Warm spring confirmed then

http://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/774074/UK-weather-forecast-long-range-coldest-spring-snow-May-weather-warning

The irony of it

"The Met Office’s 30-day forecast warns of the risk of a prolonged cold spell during the start of Spring." and right on cue the met office dropped that line from the LFR as you can see above

Into next weekend

Staying unsettled
Windy at times
Turning colder - "Could last for quite some time"

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39148240 

Into next weekend

Staying unsettled
Windy at times
Turning colder - "Could last for quite some time"

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39148240

A BIT rich coming from Jay Wynne's forecast. - Finally we may get an easterly and for some time' or as the met office have said this is the chance of a "Prolonged cold spell developing more widely with snow in places" etc

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Wednesday 8 Mar 2017 to Friday 17 Mar 2017:

Probably remaining changeable through to the middle of March with showers or longer spells of rain at times, these occasionally heavy. However, there will also be some drier and clearer interludes. Most areas likely to see some wet spells through the first few days of the period. It will also be windy at times with gales in exposed areas, mainly in the west. Further rain is also likely later next week in the north where some snow is possible over higher ground. A more settled spell is expected across the south and east. Temperatures will be around normal, occasionally turning mild, particularly in the south, and perhaps rather cold at times in the north, with some overnight frosts too.

UK Outlook for Saturday 18 Mar 2017 to Saturday 1 Apr 2017:

The changeable conditions look set to continue through the rest of March, though there is low confidence in the detail. Colder, showery spells are likely to be interspersed with milder, more generally wet periods, and some prolonged drier spells too. There is also likely to be a wide variation in temperatures. There is potential for a period of colder temperatures around the middle of the month, with more in the way of frosts and perhaps snow, especially in the north, before turning milder later.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Next weekend

Turning colder
Sunny spells
Showers in north

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39158965 

a few nights ago on BBC weather they said turning colder in a week or so time  with cold air coming from the north/north west.

Next weekend

Turning colder
Sunny spells
Showers in north

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39158965

 

Almost fell asleep listening to Jay!!

We need someone like this back again to make forecasts more exciting and interesting:

https://youtu.be/j1weMtR66o8

Funniest moment around 01:15 to 01:20 ...pause and listen

 

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Thursday 9 Mar 2017 to Saturday 18 Mar 2017:

An unsettled theme looks likely until the middle of March. Bands of rain will cross the UK with more showery and bright interludes probable in between. The heaviest rain is expected in western and north-western areas with wintry showers likely over higher ground. The unsettled weather could also bring windy spells with gales in exposed places. Temperatures are thought to be around average; perhaps milder in the southeast, but all areas could get colder as we go through the period with more of a northerly influence. This period could bring snow for a time even to lower levels in the north; with the best of the dry weather further southwest where it could feel much more settled. Overnight frosts could also feature nationwide through the middle of March.

UK Outlook for Sunday 19 Mar 2017 to Sunday 2 Apr 2017:

Initially a rather cold northerly influence is the probable scenario, and feeling generally more settled, especially in the south, however longer spells of rain stay more likely in the north and east. Towards the end of March there is a degree of uncertainty, but there is some evidence in favour of a more settled spell of weather. This could bring drier-than-average conditions, with temperatures probably around average for late March, however the confidence for this set-up is low.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Is there any point in newspapers publishing weather forecasts? It`s a lovely sunny day here (so far) with current temp of 11.5C. Yet this morning`s Daily Telegraph forecast says "NW England, Lake District, IoM, Cent N England and NE England.  Spells of rain today, becoming dry tonight."

I wonder who provides their forecasts?

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Is there any point in newspapers publishing weather forecasts? It`s a lovely sunny day here (so far) with current temp of 11.5C. Yet this morning`s Daily Telegraph forecast says "NW England, Lake District, IoM, Cent N England and NE England.  Spells of rain today, becoming dry tonight."

I wonder who provides their forecasts?

Not sure who provides their forecasts but some of them are so basic that I wouldn't be surprised if they just made it up themselves. In any case, print forecasts are often out of date as soon as they are published.

I think the UKMO are the best and their current extended outlook looks fairly spot on when we see the current model output. Trending colder next weekend and through mid month. Beyond that time frame will always be of low confidence, regardless of the source.

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Next weekend

Turning colder
Often windy
Unsettled

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39167162 

watching the late night BBC weather last night and they said that it will turn colder next weekend, with a few options of a NORTH/NORTH WEST or A NORTH EAST slack flow/ either way it will be turning colder they said

watching the late night BBC weather last night and they said that it will turn colder next weekend, with a few options of a NORTH/NORTH WEST or A NORTH EAST slack flow/ either way it will be turning colder they said

Looks like average temps now. - Nothing really cold about this and it could feel mild if not warm in the south.,

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Friday 10 Mar 2017 to Sunday 19 Mar 2017:

An unsettled theme looks likely until the middle of March. Bands of rain will cross the UK with more showery and bright interludes probable in between. The heaviest rain is expected in western and north-western areas with wintry showers likely over higher ground. The unsettled weather could also bring windy spells with gales in exposed places. Temperatures are thought to be around average; perhaps milder in the southeast, but all areas could get colder as we go through the period with more of a northerly influence. This period could bring snow for a time even to lower levels in the north; with the best of the dry weather further southwest where it could feel much more settled. Overnight frosts could also feature nationwide through the middle of March.

