UK Seasonal Outlook

The seasonal outlook is updated every three months. Forecast availability is: Spring - March 1st, Summer - June 1st, Autumn - September 1st, Winter - December 1st.

Spring: Cold to warm

Forecast Issued 29/02/2016

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

Overview

During the first half of the meteorological spring there is considered to be an increased chance of below average temperatures and above average precipitation. During the second half of the season the chances of drier and warmer than average weather are increased.

Temperature

Close to or slightly above average.

Precipitation

Close to average.

March

Temperature:

Slightly below average

Precipitation:

Close to average

First half

The first half of the month is expected to bring changeable and quite cold conditions for much of the time with all regions having showers or longer spells of rain but also drier periods. It is expected to be cold enough for some sleet or snow, especially over higher ground and in the north. On the whole temperatures in the south should be closer to the seasonal average than in the north.

Second half

The second half of the month should bring closer to average temperatures for all parts with colder and milder periods. Mixed weather is expected with all regions having showers or longer spells of rain but also dry periods.

 

 

April

Temperature:

Close to average

Precipitation:

Slightly above average

First half

The first half of the month is expected to be rather unsettled and at times rather cold. Showers or more persistent spells of rain are likely to affect all regions. It may still be cold enough at times for some wintry showers which could bring sleet or snow, especially in northern areas. Nighttime frosts are likely at times.

Second half

The second half of the month will probably bring unsettled weather for much of the time, although temperatures may become close to the seasonal average.  As the forecast period progresses there may be an increasing chance of drier and warmer spells of weather developing in southern and central regions.

May

Temperature:

Above average

Precipitation

Slightly below average

First half

The first half of the month is expected to bring warmer than average conditions, with a good deal of dry and increasingly sunny weather. Northern areas may well be less settled and cooler at times with showers or longer spells of rain.

Second half

The second half of the month should see temperatures often continuing above average, although it may well turn generally less settled  with showers or longer outbreaks of rain returning for a time.

Other forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook

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