The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

February weather: Cold mid-month 

Issued 01/02/2017


Close to average


Close to average



1/2 to 7/2


All regions have unsettled and mild weather early on. Heavy spells of rain are forecast and there is a likelihood of gales, or even severe gales at times. After a mild start it becomes cooler during the middle part of the period and this leads to an increasing risk of snow over high ground in the north. Through the rest of the week it stays unsettled.

8/2 to 14/2

Turning colder

The week starts with mixed weather, but it is expected to turn progressively colder. The risk of overnight frosts increases and in the east wintry showers are possible. More changeable weather may continue in the west for a time, but during the second half of the week it probably turns drier and colder there too.

15/2 to 28/2

Cold start then more changeable [Forecast confidence is low]

Cold conditions are expected early in the period with widespread frosts. During the second half of the first week more unsettled weather may return to western regions and gradually extend eastward. This could lead to a band of rain being preceded by snow in places. During the rest of the period changeable weather is likely, with all regions having further spells of rain and the possibility of colder snaps.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.

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