UK outlook issued Thursday 28th July 2016
Changeable. All regions can expect some rain.
Friday: Showery outbreaks of rain push southwards into central and southern regions through the day. The north has a mix of sunshine and showers. Feeling quite muggy in the south but cooler and fresher in the north.
Saturday, Sunday: Showers are possible in all regions but the heaviest ones are forecast to be in the north. Sunny spells develop widely and in the south the days should feel pleasantly warm, but the nights will be cool and fresh, especially in the north.
Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday: Changeable conditions continue. Showers or more persistent spells of rain are possible in all areas, but especially in the north where it could also become windy at times. In the south there should be quite a lot of dry and sunny weather. Temperatures in the north are likely to be close to the average but warmer spells are probable in the south.
Forecast confidence is moderate to high.
Best in the south.
Southern counties probably have a reasonable amount of fine weather and on occasion it could become warm and humid. In central and northern regions cooler and more unsettled spells are likely and these could extend southwards at times.
Forecast confidence is low to moderate.
During the first week areas of low pressure centred to the north of the UK are expected to continue influencing the weather over the country. This set-up suggests most of the coolest conditions and most frequent showers will affect the north.
Through the second week there may be more of a tendency for high pressure to build across southern counties, but the north probably remains under a westerly flow with disturbances pushing in from the Atlantic.
Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis
The GFS is the computer model which we base our 16 day weather forecasts on.
Changeable weather affects all of the UK during the first week and it will become cooler and fresher. Through the second week mixed conditions continue.
For a huge range of data see the chart viewer which provides output from the HIRLAM, CFSv2, GEM, GFS, GEFS, ECM, WW3, Arpege, Arome and Fax models and works on PCs, tablet computers such as the iPad and smartphones.
The 14 day UK weather forecast is updated twice weekly.
Check the latest local weather forecasts using the place of postcode selector near the top of this page. Links below are to UK discussion and long range outlooks on the site.
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