The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

April: Close to average

Slightly above average.

Slightly below average in the east but close to average in the west.



1/4 to 7/4

Mixed to begin with but drier and milder later.

Changeable conditions are expected in all regions during the first few days of the month with showers or longer spells of rain but also drier spells. Generally chilly but in bright spells temperatures becoming close to the early April average. 

Through the middle and second half of the week it is expected to be drier but often quite cloudy, especially in central and eastern regions. In brighter spells temperatures are likely to climb above the early April average making it feel pleasantly warm but staying chilly where cloud cover persists.

8/4 to 14/4

Often dry with temperatures largely dependent on cloud cover.

A good deal of dry weather is forecast through the early and middle part of the week. In the south it could be quite chilly and cloudy. Central and northern regions have a better chance of brighter spells and milder temperatures. In the north west of the UK disturbances from the Atlantic possibly bring a more changeable theme and towards the end of the week there is a chance of these bringing the risk of rain farther south eastwards. 

15/4 to 31/4

Forecast confidence for this period is low.

Through the second half of the month a transition to more unsettled weather over all regions is anticipated. Despite this rainfall amounts in the south east perhaps remain below average and temperatures close to or slightly above average. In the north west a wetter picture is expected with rainfall and temperatures close to average for the second half of April.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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