The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

March: Milder than average

Temperature
Slightly above average in the north, above average in the south.

Precipitation
Below average in the south, close to average in the north west.

 

 

1/3 to 7/3

A cold and wintry start followed by a milder end.

During the first half of the week a cold westerly flow will bring a mix of sunshine and showers to all regions. The showers are likely to be wintry with snow falling down to lower levels at times. Over higher ground in the north accumulating snow is expected.

Through the second half of the week outbreaks of rain are likely in the northern half of the UK. Cloudier conditions are expected at times in the south and there could be some patchy rain. Turning significantly milder with temperatures ending the week well above the seasonal average. In sunny spells it should feel quite warm. 

8/3 to 14/3

Milder than average in the south.

The early part of the week is forecast to remain very mild and mostly dry in southern and central regions. In the north it may be quite unsettled with an ongoing risk of rain and temperatures falling back towards average.

A north west to south east split is set to persist during the second half of the week. In the north west there could be cloudier and wetter spells at times. Farther south east a drier picture is favoured with daytime temperatures staying above average but the nights perhaps turning chillier.

15/3 to 31/3

Forecast confidence for this period is low.

Through the second half of the month cold a transition to more unsettled weather over all regions is anticipated. Despite this rainfall amounts in the south may remain below average and temperatures close to or slightly above average. In the north west a wetter picture is expected with rainfall and temperatures close to average for the second half of March.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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