Yellow weather warning now for snow southern central scotland later christmas day now! 

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Yellow weather warning now for snow southern central scotland later christmas day now! 

As per usual, Edinburgh isn't in that yellow warning area (interesting weather doesn't normally happen there after all) but the difference on this occasion is that I'm not actually in Edinburgh just now.

At the moment, I am down in the Scottish Borders which is in that warning area, so it will be interesting to see what actually happens.

For that to actually happen though, it will need to get a lot colder here than what it is just now, and I'm not really holding out much hope with that at the moment.

 

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As per usual, Edinburgh isn't in that yellow warning area (interesting weather doesn't normally happen there after all) but the difference on this occasion is that I'm not actually in Edinburgh just now.

At the moment, I am down in the Scottish Borders which is in that warning area, so it will be interesting to see what actually happens.

For that to actually happen though, it will need to get a lot colder here than what it is just now, and I'm not really holding out much hope with that at the moment.

 

I'll keep you posted on events here!  doesn't look as though there will be anything on Christmas day as the warning seems to be in force for midnight til noon on Boxing Day

 

As per usual, Edinburgh isn't in that yellow warning area (interesting weather doesn't normally happen there after all) but the difference on this occasion is that I'm not actually in Edinburgh just now.

At the moment, I am down in the Scottish Borders which is in that warning area, so it will be interesting to see what actually happens.

For that to actually happen though, it will need to get a lot colder here than what it is just now, and I'm not really holding out much hope with that at the moment.

 

So you could see a white Xmas? gOOD luck.

This time last year (24th Dec) Aberdeen had 2cms of snow if I remember...Doc?

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So you could see a white Xmas? gOOD luck.

This time last year (24th Dec) Aberdeen had 2cms of snow if I remember...Doc?

Yes there was a covering on this day last year. I think this year it may be cold enough but without the precipitation.

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Thursday 30 Dec - Saturday 8 Jan

To begin the period, rain will move east across the UK. Rain potentially heavy and persistent in places, especially western hills. Possibly drier and brighter in the far north. Temperatures mild for most, with the chance of some coastal gales affecting the west. Unsettled conditions likely to continue for most, but the chance for some drier and brighter spells in the south east at times. Heading into January, Atlantic weather systems likely to move in from the west, bringing further unsettled conditions and potentially heavy rain for some. Between these systems, drier and brighter periods likely but still a chance of showers. Unsettled weather to continue to end the period, with showers or longer spells of rain likely.

Sunday 9 Jan - Sunday 23 Jan

There is the potential for a short, settled spell to begin the period, before more changeable, milder condition return later in the month. Feeling colder with a risk of fog during any settled spells. Still the chance for some widely milder conditions too, bringing the risk of heavy rain and strong winds at times

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

 

So you could see a white Xmas? gOOD luck.

This time last year (24th Dec) Aberdeen had 2cms of snow if I remember...Doc?

The Met Office have said that parts of the Scottish Borders have had a technical white Christmas, but I haven't seen even a single snowflake here in Hawick.

Having said that though, the Scottish Borders council area extends towards Peebles in the west and also includes a number of small towns and villages on the east coast such as Eyemouth, St. Abbs and Coldingham.

That is quite a large area and so, I suppose that there is a fair chance that somewhere in that area might have seen a snowflake or two during today.

 

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BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled and generally mild

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

BBC monthly outlook

Summary

Unsettled and generally mild

 

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

I saw that! Just to add insult to injury.

Despite La Nina, Easterly QBO, colder than average SSTs in NE Pacific, MJO in phase 7, above average Siberian snow-cover and neutral IOD we still cant get a decent cold spell. 

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Daily Star stepping into the Express' shoes

UK weather: Britain to be blasted by 25-day snowbomb misery as mercury plummets to -12C

https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/uk-weather-britain-blasted-25-25784887

 

 

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I saw that! Just to add insult to injury.

Despite La Nina, Easterly QBO, colder than average SSTs in NE Pacific, MJO in phase 7, above average Siberian snow-cover and neutral IOD we still cant get a decent cold spell. 

This probably also mean that we can no longer refer to last winter as a teaser winter as we would need to have been in a cold winter just now in order for that to be the case.

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Friday 31 Dec - Sunday 9 Jan

Unsettled weather is likely to dominate most of this period with Atlantic weather systems continuing to arrive from the west. To begin, largely fine with brighter spells likely for some once rain clears eastward. Further rain arriving into the west and southwest later. Heading into January, further showers or longer spells of rain from the west are possible, perhaps bringing heavy rain to western hills. Drier, brighter and colder spells may develop between the rain at times, with spells of showers still possible. Driest conditions mainly confined in the southeast. Through this period, it will be rather windy with possible coastal gales in the west. Temperatures likely mild or very mild. A possible brief settled spell may develop towards the very end of the period.

Monday 10 Jan - Monday 24 Jan

There is the potential for a short, settled spell in the beginning of the period, before more changeable, milder condition return later in the month. Feeling colder with a risk of short-lived fog during any settled spells. Still the chance for some widely milder conditions too, bringing the risk of heavy rain and strong winds at times.

 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

I’ll stick with the Daily Star solution.. Ive started panic buying already.

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Certainly the long rangers over the past two or three weeks should put paid to any rumours of the Met Office having access to any more accurate models than the rest of us. They’ve been led up and down the garden path just like we have.

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I suppose the BBC/Met Office will be absolutely loving this mild weather over the next few days. Just watch them ramp it up like crazy on their forecasts, wouldn't be the case if it was much colder than average, they would play it down as best they could.

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Saturday 1 Jan - Monday 10 Jan

On Saturday, New Year's Day, rain is likely to move east and northeast across the UK, followed by showers. The wettest weather further north and west, with the southeast remaining drier. Strong winds are expected in the west, and it will continue to be very mild. Thereafter, the unsettled weather will continue to dominate, with Atlantic weather systems moving in from the west, interspersed with showery and brighter spells. The wettest areas are expected to be western hills, with the southeast remaining driest. It will also continue to be windy, with gales possible along western coasts. Temperatures likely mild or very mild at first, but returning closer to average into the new year. There is the chance of a brief settled spell towards the end of the period.

Tuesday 11 Jan - Tuesday 25 Jan

There is the potential for a short-lived settled spell to start this period, which would mean cooler and drier weather but also an increased risk of overnight fog and frost. Later in the month, milder but more unsettled weather is expected to return, with the associated hazards of strong winds and heavy rain.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

Saturday 1 Jan - Monday 10 Jan

On Saturday, New Year's Day, rain is likely to move east and northeast across the UK, followed by showers. The wettest weather further north and west, with the southeast remaining drier. Strong winds are expected in the west, and it will continue to be very mild. Thereafter, the unsettled weather will continue to dominate, with Atlantic weather systems moving in from the west, interspersed with showery and brighter spells. The wettest areas are expected to be western hills, with the southeast remaining driest. It will also continue to be windy, with gales possible along western coasts. Temperatures likely mild or very mild at first, but returning closer to average into the new year. There is the chance of a brief settled spell towards the end of the period.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

 

A contradiction not to mention a poor update especially given the fact they haven't bothered to preview it unless they mean towards the New Year 2022. The forecast is from 1st -10th January which is in the New Year yet they still say "Temperatures likely to be mild or very mild at first but returning closer to average into the New Year!?" 

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Worth a reminder that there is a contradiction here.. - https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/binaries/content/assets/metofficegovuk/pdf/business/public-sector/civil-contingency/3moutlook-jfm-v1-secure.pdf

January Month's Summary:

1-month summary:

A cold Month is slightly more likely than normal (5% chance of milder than average, 65% chance nearer average and 30% chance colder).

This increases the chance of impacts from cold weather particularly early in January.

The chance of a wet month is lower than normal. (5% chance it would be wetter than normal)

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I can't believe such professional organizations like the Met Office can get away with such incompetence!

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This video will cheer people up for anyone feeling nostalgic for snow. Turn Volume up! :)

https://fb.watch/aaNAfFHxQ8/ 

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METO mid and 30 day outlooks updated and the word snow returns, the models are showing some options again 👍

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This video will cheer people up for anyone feeling nostalgic for snow. Turn Volume up! :)

https://fb.watch/aaNAfFHxQ8/

My neck of the woods 

Great Tew just around the corner from where I grew up 

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