Further ahead

Slower changes
Still unsettled
Mild for most but coldest in the north

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39097773 

For those like myself who are dreaming of the day deep snow arrives at my location...

 

http://grapevine.is/news/2017/02/26/reykjavik-gets-buried-in-snow-photos/

 

I was watching this fall on mila last night :)

Monthly Outlook:

Monday 27 February—Sunday 5 March

Chilly and showery at first, a touch milder later

The week will get off to a chilly start, as a slow moving area of low pressure and its associated cold air drifts in from the northwest. Heavy and often thundery showers will affect most parts of the UK through Monday, although some good spells of sunshine can be expected in between such showers. The showers will turn wintry at times, even to low levels, and particularly across the northern half of the UK, where there could even be some settling of snow on higher ground. Frost will be particularly prevalent overnight into Tuesday, along with some patchy ice.

Tuesday will be a similarly showery day, but although the showers will be just as wintry, they are unlikely to be as heavy.

Through the midweek period, conditions will settle down across the north of the UK, but it will remain cold. Further south, weather fronts are expected to cross from the west at times, with a slightly milder feel developing.

Through Friday and into Saturday, another Atlantic weather system is expected to move up from the south, introducing the possibility of a spell of heavy rain to many areas for a time. Any rain on Friday and into Saturday could also briefly turn to snow over higher ground in the north. An unsettled theme is expected to continue through Sunday across most parts.

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I don't know why it has pasted the warnings - I never copied them. :s

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Saturday 4 Mar 2017 to Monday 13 Mar 2017:

An unsettled picture is likely as frontal systems move into the UK from the south or southwest, bringing wet and windy weather at times. Snow is likely over northern hills, with a low risk of some snow more widely at times across the north. Between frontal systems, there should be some spells of brighter weather with showers which may be wintry at times in the north. Nevertheless, some brief quieter, drier spells are also likely. Temperatures will generally vary around normal for the time of year, often slightly above average in the south but rather cold at times in the north, with night frosts. There remains the possibility of a more widely settled but colder period, perhaps giving wintry showers in the east and north.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 14 Mar 2017 to Tuesday 28 Mar 2017:

For the rest of March signals are weak and confidence is low. It will probably be rather unsettled with spells of wet and windy weather at first, interspersed with brighter and showery conditions. Some snow is also possible across the north of the UK. There should, however, also be some drier and brighter spells, where we may see some local frost and fog at times overnight. Temperatures are expected to be around normal for the time of year. However, there remains the possibility of seeing some prolonged colder periods, with a chance of snow in places. This is more likely later in the period.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

For those like myself who are dreaming of the day deep snow arrives at my location...

http://grapevine.is/news/2017/02/26/reykjavik-gets-buried-in-snow-photos/

I was watching this fall on mila last night :)

These are great pictures.

Deep lowland snow is actually not as common as you might expect in Reykjavík I was told when I visited. 

The thing that struck me most though was not the snow but the growth of the trees in the last thirty years. The reforestation  of Iceland seems to be progressing well.

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BBC monthly outlook


Monday 27 February—Sunday 5 March
Chilly and showery at first, a touch milder later

The week will get off to a chilly start, as a slow moving area of low pressure and its associated cold air drifts in from the northwest. Heavy and often thundery showers will affect most parts of the UK through Monday, although some good spells of sunshine can be expected in between such showers. The showers will turn wintry at times, even to low levels, and particularly across the northern half of the UK, where there could even be some settling of snow on higher ground. Frost will be particularly prevalent overnight into Tuesday, along with some patchy ice.

Tuesday will be a similarly showery day, but although the showers will be just as wintry, they are unlikely to be as heavy. Through the midweek period, conditions will settle down across the north of the UK, but it will remain cold. Further south, weather fronts are expected to cross from the west at times, with a slightly milder feel developing. Through Friday and into Saturday, another Atlantic weather system is expected to move up from the south, introducing the possibility of a spell of heavy rain to many areas for a time. Any rain on Friday and into Saturday could also briefly turn to snow over higher ground in the north. An unsettled theme is expected to continue through Sunday across most parts.

