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Snow Hoper
27 February 2023 18:07:29
Met Office week ahead forecast with their take on how it'll playout.

https://youtu.be/qrUeIsKUJCg 
Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.


Home : Thorndon, Suffolk.
johncs2016
01 March 2023 10:19:31


Too late for that now as far as I'm concerned (we are now into meteorological spring after all).
 
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Gavin D
01 March 2023 11:51:58
BBC monthly outlook
Rather cold until a milder turn later next week

Wednesday 1 March to – Sunday 5 March
Chilly with a few showers but a lot of dry weather

Monday 6 March to – Sunday 12 March
Cold for a few days, then milder by the weekend

Monday 13 March to – Wednesday 26 April
Mild for a while, potentially chillier later

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
Ally Pally Snowman
01 March 2023 12:15:51

BBC monthly outlook
Rather cold until a milder turn later next week

Wednesday 1 March to – Sunday 5 March
Chilly with a few showers but a lot of dry weather

Monday 6 March to – Sunday 12 March
Cold for a few days, then milder by the weekend

Monday 13 March to – Wednesday 26 April
Mild for a while, potentially chillier later

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 



Lots of use of the word mild there. BBC not seeing SSW having an significant effect on March.

 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
doctormog
03 March 2023 10:53:47
There are now Met Office snow and ice warnings out for much of the north and northeast of the UK on Monday and Tuesday.
Gavin D
04 March 2023 10:32:12
BBC monthly outlook
Cold next week then milder in the south

Saturday 4 March to – Sunday 12 March
Cold and wintry. Possibly milder at the weekend

Monday 13 March to – Sunday 19 March
Mild in the south, chilly in the north

Monday 20 March to – Sunday 2 April
A similar pattern could linger

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
doctormog
05 March 2023 10:24:42
In addition to tomorrow and Tuesday there is now a snow warning out for this evening (from 6pm) for parts of NE Scotland and Shetland: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2023-03-05&id=d0195d90-281e-4670-840a-b007d54e438b&details  
dagspot
05 March 2023 13:17:26
SKL going for a damp squib transition event Thur/Fri then Southern England rain and 10dc 
Neilston 600ft ASL
doctormog
05 March 2023 13:34:10

SKL going for a damp squib transition event Thur/Fri then Southern England rain and 10dc 

Originally Posted by: dagspot 



I will let others judge for themselves: https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m001jwkx/weather-for-the-week-ahead-05032023 
Ally Pally Snowman
05 March 2023 13:51:12

I will let others judge for themselves: https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/m001jwkx/weather-for-the-week-ahead-05032023 

Originally Posted by: doctormog 



Would be nice to get something before the mild air wins out. That forecast looked quite promising for here Thursday. 
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
fullybhoy
05 March 2023 14:06:18

SKL going for a damp squib transition event Thur/Fri then Southern England rain and 10dc 

Originally Posted by: dagspot 



I’m glad i watched that and never took your word for it…………
Aldo
Glasgow 165m/asl
 
The Beast from the East
05 March 2023 14:37:33

Would be nice to get something before the mild air wins out. That forecast looked quite promising for here Thursday. 
 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Back in the good ole days of the 80s, such forecasts were then often upgraded and the breakdown delayed.
Sadly these days the jet has too much power and cold blocks dont seem to hold on
 
"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Crepuscular Ray
06 March 2023 16:01:23
Just a heads up for the new snow warnings from the Met:
Tonight: Midlands and South (as well as north and northeast)
Wednesday: SW
Thursday & Friday: Heavy snow for all north of Nottingham
 
Jerry
Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill
Gavin D
07 March 2023 12:09:27
'Significant snow' forecast for south - as Met Office warns wintry showers could escalate into major storm

https://news.sky.com/story/uk-weather-latest-forecasts-warn-of-15c-as-snow-and-ice-expected-to-hit-roads-trains-and-bus-services-12827754 
Tim A
07 March 2023 12:38:44
I see from the risk matrix that if the Thur/Fri becomes more likely and the impact stays the same it could upgrade to Amber/Red. 
Hope this isn't done lightly as it will result in Schools etc closing down when there is so much uncertainty.    Also yellow warnings have covered 5-10cm of snowfall in the past adequately.  Fair enough if it is for a populated area that they think will receive 20cm plus.
Tim
NW Leeds
187m asl

 My PWS 
Gavin D
08 March 2023 10:52:40
Updated met office warning from 7am tomorrow to 2pm Friday

Heavy snow has the potential to cause disruption on Thursday and Friday.

