern areas possibly cooler at times with more prolonged spells of rain.

The second half of the month is expected to see temperatures close to or slightly above average over the period as a whole. Rather changeable conditions with some drier and warmer spells, but also heavy showers and more persistent rain at times. The driest and warmest conditions most likely in the south.
     
Forecast Issued 28/02/2014
10 day weather forecast links London - Birmingham - BelfastEdinburgh - Newcastle - Bristol


DISCUSSION

Regularly updated discussion forecasts.

14 day outlook

Monthly outlook

Seasonal outlook

Christmas outlook