whilst it's obviously an issue for individuals if they want to wallow in misery, self-pity and try to drag everyone down with them... I don't see too much to be miserable about this morning.
A brief warm-up / regroup next week may not be a bad thing.
We are in the middle of a very interesting week of weather.
I always see winter as fundamentally Jan and Feb. Of course wintry weather can occur in Nov / Dec (but tempered by warmer seas / less cold air masses) and in Mar/Apr (tempered by longer days and strengthening sun). But Jan + Feb the classic winter months. On this basis we are only halfway through winter. Given the difficulties that NWP seems to have had in the medium term this year, there are a whole variety of options on the table for February. Ridiculous to write-off next week, let alone the whole of Feb!
Post of the thread, IMO.
Even though the output this morning indicated at least a temporary return to milder conditions next week, what I do not see in any suggestion of the atlantic taking over control of our weather in a big way. It almost seems as though the UK will be in a kind of no-mans land at times with neither LP nor HP having full control of things next week. As noted by others, pressure does appear to be trying to rise to the E/NE later in the ECM and GFS op runs also.
Interesting to note that the ECM 00z is, as had happened quite a lot recently I believe, rather milder than the mean. What I have also noted is that FI across many models seems to have been particularly unreliable this winter. Whether or not that has been something to do with the SSW that began just before Christmas, I don't know. However, much as there are now some people writing off February, there were some in the early days of this month who were saying similar things about this month. I know we have not had a classic deep freeze this month, but it has been generally colder over the last fortnight compared to previously, for quite a few areas at least.
Edited by user
30 January 2019 09:34:04
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Reason: Not specified
Lenzie, Glasgow
"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022