Reason for update

The warning area has been trimmed away from parts of central and northeast Scotland and moved from high to medium impacts.

An area of low pressure will move across the UK on Thursday and Friday with snow developing across Wales and central England early on Thursday morning. This is expected to move slowly north during the day, becoming slow-moving across north Wales, northern England, Northern Ireland and southern Scotland during the afternoon and evening before slowly clearing southeast on Friday.

Snow will likely turn to sleet or rain at times at lower elevations, especially in the south of the warning area, as well as near eastern coasts. At low levels including major cities such as Manchester, Liverpool and Newcastle accumulations are expected to be limited with a small chance of 2-5 cm falling. However, significant snow accumulations are possible over hills of northern England (including populated areas of South and West Yorkshire), Northern Ireland and southern Scotland.

Here, 10-15 cm is expected quite widely above 100 metres, with a chance that 25-40 cm could fall in some places . Additionally, there is potential for strong winds, which may lead to blizzard conditions and drifting of lying snow. Ice is likely to develop widely on Friday night as this system clears away.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2023-03-09&id=75899604-0a9a-4cbd-8276-f38de60e0340&details 
Gavin D
08 March 2023 11:32:54
Level 3 cold weather alert extended until Monday morning

Current alert level: Level 3 - Cold Weather Action
Issued at: 10:40 on Wed 8 Mar 2023

There is a 90% probability of severe cold weather/icy conditions/heavy snow between 0900 on Wednesday 08 Mar and 0900 on Monday 13 Mar in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action.

This is an extension to the previously issued alert on Monday. Very cold weather is expected across most of England this week, with widespread frosts overnight and temperatures struggling to rise much above freezing in some places during the day. A band of rain, sleet and snow will move across the southern half of England on Wednesday and overnight into Thursday, with icy stretches developing. To the north of this should stay dry, although a few snow showers are possible in the northeast, but very cold temperatures will see a severe frost develop.

On Thursday, the focus shifts slightly further northwards, with another band of sleet and snow pushing northeastwards across central and northern England. There is some uncertainty as to how this band progresses, with current forecasts bringing that area of sleet and snow back southeastwards on Friday to affect parts of southern England once again. Further outbreaks of snow are possible over the weekend, as well as widespread frosts and icy stretches. Milder temperatures look like they may start to encroach from the southwest through Sunday, confidence on this however is currently low.

An update will be issued when the alert level changes in any region. Alerts are issued once a day by 0900 if required and are not subject to amendment in between standard issue times. Note that the details of the forecast weather are valid at the time of issue, but may change over the period that an alert remains in force. These details will not be updated here unless the alert level also changes, the latest forecast details can be obtained at the following link: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/#?tab=map 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/?tab=coldWeatherAlert&season=normal#?tab=coldWeatherAlert 
Gavin D
08 March 2023 11:44:59
BBC monthly outlook
Wintry weather will tend to shift northwards

Wednesday 8 March to – Sunday 12 March
Snow in many places. Milder by the weekend

Monday 13 March to – Sunday 19 March
Mild in the south, chilly in the north

Monday 20 March to – Sunday 2 April
A similar pattern could linger

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
08 March 2023 14:43:14


Arpege has a snowfest lasting almost 24 hours from Thursday morning for a large area covering the North Midlands/North Wales/NW England/the western two-thirds of Yorkshire/NE England. Perhaps a snow/sleet/rain mix toward western coasts/into Cheshire.

The sweet spots look like being the Peak District & North Wales, where I wouldn't be surprised to see in excess of 30cm for areas with some altitude

Saint Snow in Model Output wrote:


Thomas you-know-who was suggesting 40cm for parts of the Peak District; and although he didn't say it, the synoptics imply there will be a lot of drifting.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
speckledjim
08 March 2023 14:57:58
Amber warning issued by met office for tomorrow for my area - well I'm just on the very edge of it!
Thorner, West Yorkshire


Journalism is organised gossip
Taylor1740
08 March 2023 15:34:41

Amber warning issued by met office for tomorrow for my area - well I'm just on the very edge of it!

Originally Posted by: speckledjim 


yes, I was very excited to see the Amber warning!
NW Leeds - 150m amsl
Gavin D
08 March 2023 19:31:52
BBC weather for the week ahead

Next week
  • Spells of wind and rain
  • Milder

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/64891636 
doctormog
08 March 2023 19:36:12

BBC weather for the week ahead

Next week

  • Spells of wind and rain
  • Milder
  • It could be the case that colder air returns for a while

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/64891636 

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 



Interesting.
Gavin D
11 March 2023 12:39:51

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