Sunday 6 Feb - Tuesday 15 Feb

Most places fairly cloudy on Sunday, and outbreaks of rain will move southeast through the day, with colder conditions to the north, and milder conditions to the south. Through the rest of the period high pressure remains to the southwest of the UK and is expected to push low pressure systems towards the north of the country. This will lead to an unsettled picture for much of the UK with heavy rain, stronger winds and a risk of wintry precipitation in the north while the south is expected to remain largely dry. It will be milder for many especially in the south of the country while brief colder incursions from the north are possible throughout the period.

Sunday 6 Feb - Tuesday 15 Feb

Most places fairly cloudy on Sunday, and outbreaks of rain will move southeast through the day, with colder conditions to the north, and milder conditions to the south. Through the rest of the period high pressure remains to the southwest of the UK and is expected to push low pressure systems towards the north of the country. This will lead to an unsettled picture for much of the UK with heavy rain, stronger winds and a risk of wintry precipitation in the north while the south is expected to remain largely dry. It will be milder for many especially in the south of the country while brief colder incursions from the north are possible throughout the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

 

It maybe an idea to preview your copy and cut posts from the Met Office. Just a thought.

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Generally mild. More unsettled in the North

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Met Office publicly rubbishes Rishi Sunak's claim Britain had a 'colder than usual winter' - which was why energy prices soared - and says it was actually warmer!

 

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10476913/Met-Office-denies-Rishi-Sunaks-claims-colder-usual-winter.html#article-10476913

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled in the North. No sustained cold periods.

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Interesting re the Polar Vortex:

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/strong-polar-vortex-unusual-weather-united-states-cold-forecast-pattern-fa/?fbclid=IwAR02u5PIhFmr63W_LXI17xxSfoZi2ScqTpoj9BVpbyWmlJiy7uIUASu7eHo 

I was looking at temperatures at 10hpa and it's very rare to see them cooling as we will soon head into Meteorological spring - The stratosphere should in a gradual warming phase and the PV should be weakening but this winter it's the opposite!

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A lot of the media seem to be infected by Daily Express disease.



You would think they might have the integrity to actually look at the Met Office forecast, which says noting of the sort.
Somehow the fabricated -5 snowmaggedon nonsense is being syndicated nationwide 

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Thought this was interesting re how the melting Arctic sea ice will impact on British winters: - Worth a read:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2022/arctic-sea-ice-impacts-on-british-winters

 

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Becoming very unsettled next week

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

No mention then that they were one of the first to attest to the theory that shrinking Arctic sea ice would lead to colder drier winters for the UK. I thought at the time it was a load of old cobblers and it looks as if they are now trying to back track big time.  Typical.

When did the MetOffice say that?  I’ve never seen any such suggestion; nothing more than that a warming Arctic would tend to weaken the polar jet and cause more static/stuck weather patterns, which could mean cold and dry or mild and wet.

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https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2012/mar/14/met-office-arctic-sea-ice-loss-winter

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled with seasonal to mild conditions

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

Yellow wind warning out for northern Scotland for Wed/Thu.

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A stormy week ahead. Mainly mild

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled but mainly mild through to early March

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Next Thursday 9pm, My 5 (Is that CH 5?) doc on 1963 Big Freeze. Looks like a new programme but same old footage I suspect.

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The year I started to walk to work making boots and shoes. This will be recorded for later viewing. 

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Mainly mild; more unsettled in the north

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

i appreciate its a general forecast, but feel they should do a northern version ! For the last couple of weeks it’s been saying mainly mild, and all we have had is snow 😃😃. 

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Reminder - "The Big Freeze" tonight on Channel 5 at 9pm. I believe this to be a new programme although I suspect much of the footage will be the usual archived stuff.

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

A late harsh winter spell looks unlikely

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

Well given the fact we will be in meteorological spring from Tuesday, then it's impossible not unlikely doh!  - unless March is late winter? From my understanding, the winter months are December, January and February. - So late winter is February which only has one full day left.

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Informative Met Office 10 day forecast by Aidan McGivern: - Clearly explaining two possible scenarios.

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‘giving way to Atlantic by mid week, wet, windy and milder’. BBC weather at 1255

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