The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

January weather: Cold mid-month 

Issued 02/01/2017


Slightly below average.


Slightly above average in the north west, slightly below average in the south east.



1/1 to 7/1

Cold start but milder later

Rain clears southwards leaving much of the UK with cold and dry weather, but in the north and east there will be scattered wintry showers. During the middle of the week it remains cold and dry in southern and central regions but the north west becomes milder and more changeable. Towards the end of the period milder and more changeable weather pushes southwards but rain is most likely in the north.

8/1 to 14/1

Mild start but turning colder

At the start of the period changeable and quite mild weather is expected. During the course of the week it is likely to turn progressively colder with an increasing risk of nighttime frosts. In the north showers increasingly turn to snow and become quite widespread. There is a risk of wintry conditions spreading into southern and central counties later.

15/1 to 31/1

Cold and wintry start. [Forecast confidence is low.]

Predominantly cold conditions are expected during the first half of this period with widespread and sharp frosts. There is likely to be a risk of snow in northern regions and this may extend southwards at times. During the second half of the period a gradual change to more unsettled and milder weather is forecast but this could lead to some transitional snow.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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