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The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.
 

June: Mixed overall

Temperature
Over the forecast period temperatures should be slightly above the Central England Temperature (CET) average.
Precipitation
Close to average.
1/6 to 7/6
A good deal of dry and fine weather is expected across most parts of the country with temperatures progressively increasing. Late in the week it should be warm or very warm in the south, and generally fine, but with the chance of a few showers developing. Scotland and Northern Ireland should also have a lot of reasonable weather, but also cloudier conditions with some showers at times during the week.   
8/6 to 14/6 
The week is expected to start off mostly dry with sunny periods and above average temperatures making it feel quite warm and possibly humid. During the period a transition to more unsettled weather is likely to take place with all regions at risk of showers or longer spells of rain later on. Temperatures trending back down towards the mid-June average. 
15/6 to 30/6
The most likely outcome for the second half of the month is considered to be changeable weather with showers or longer spells of rain affecting all parts of Britain at times, but also some dry and fine spells. Temperatures should be close to the seasonal average overall, although cool during wet spells.
Key
Temperature
Much above average - the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be more than 2C above the 1961-90 average

Above average – the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be 1C to 2C above the 1961-90 average

Close to average – the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be between 1C  below and 1C above the 1961-90 average

Below average – the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be 1C to 2C below the 1961-90 average

Much below average - the Central England Temperature (CET) is expected to be more than 2C below the 1961-90 average

Rainfall
Much above average - expected to be more than  150% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series

Above average - expected to be between 125% and  150% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series

Close to average - expected to be between 75% and  125% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series

Below average – expected to be between 75% and  50% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series

Much below average - expected to be below than 50% of the England & Wales Rainfall Series
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