The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

July: Warmer than average

Temperature
Over the forecast period temperatures are expected to be slightly above average.

Precipitation
Slightly below average.

1/7 to 7/7
Mostly dry and bright weather is likely during the first half of the week across much of the country, although scattered showers are likely to develop with a few heavy ones possible. Cloudier at times in southern coastal counties.  Becoming warm in the south.

The second half of the week is expected to start off very warm in the south, but in the north west cloud and rain return from the Atlantic. Through the rest of the period wet weather pushes south eastwards across all of the country with brighter and showery conditions following on behind.

8/7 to 14/7
Southern and central regions are expected to have a good deal of dry and fine weather for much of the week although early on there could be some showers. Quite warm. In the north some bright conditions too but here it is likely to remain changeable and cooler with the risk of showers or longer spells of rain at times.

15/7 to 30/7
Forecast confidence for this period is low. The second half of the month looks set to bring a reasonable amount of fine and summery weather to southern and central regions. Possibly becoming very warm or hot at times with the risk of thundery showers.

In northern regions more unsettled conditions are possible with showers or longer spells of rain at times. Drier and warmer spells too so that overall conditions shouldn't be close to or slightly warmer and drier than average.

Quick 7 day forecast links London - Birmingham - BelfastEdinburgh - Newcastle - Bristol


Important note about long range weather forecasts
It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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