It's that time of year again where we deserve a winter moaning thread of some sort, do you think!?
So we had two minor snow events during the final two weeks of November as far south as the SW moors - albeit over higher ground!? I had the feeling that these HP would sink and we would end up with flat westerly/zonal weather and get 'stuck in the rut'.
We are a few days into winter and I am already frustrated with the models and runs - which don't seem to show anything inspiring or eventful in terms of cold or snow!? Bare in mind a colder than average first half of the winter is being forecasted!? - If this is the case then we really do need to see some colder model runs coming in at least during the final week of December or beginning of January 2017.
There doesn't seem to be anything cold, wintry or exciting for the next 3 weeks let alone week and beyond. Just 12 to 13c with a south to south westerly wind. I don't know how the Met Office keep forecasting below average temperatures in their 6 - 30 day outlooks!?
Just nothing stormy, which in some cases will be good but due to the position of the high pressure it looks like it could be mild or overcast and damp with drizzle which is boring. There will be little if any frost either.
This chart couldn't get any worse even if it tried, if you're looking for cold wintry weather.
At least last year we had some weather and occasional north westerly's - this just shows 12c, 13 & 14c with HP over Iberia, Spain, Portugal into France and central Europe. This will only give the south of the UK damp and perhaps drizzly conditions - maybe just overcast and boring!
Run the CFS V2 charts up until Christmas and beyond!? - Where is the blocking pattern that was due to set in or return mid month!?
http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/cfse_cartes.php?ech=174&mode=0&carte=0&run=0
Feel free to place your winter thoughts, opinions, rants or moans here.
Am I being too negative...!?
Otherwise I look forward to hearing your thoughts, especially Richard's in Aberdeen.
Edited by user
04 December 2016 11:07:38
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Reason: Not specified
Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com