Get the BBQ out to cheer people up

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_204_1.png

Whatever the weather, this thread is always entertaining 😎

Op looks pretty good on this run....best to see how well it's supported in the ens...

I would also like to see what GFSP says.

Op looks pretty good on this run....best to see how well it's supported in the ens...

Will very likely be a large cold outlier but it does at least buck the trend. Almost certainly won't verify though so it's just a bit of fun to see this. 

GEFS coming out now, so we will see if op was off on one

Well if the 6Z is anywhere near the mark I will be more than happy to be proved wrong for Feb. Looks rather unlikely though!

So amusing. Would be great if the GFS 6z were anywhere near the actual outcome.

Goes to show the depth of model volatility at the moment though.

Control not going with the op sadly, but enough uncertainty to keep us interested

not much support for the op, but a lot of GEFS have a blocking high to the east, so perhaps chances later in the month as per METO forecast

GEFS coming out now, so we will see if op was off on one

 

Out to 192hrs it's one of a cold cluster that was absent on the 0Z. Still a minority but some support.

London ecm ensembles temperature

and rainfall

New thread at 11:34.