UK Outlook for Monday 20 Mar 2017 to Monday 3 Apr 2017:

Initially a rather cold northerly influence is the probable scenario, and feeling generally more settled, especially in the south, however longer spells of rain stay more likely in the north and east. Towards the end of March there is a degree of uncertainty, but there is some evidence in favour of a more settled spell of weather. This could bring drier-than-average conditions, with temperatures probably around average for late March, however the confidence for this set-up is low.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Weekend and beyond

Wettest in north

Breezy

Average temperatures

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39173168

"FREEZESTER HOL Britain is set to face an ARCTIC Easter with bone-chilling temperatures of MINUS 8C as ‘polar vortex’ sends icy winds ahead of THREE months of mad weather

Expect mad weather for the next three months with Atlantic gales in March, Polar snow in April and a heatwave for May

BRITAIN is facing an Arctic Easter next month with temperatures of MINUS 8C. A “polar vortex” will send icy winds from the far north in the run-up to Easter Sunday, the Met Office warns. Snow is also expected as part of a mad three months of weather. Forecasters say Atlantic gales will batter Britain until late March, with 50mph gusts due in the South from Monday. Councils, transport bosses and emergency services have also been briefed to expect snow and sub-zero temperatures around Easter Sunday on April 16.

Cold April spells have seen -5C to -11C in each of the past five years, Met Office records show. The ‘polar vortex’ – the North Pole’s dominant low pressure – is forecast to weaken, meaning high pressure would block mild westerly winds and allow cold air to hit Britain. However, the heat could be on in May — with temperatures set to hit 26C.Hot spells are expected due to warm continental air arriving thanks to high pressure ‘blocking.’ May has seen highs of 24C to 31C in each of the past five years, Met Office records show. May is expected to be so warm that much-warmer-than-usual temperatures are eight times more likely than much-colder-than-average over the next three months - even taking into account the April chill, the Met Office said.

Weather Outlook forecaster Brian Gaze said: “Don't put your winter coat away. "There is an increased risk of snow ahead. “But there is an increasing chance of warmer spells later in spring, with warmer-than-average conditions likely in May and a good deal of sunshine.”

The Met Office three-month forecast said: “There is an increased likelihood of mild, wet and windy conditions for the UK in this early part of the outlook period. “A weak stratospheric polar vortex could influence late March and April. "This leads to a moderate increase in the chances of cold weather.

“March to May forecasts show influence from blocked conditions.

"By May, blocking tends to bring warmer weather.

“Overall, March to May overall has an increased chance of above-normal temperatures.”

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/3017010/britain-arctic-easter-minus-8c-mad-weather-polar-vortex-easter/ 

"FREEZESTER HOL Britain is set to face an ARCTIC Easter with bone-chilling temperatures of MINUS 8C as ‘polar vortex’ sends icy winds ahead of THREE months of mad weather

Expect mad weather for the next three months with Atlantic gales in March, Polar snow in April and a heatwave for May

BRITAIN is facing an Arctic Easter next month with temperatures of MINUS 8C. A “polar vortex” will send icy winds from the far north in the run-up to Easter Sunday, the Met Office warns. Snow is also expected as part of a mad three months of weather. Forecasters say Atlantic gales will batter Britain until late March, with 50mph gusts due in the South from Monday. Councils, transport bosses and emergency services have also been briefed to expect snow and sub-zero temperatures around Easter Sunday on April 16.

Cold April spells have seen -5C to -11C in each of the past five years, Met Office records show. The ‘polar vortex’ – the North Pole’s dominant low pressure – is forecast to weaken, meaning high pressure would block mild westerly winds and allow cold air to hit Britain. However, the heat could be on in May — with temperatures set to hit 26C.Hot spells are expected due to warm continental air arriving thanks to high pressure ‘blocking.’ May has seen highs of 24C to 31C in each of the past five years, Met Office records show. May is expected to be so warm that much-warmer-than-usual temperatures are eight times more likely than much-colder-than-average over the next three months - even taking into account the April chill, the Met Office said.

Weather Outlook forecaster Brian Gaze said: “Don't put your winter coat away. "There is an increased risk of snow ahead. “But there is an increasing chance of warmer spells later in spring, with warmer-than-average conditions likely in May and a good deal of sunshine.”

The Met Office three-month forecast said: “There is an increased likelihood of mild, wet and windy conditions for the UK in this early part of the outlook period. “A weak stratospheric polar vortex could influence late March and April. "This leads to a moderate increase in the chances of cold weather.

“March to May forecasts show influence from blocked conditions.

 

 

I thought I was reading crazy Madden's forecast in the Daily Express just then...

"By May, blocking tends to bring warmer weather.

“Overall, March to May overall has an increased chance of above-normal temperatures.”

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/3017010/britain-arctic-easter-minus-8c-mad-weather-polar-vortex-easter/

Monday 6 March Published at 10:00

Monthly Outlook

Summary

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BBC monthly outlook

UK Outlook for Saturday 11 Mar 2017 to Monday 20 Mar 2017:

A changeable theme looks likely until the middle of March. Bands of rain will cross the UK with more showery and bright interludes probable in between. The heaviest rain is expected in western and north-western areas with wintry showers likely over higher ground. The unsettled weather could also bring windy spells with gales in exposed places. Temperatures are thought to be around average; perhaps milder in the southeast, but all areas could get colder as we go through the period with more of a northerly influence. From the middle of the month, there are signals for more settled weather to dominate, at least initially, although there is still the potential for showers, particularly in the north-west.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 21 Mar 2017 to Tuesday 4 Apr 2017:

There are signals for the second half of March and into early April to see some kind of blocked patterned at least initially. This means there are signs for generally drier than average conditions and more settled weather across the country. However, there is still the potential for showers and longer spells of rain at times, particularly in the north-west. Temperatures look to be around average for the time of year.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast