WX summary looks like yesterday The promised warmth no more than flirts with the SE in week 1 (despite Bran's post above) and retreats back to S France in week 2 as cooler weather from the NE spreads across Europe (except the Med) from the NE. Pleasant enough in most parts this week but no great heat wave confirmed by TV forecast this morning. Rainfall pattern similar too Week 1, as yesterday, has rain in the N Atlantic also affecting western Britain, and in the Baltic; week 2 has heavy rain Ireland - England - Alps (esp heavy there) - Balkans with some patches remaining over the Baltic though week 2 moves the rain SE-wards and omits Ireland.
Jet : starts off like yesterday with a flow N of Scotland to Sun 15th then bits and pieces near S England to Tue 24th as loops on the Atlantic break up but the stronger stream noted at the end now more of a NW-ly from N Ireland down to SE England (yesterday it was along the Channel)
GFS Op : currently zonal W-lies (FAX shows fronts embedded for NW Scotland) replaced by HP over N Sea 1020mb Sun 15th drifting slowly NE-wards, giving S-lies for a time before LP moves towards Rockall about Wed 18th and shifts wind into SW. Then new HP on Atlantic Sun 22nd but staying out to the W allowing first N-lies over UK and then LP over Iceland moves to N Sea 995 mb Thu 26th
GEFS : bump of warm temps (v warm in SE) in the S Tue 17th soon back to norm or a little above for the rest of the period. More rain than forecast previously starting at that time, and quite heavy sometimes.
ECM : resembles GFS though (12z at time of posting)the LP showing signs of moving to the N Sea well before the 26th, perhaps as early as 21st