The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

July weather: Changeable 

Issued 02/07/2016


Close to average.


Slightly above average.



1/7 to 7/7


Showery conditions affect all regions at first but during the middle part of the week it may become more settled and warmer for a time, especially in southern and central regions. Towards the end of the week wet weather is expected to return from the west and push eastwards across all central and northern regions, but the south may hang on to mostly dry conditions.

8/7 to 14/7


All regions are expected to have showery conditions and perhaps more persistent spells of rain. Despite this dry periods should develop at times, these are most probably in the south. Temperatures are forecast to remain close to the seasonal average but there is a chance of it warming up in the south towards the end of the week.

15/7 to 31/7

Changeable. [Forecast confidence is low.]

Generally mixed weather is expected with all regions having showers or longer spells of rain. Some drier and warmer periods are expected with these more likely to develop in the south. Temperatures generally close to average but possibly warm in the south at times.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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