The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

February: Often unsettled


Slightly above average.


Above average.



1/2 to 7/2


Unsettled conditions persist through the week. After a mild start colder and showery weather quickly pushes southeastwards. In the north of the UK showers turn wintry and increasingly fall as snow over higher ground. During the second half of the week wet and windy weather returns from the west and temperatures return to the seasonal average or perhaps above it in the south.

8/2 to 14/2

Often unsettled.

Unsettled conditions persist through the week with wet and windy periods in all regions. The wettest and windiest spells are likely to be in the north and here it could be cold enough for snow over higher ground and perhaps down to lower levels on occasion. Nighttime frosts may become more widespread towards the end of the period. 

15/2 to 29/2

Forecast confidence for this period is low.

Possibly quite cold at first with a risk of wintry showers and nighttime frosts. Unsettled and milder conditions are forecast to return quite quickly and persist for much of the rest of the period, although colder interludes remains possible in the north.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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