UK outlook issued Thursday 30th June 2016
Friday: Early rain clears the south east to leave all regions with a mix of sunshine and showers. During the afternoon showers become frequent and heavy in central and northern regions. Temperatures below average for the beginning of July.
Saturday: All regions have sunny spells but showers develop through the morning. During the afternoon the showers become heavy and thundery. Rather cool.
Sunday: Central and northern areas have a mix of sunshine and showers. In the south there is the risk of a more prolonged spell of rain pushing eastwards through the day.
Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday: Changeable weather continues throughout this period with all regions having showers. Some drier spells develop, the best of these are likely to be in the south. There also temperatures could edge upwards at times but generally it is expected to be quite cool for the time of year.
Forecast confidence is high.
Mixed conditions are forecast in all regions. Spells of wet weather are expected to be the most frequent in the north with a better chance of sunny and dry periods in the south. Temperatures generally stay close to the seasonal average.
Forecast confidence is moderate.
During the first week areas of low pressure remain close to the north of the UK. High pressure centred over the Azores may ridge towards the south of the UK bringing a better chance of more settled conditions there at times.
Through the second week the latest guide suggests a similar pattern is likely to persist. High pressure ridging from the Azores influences the weather in the southern half of the UK at times.
Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis
The GFS is the computer model which we base our 16 day weather forecasts on.
Changeable weather is expected for much of the forecast period with all regions having significant rainfall.
For a huge range of data see the chart viewer which provides output from the HIRLAM, CFSv2, GEM, GFS, GEFS, ECM, WW3, Arpege, Arome and Fax models and works on PCs, tablet computers such as the iPad and smartphones.
The 14 day UK weather forecast is updated twice weekly.
Check the latest local weather forecasts using the place of postcode selector near the top of this page. Links below are to UK discussion and long range outlooks on the site.
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