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doctormog
08 February 2023 17:52:53

Some serious warmth possible

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?&ech=240&mode=1 
 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 



I would say mid possibly even high teens are possible here at some point in the coming week or two if there is a Föhn effect. 😎

 
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
Jiries
08 February 2023 18:22:41

Some serious warmth possible

https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/geme_cartes.php?&ech=240&mode=1 
 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 



At 210 chart -12 to - 16C over Turkey and almost cross to Cyprus area.   Trying to imagine if those low uppers will hit Cyprus hard which every year always stop at Turkey so it a matter of time it will hit jackpot.
doctormog
08 February 2023 18:50:54

At 210 chart -12 to - 16C over Turkey and almost cross to Cyprus area.   Trying to imagine if those low uppers will hit Cyprus hard which every year always stop at Turkey so it a matter of time it will hit jackpot.

Originally Posted by: Jiries 



The jackpot? I suspect they people in many parts of the area would think the jackpot was mild dry and sunny days right now. The ECM 12z continues with the largely anticyclonic and generally mild benign theme in the overall outlook. Hopefully there will be plenty of sunshine around.
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
ballamar
08 February 2023 19:47:21
Think GEFS tells the story well with no sub -10 runs - would take a mammoth effort for the south to get any wintry weather in this winter now. Now where’s that lovely spring warmth 
Jiries
08 February 2023 22:37:51

The jackpot? I suspect they people in many parts of the area would think the jackpot was mild dry and sunny days right now. The ECM 12z continues with the largely anticyclonic and generally mild benign theme in the overall outlook. Hopefully there will be plenty of sunshine around.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 



To get -12C 850s hit Cyprus is a jackpot after many attempts never cross over from Turkey so it always halted but down to -8 the lowest over the island.   Good for further heating cuts with up coming mild and like you said sunshine hopefully good one.
Hippydave
09 February 2023 07:48:52
Next week looking potentially very pleasant for the middle of February - not too windy and temps up to 10-12c quite widely in the south. As you'd expect it's generally less mild the further north you head but even Aberdeen manages a double digit day, presumably with a bit of a foehn effect setting up.  It looks mostly dry too, maybe a few bits and pieces about, again more likely the further north (and west) you head.

The imminent warming in the strat looks very likely now, with a second bout for the end of the month. Whether that makes any impact is unknown but be interesting to see if accuracy struggles if it does downwell and the models get to drips with the impacts.
Home: Tunbridge Wells
Work: Tonbridge
+1
doctormog
09 February 2023 07:54:14

Next week looking potentially very pleasant for the middle of February - not too windy and temps up to 10-12c quite widely in the south. As you'd expect it's generally less mild the further north you head but even Aberdeen manages a double digit day, presumably with a bit of a foehn effect setting up.  It looks mostly dry too, maybe a few bits and pieces about, again more likely the further north (and west) you head.

The imminent warming in the strat looks very likely now, with a second bout for the end of the month. Whether that makes any impact is unknown but be interesting to see if accuracy struggles if it does downwell and the models get to drips with the impacts.

Originally Posted by: Hippydave 



I would expect Aberdeen to be the warmest place in the U.K. tomorrow with temperatures into the teens (°C) based on the current output. I’d say a number of days in double figures are likely even up here and largely dry overall. It could be much much worse. 
Aberdeen
Current conditions (personal WS) 
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