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How is next week shaping up? there has been talk of potential high temperatures returning later next week especially for the south due to the extreme heat nearby on the continent or are the models now showing a more permanent pattern change countrywide to cooler and changeable conditions as we leave July and go into August?. I have the UK ComicCon in London the weekend of 29-30 July and hot weather will deter visitors from attending under Olympia's glass roof!
Gfs is pretty good this morning especially for the south and does have some heat returning 25th - 27th mid to high 20s for the SE.
Ecm however is a horror show and much more unsettled and cooler.
Gfs is pretty good this morning especially for the south and does have some heat returning 25th - 27th mid to high 20s for the SE.Ecm however is a horror show and much more unsettled and cooler.
Last night the Beeb were indicating that next week was going to be a week of cool weather and showers, a la ECM
Yes sods law ecm will be correct.
Yes I saw that forecast - cool and showery, with the jet stream right over the UK, was the theme.
Further proof that models are utterly useless more than a week out, as there was considered to be high confidence for a long warm and settled spell, at least in the south.
There is now rain in the forecast on 5 out of the next 7 days even down here!
Newfangled GFS dripping out, and I think I've spotted a change in its resolution in the 0.25 scale, with a London heat island seeming to show up every night. Either this is coincidence, or the new model is resolving cities and land use differently from the old one. I know the regional models like Arpege and Arome do this.
This I think. The horizontal resolution hasn't been change IIRC.
Not so sure: look at the night temperatures in the Ile de France, the effect is even more marked. I don't remember this showing up at all in the old model.
Does anyone know whether or not it's still possible to view the entire GFS op runs on WZ? I've noticed that since the 12z appeared yesterday, it has updated up to about T+240 but not any further.
Yes I saw that forecast - cool and showery, with the jet stream right over the UK, was the theme.Further proof that models are utterly useless more than a week out, as there was considered to be high confidence for a long warm and settled spell, at least in the south.There is now rain in the forecast on 5 out of the next 7 days even down here!
The kids school holidays are starting, what else did you expect?
Yes, still showing for me.
Looks pretty unsettled but warmer at times. One thing to look out for is the possibility of hot air being pulled up ahead of low pressure areas in the Atlantic. IMO it still wouldn't take much for serious heat to return.
Stay on topic. I've PM'd members directly and will delete further accounts if necessary. We've lost three users in the last couple of weeks and I'll be happy to let more of the antagonistic posters go. Once you're gone you're gone! Accounts are permanently deleted and new registrations are not being accepted at the present time.