14 day UK: Often settled
The 14 day UK weather forecast is issued twice weekly. Update Thursday 6th March 2014
A lot of settled weather is expected during the week in much of the UK. The forecast week will begin on Friday with outbreaks of rain in northern regions gradually pushing further south but becoming lighter and patchier as they do. Very mild in southern and central regions but turning colder across Scotland with a risk of wintry showers. The weekend is expected to be dry and very mild or even warmish in southern and central regions with temperatures possibly reaching 18C (64F) locally. In the north west cloudier and cooler with further outbreaks of rain at times. By Monday cloud and patchy rain is likely to push south, but once this clears away mostly dry conditions returning for the rest of the week. Temperatures probably lower for a time with a risk of night frosts returning, but becoming very mild again towards the end of the forecast week. Forecast confidence is moderate to high.
Changeable weather with showers or longer spells of rain is expected in the north west. Further south east it should be drier for much of the week, but rain is still possible at times. Mild in the south during the days, but possibly quite cold nights under clear skies. Temperatures close to average in the north. Forecast confidence moderate.
A major change with high pressure dominating the weather for the first time in several months. Initially very mild air is likely to be pumped up from the south west with temperatures becoming very much above average. Later in the first week cooler air off the near continent is expected to return as the high pressure builds further north. During the second week a transition to more changeable conditions may begin to develop.
Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis
The GFS is the computer model which we base our 16 day weather forecasts on.
Points of note
Plenty of dry weather for much of the UK in the next week or so. Initially very mild, but temperatures are likely to return trend down towards the average after the first few days, at least for a while. Keep an eye on forecasts throughout the period as the details are likely to change. Don't forget our upgraded chart viewer page
now offers output from the HIRLAM, GFS, GEFS, ECM, WW3 and Fax output brand new seasonal charts are now available using data from the CFSv2 model. The chart viewer page works great on PCs and tablet computers such as the iPad.