Monday 6 March—Sunday 12 March
Still changeable but changes happening more slowly

With low pressure still anticipated to be centred just to the west of the UK, it is likely that the first full week of March will start on an unsettled note, with bands of rain moving up from the south or southwest at times. Any wet spells will be followed by drier interludes and a few showers. It is likely that the northern half of the UK will be colder than the March average for much of the time, so some periods of (chiefly hill and higher ground) snowfall are possible, both from rain bands and any following showers. Milder conditions are expected across the south. The colder regions of the UK are likely to experience some overnight frosts, with patchy fog also possible at times.

As we progress through this period, it is possible that although the changeable theme will remain, the changes in weather will tend to be slower, with lengthier dry spells in between weather systems. Confidence in this forecast scenario is reasonable. However, some computer model solutions do hint at the possibility of an extensive anticyclone centred broadly to the north of the UK drifting close to or over northern and eastern areas of the UK. Should the high move in this fashion, a cold east to southeasterly flow will develop across all parts of the UK, resulting in widespread cold, settled conditions with overnight frosts, bright days and the possibility of coastal showers in the east.

Monday 13 March—Sunday 26 March
A chilly end to March?

Moving into the second half of March, the suite of different of computer models that we utilise to produce the longer range forecast are offering an unusually broad range of different forecast solutions. This broad range does not inspire particular confidence in any given individual forecast solution. That said, the solutions can be broadly grouped into two categories; those that allow the continuation of Atlantic weather systems moving across the UK to bring a succession of wet and windy spells followed by drier interludes, and those where an anticyclone centred over Scandinavia brings colder, drier weather to our shores from the east. At time of writing, the former scenario is slightly favoured, but there are increasing signs that as we move towards the end of March, a colder, drier and more settled theme could well begin to develop. As always we will continue to monitor trends in the forecast model and keep you updated.

Next week

If high pressure does set in across the UK towards the end of March, a typically showery start to this coming April will not happen. Be sure to stay up to date with the latest thinking on April's weather, and all other weather matters, by staying in touch with the BBC Weather Centre.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/2635167#outlook 

 

These are great pictures.

Deep lowland snow is actually not as common as you might expect in Reykjavík I was told when I visited. 

The thing that struck me most though was not the snow but the growth of the trees in the last thirty years. The reforestation  of Iceland seems to be progressing well.

Though I would have thought 6-12 inch falls are fairly common, but given its location towards the SW of the island with the Gulf Stream cycles of mild & cold are common. 

Next week

Becoming milder with some rain or chiller but drier?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39110731 

Next week

Becoming milder with some rain or chiller but drier?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39110731

 

Great forecast in comparison to Jay Wynne - liked how he spoke about the weather in the USA and how it will impact us as well.

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 5 Mar 2017 to Tuesday 14 Mar 2017:

An unsettled picture is likely to continue. Frontal systems will move into the UK from the south or southwest at first, bringing bands of rain and strong winds at times, mainly across southern and central parts. Into the second week of March, the wet and windy weather will mainly affect northern and western areas, with snow over the hills at times. The best of the drier and brighter weather will start to develop across the south and east. Temperatures will generally vary around normal for the time of year, often slightly above average in the south but rather cold at times in the north, with night frosts. There remains the possibility of a more widely settled but colder period, perhaps giving wintry showers in the east and north.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 15 Mar 2017 to Wednesday 29 Mar 2017:

For the rest of March signals are weak and confidence is low. It will probably be rather unsettled with spells of wet and windy weather at first, interspersed with brighter and showery conditions. Some snow is also possible across the north of the UK. There should, however, also be some drier and brighter spells, where we may see some local frost and fog at times overnight. Temperatures are expected to be around normal for the time of year. However, there remains the possibility of seeing some prolonged colder periods, with a chance of snow in places.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Next week

Chilly air remaining or something milder from the south/southwest?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39123481 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 6 Mar 2017 to Wednesday 15 Mar 2017:

An unsettled picture is likely to continue. Frontal systems will move into the UK, bringing bands of rain and strong winds at times, mainly across southern and central parts. Into the second week of March, the wet and windy weather will mainly affect northern and western areas, with snow over the hills at times. The best of the drier and brighter weather will start to develop across the south and east. Temperatures will generally vary around normal for the time of year, often slightly above average in the south but rather cold at times in the north, with night frosts. There remains the possibility of a more widely settled but colder period, perhaps giving wintry showers in the east and north.

