The month ahead

The monthly outlook is based on output from various global forecasting models combined with our own analysis.

October: Often unsettled

Slightly above average in the south, close to average in the north.

Slightly above average.

1/10 to 7/10

After a fairly quiet start with above average temperatures a transition to more unsettled weather is expected to develop during the middle part of the week. A period of rain accompanied by strong winds is likely to spread south eastwards with cooler and showery conditions following on behind from the west,

During the latter part of the of the week further outbreaks of rain may push eastwards over all regions. Temperatures becoming mostly close to average, but quite cool in the north west.

8/10 to 14/10

The unsettled spell is likely to continue throughout the week. This means outbreaks of rain are expected in all regions, but they are likely to be the heaviest and most frequent in the north and west. Drier and brighter spells are likely in the south and east at times.

Temperatures in the north west probably close to or slightly below average and in the south east close to or slightly above the average.

15/10 to 31/10

Forecast confidence for this period is low.

A continuation of the mostly unsettled spell of weather is expected. Spells of wet and windy conditions are predicted in all regions and at times it could become stormy. Over high ground in Scotland it could be cold enough for snow at times. Overall this period temperatures are expected to be close to average in the north and slightly above average in the south.

Important note about long range weather forecasts: It is considered impossible to say with certainty what the weather will be like more than a few days ahead in the UK. Long range forecasts on TheWeatherOutlook have not been independently verified, and we make no claims for their accuracy. A range of factors including seasonal computer models, recent weather patterns, sea surface temperatures and teleconnections are considered when making the forecasts.


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