14 day UK weather: Mixed

UK outlook issued Thursday 25th August 2016

Week 1

Mixed.

Friday: Early rain clears away from Scotland to leave sunny spells in all regions. In the north west scattered showers develop in the afternoon but elsewhere it remains fine. Warm in the south but feeling fresher than in recent days. 

Saturday: Outbreaks of rain develop in southern and central regions, and these possibly become heavy at times. Despite this there will be some drier and possibly brighter spells too. The north is expected to have a dry day with variable amounts of cloud. Quite warm in the south.

Sunday: Outbreaks of rain continue to be a risk for much of England and Wales. In Scotland and Northern Ireland there could be some scattered showers. 

Bank Holiday Monday: Sunny spells develop widely but there will be showers too. Temperatures generally close to the seasonal average.

Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday: Changeable conditions continue through this period. In the north west significant rainfall is likely but in the south east the emphasis is on drier and brighter weather. Temperatures close to the seasonal average but warmer at times in the south.

Forecast confidence is moderate.

 

 

Week 2

Best in the south.

A mixed picture continues through the week. The south is forecast to have a reasonable amount of dry and bright weather. In the north a more changeable pattern develops bringing showers or longer periods of rain and these are likely to spread southwards on occasion. Warm at times in the south but in the north temperatures generally stay close to the average.

Forecast confidence is moderate.

Overview

Early in the forecast cooler air gradually filters southeastwards but the warm continental air mass is expected to remain close by over the near continent. Through the second half of the first week a predominantly Atlantic based pattern prevails in central and northern regions but the south probably remains under the influence of high pressure. 

Through the second week Atlantic disturbances are forecast to gradually push south and eastwards. High pressure may continue to be an influence on the weather in the south.

Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis

Points of note

The Bank Holiday weekend is forecast to bring mixed weather. On Saturday and Sunday there are likely to be outbreaks of rain around but on Monday there should be a good deal of dry and bright weather, although a scattering of showers is expected.

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