The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from global forecasting models and our own analysis.

August weather: Quite mixed

Forecast Issued 31/07/2017


Close to average in the north and slightly above average in the south.


Close to average.



1/8 to 7/8

Changeable but warmer and drier days in the south.

All regions have showers or more persistent spells of rain during the first few days. Through the rest of the period it remains changeable but the south should have quite a lot of fine weather. Temperatures on the low side early on but in the south it may become quite warm later on.

8/8 to 14/8

North to south split.

The south has a reasonable amount of dry and fine weather but the north remains more changeable with an ongoing risk of showery spells of rain. In the south temperatures should often be close to or slightly above the average. The north remains cooler.

15/8 to 31/8

Mixed. [Forecast confidence is low]

The southern half of the UK is forecast to have decent late summer conditions for quite a lot of the period, although some changeable spells are likely to bring the likelihood of rain at times. In the north more changeable conditions persist, bringing an ongoing risk of showers or longer spells of rain. Temperatures generally close to the average but perhaps quite warm in the south.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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