UK Outlook for Thursday 16 Mar 2017 to Thursday 30 Mar 2017:

For the rest of March signals are weak and confidence is low. It will probably be rather unsettled with spells of wet and windy weather, interspersed with brighter and showery conditions. Some snow is also possible across the north of the UK. There should, however, also be some drier and brighter spells, where we may see some local frost and fog at times overnight. Temperatures are expected to be around normal for the time of year. However, there remains the possibility of seeing some prolonged colder periods, with a chance of snow in places.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Monday 6 Mar 2017 to Wednesday 15 Mar 2017:

An unsettled picture is likely to continue. Frontal systems will move into the UK, bringing bands of rain and strong winds at times, mainly across southern and central parts. Into the second week of March, the wet and windy weather will mainly affect northern and western areas, with snow over the hills at times. The best of the drier and brighter weather will start to develop across the south and east. Temperatures will generally vary around normal for the time of year, often slightly above average in the south but rather cold at times in the north, with night frosts. There remains the possibility of a more widely settled but colder period, perhaps giving wintry showers in the east and north.

UK Outlook for Thursday 16 Mar 2017 to Thursday 30 Mar 2017:

For the rest of March signals are weak and confidence is low. It will probably be rather unsettled with spells of wet and windy weather, interspersed with brighter and showery conditions. Some snow is also possible across the north of the UK. There should, however, also be some drier and brighter spells, where we may see some local frost and fog at times overnight. Temperatures are expected to be around normal for the time of year. However, there remains the possibility of seeing some prolonged colder periods, with a chance of snow in places.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Same as above but only a possibility. - Been the case all winter but at least the GFS are flirting with proper Greenland northern blocking and LP diving southwards in the FI part of ensembles.

 

 

 

 

And so on...!?

 

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Mild February marks the end of a dry Winter

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/2017/mild-february-brings-an-end-to-a-dry-winter 

Early next week

Chilly air remains

Later next week

Warmer southwesterly winds?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/39135681 

Mild February marks the end of a dry Winter

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/2017/mild-february-brings-an-end-to-a-dry-winter

The interesting thing it has been mild and dry. That's possibly one of the more unusual winter outcomes in the UK.

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Edit: Commented on wrong topic 

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Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 7 Mar 2017 to Thursday 16 Mar 2017:

It should remain changeable through to the middle of March with showers or longer spells of rain affecting all areas at times, these occasionally heavy. However, there will also be some brief drier and clearer interludes. Most areas likely to see some wet spells through the first few days of the period. Further rain is also expected later next week, this mainly in the north where some snow is likely over higher ground. It will also be windy at times with gales, locally severe, in exposed areas of the south at first, and also the far north. Temperatures will be around, perhaps a little below, normal at first, meaning overnight frosts are possible during any calmer periods, but it will be milder at times.

UK Outlook for Friday 17 Mar 2017 to Friday 31 Mar 2017:

The changeable conditions look set to continue through the rest of March, though there is low confidence in the detail. Colder, showery spells are likely to be interspersed with milder, more generally wet periods. There is also likely to be a wide variation in temperatures. It may become generally cold around the middle of the month, with more in the way of frosts and perhaps snow, especially in the north, before turning milder later.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office update

UK Outlook for Tuesday 7 Mar 2017 to Thursday 16 Mar 2017:

It should remain changeable through to the middle of March with showers or longer spells of rain affecting all areas at times, these occasionally heavy. However, there will also be some brief drier and clearer interludes. Most areas likely to see some wet spells through the first few days of the period. Further rain is also expected later next week, this mainly in the north where some snow is likely over higher ground. It will also be windy at times with gales, locally severe, in exposed areas of the south at first, and also the far north. Temperatures will be around, perhaps a little below, normal at first, meaning overnight frosts are possible during any calmer periods, but it will be milder at times.

UK Outlook for Friday 17 Mar 2017 to Friday 31 Mar 2017:

The changeable conditions look set to continue through the rest of March, though there is low confidence in the detail. Colder, showery spells are likely to be interspersed with milder, more generally wet periods. There is also likely to be a wide variation in temperatures. It may become generally cold around the middle of the month, with more in the way of frosts and perhaps snow, especially in the north, before turning milder later.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Yet yesterday it was due to be colder end of month- so strange! I think it's really time to give up looking at the met office updates they have always been wrong. Most likely outcome would be a colder snap around the 15th giving us another one night stand.

RIP Winter 2016/17.

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