The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

August weather: Reasonable 

Issued 01/08/2016


Slightly above average.


Slightly below average.



1/8 to 7/8


The week begins with outbreaks of rain spreading across southern and central regions and in places they will be heavy and persistent. The wet weather gradually pushes northeastwards with brighter and showery conditions developing during the middle of the week. During the last few days of the week southern counties turn drier and warmer but in the north west it remains unsettled, and here it may become unusually windy for the time of year.

8/8 to 14/8

Mostly fine in the south.

Southern counties have a good deal of dry weather with sunny spells and variable amounts of cloud. In the north west a more changeable picture persists with some drier spells but also showers or more prolonged outbreaks of rain. Temperatures generally close to the average but feeling pleasantly warm during the day in southern counties.

15/8 to 31/8

Often reasonable. [Forecast confidence is low.]

Southern counties have a good deal of dry weather but there is a risk of heavy showers at times. In the north a fair amount of fine weather is expected but intermittent spells of rain are likely, especially in the north west. Temperatures generally close to the average but perhaps warm or very warm at times in the south.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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