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Used to reached it peak at 11C by 9th August before but with recent cooler summers they had revised down by 2-3C lower than previously.
With the way summers and winters have been going, it can't be long before the long term mean line just flatlines at about 6C all year round!
No, it didn't. Tinypic's playing up, so I can't hotlink an image, but suffice to say even in 2008 the mean on the 9th August was 8C.
There must be a low pressure magnate off the NW of Scotland this year. Favourite roosting place for pesky depressions.
All is revealed! It's a capitalist plot!
Still looks mixed but the heat hump remains in early August and there are signs of high pressure keeping things drier in the south at times.
GFS ems for Loughborough.
Average to below average temps with some rain from time to time.
To be fair that Low is expected to shift a bit northeast based on the 12z GFS op run so far...by about 2-300 miles in about 8 days!
To be fair Doc despite the awful looking charts for the next 7-10 days you and Richard could do OK (ish). You will lose your dreaded SE'ly breeze in favour of a warmer offshore westerly. You may also miss most of the showers on offer between frontal rain bands.
Unfortunately people are acting like toddlers again. I'm having to delete accounts. Once you're gone, you're gone these days. No new registrations. No suspensions. It's goodnight vienna. Grow up or clear off.
Yes, you're spot on Steve and your summary seems like a very likely outcome. Overall it seems a bit of a Groundhog Day scenario with occasional rain bands and sunshine and showers. Nothing too unusual or exciting. Good for some decent convection and with some pleasant sunshine and yes for once not dismal here .
Met/o 12z a bit ridgy for a time before low pressure moves in.
Trouble with using a tablet, is that it guesses words for you and if you are not on the ball, you don't always notice - I meant "magnet" of course.
anyhow, looks as though things settle down for a time about a week from now. My holidays start on 12th August, so I am hoping for a dry and warm mid-month period.
Too far away to predict at the moment thought.
Poor summer output.
The spikes in the 850Hpa temps won't necessarily translate to decent temperatures at the surface because the jet stream is now too far south and such warmth is now associated with warm sectors in active frontal bands.
High-pressure building from the south west next weekend http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/40759766Bar hints from GFS after next weekend we don't have anything from ECM and UKMO showing a pressure rise yet
Yes very poor this morning.
ECM has low after low moving in with very little let up - affecting the far south too.
GFS has a glimmer of hope into FI.
ECM and UKMO at t168
GFS ems for Birmingham and Loughborough.
Bland with showers or some longer spells of rain at times.
Yes very poor this morning. ECM has low after low moving in with very little let up - affecting the far south too.GFS has a glimmer of hope into FI.
I am on holiday w/c 7th August and the laterst GFS run looks pretty good for that time. Unfortunately this is straw clutching and easily far enough away that this glimmer of hope could be snatched away in the next run, never to return. Still, an improvment of sorts has been shown for this period for a few days now so at least there is some consistency if nothing else.