Thanks for the update GW. Nice to know I'm not out on a limb with a near-average prediction - had that happen more than once this year!
Continuing to see 'neutralising' GFS output, CET-wise. Perhaps even a touch below 5°C to finish, if cold air hangs on right to the end of the year - such an outcome has gained a bit of model support today.
https://twitter.com/peacockreports/status/1473382081044656134
As you can imagine, I've been on a very tension-inducing ride these past few days, with scenarios ranging from an average to mild final week to generally cold or very cold.
A bit of a coming together on 'mostly cold, possible interruption around 30th' by today's 12z set.
The global weather patterns are in an extremely perturbed state at the moment due to a very prolonged Pacific MJO event conflicting with the La Nina base state, so the models are likely to continue having a hard time resolving blocking features, which should tend to feature a lot more than usual for at least a few more weeks.
Which is to say, I'm not anticipating an easy opening month to 2022 for this competition! 
If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email
[email protected] https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On