Remove ads from site

idj20
Thursday, November 7, 2019 5:18:17 PM


 


Agreed Marcus - We often say, lets get the pattern in first and then look for the cold. The 850s are not that exciting. But this pattern really is fascinating. Let us hope its not just Jam tomorrow.


Originally Posted by: Heavy Weather 2013 



Just a break in the wet weather would do us just fine and the past couple of runs offers a glimmer of hope. After all it is only November and some of us in the UK probably have had double the November average rainfall and this is just the first week of the month! 


Folkestone Harbour. 
JACKO4EVER
Thursday, November 7, 2019 6:21:24 PM


 


Would have been sooner but had a few technical issues 


 


Some decent blocked charts around has to be said 


Originally Posted by: Gooner 


whats that Marcus, tears over Arsenal blow your keyboard? 🤣


some hints in FI again of northern blocking, interesting output for sure 

Russwirral
Thursday, November 7, 2019 6:31:51 PM
GFS FI showing a real nice Limbo run.

Kinda wants to do a bit of everything, but mostly i think its trying to get its head around the ongoing northern blocking conundrum

Shropshire
Thursday, November 7, 2019 6:45:00 PM

GFS FI showing a real nice Limbo run.

Kinda wants to do a bit of everything, but mostly i think its trying to get its head around the ongoing northern blocking conundrum

Originally Posted by: Russwirral 


All too early for anything decent unfortunately.


 


From December 27th 2020, zonality will be banned from mixing with the UK. We appreciate that this may come as a shock to younger people and old Uncle Barty. This ban will last for a minimum of ten days.
Heavy Weather 2013
Thursday, November 7, 2019 6:49:58 PM

Another dip and extension of the cold on the 850s


Here are the ensembles. 


http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_London_ens.png


Gustys reverse psychology could be doing the trick 😉


Mark
Beckton, E London
Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.
ballamar
Thursday, November 7, 2019 6:53:28 PM


 


All too early for anything decent unfortunately.


 


Originally Posted by: Shropshire 


no it isn’t - if the pattern persists will go cold

Bertwhistle
Thursday, November 7, 2019 7:09:54 PM

Check out the GFS 850 ensembles: warm Moscow, snowy Inverness.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.
'We'll never see 40 celsius in this country'.
Brian Gaze
Thursday, November 7, 2019 7:12:04 PM

Yes, here's a static of the Moscow 12 plot:


(Latest here https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoforecasts/ensemble-forecast.aspx?location=Moscow_Russia



Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Gusty
Thursday, November 7, 2019 9:00:40 PM

For the first half of November this is a fairly notable run of sub 10c maxes for London ! Signs of something less cool later on hopefully. Again it's deep in FI and cannot be taken too seriously yet. 



Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
Join Kent Weather on Facebook.
https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/ 



Brian Gaze
Thursday, November 7, 2019 9:13:50 PM

GFS was upgraded today.


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Saint Snow
Thursday, November 7, 2019 9:16:56 PM


GFS was upgraded today.


Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


 


The phrase "everything is relative" comes to mind.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
White Meadows
Thursday, November 7, 2019 10:50:02 PM
Hello all, looking forward to another fast approaching silly season.
Recent output continues to be interesting with tonight’s pub run repeating a trend for the jet diving very far south with possible north/ north easterly airflow over the UK next week & beyond 🥶
RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
Thursday, November 7, 2019 11:05:16 PM

Hello all, looking forward to another fast approaching silly season.

Originally Posted by: White Meadows 


I think it's already arrived


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
Argyle77
Friday, November 8, 2019 1:22:54 AM

Very interesting output,the thing is,we have seen this before during the Autumn then once we hit December everything reverts to type again.
Can remember a few years back,we had lots of HLB throughout the Autumn, to only disappear come Dec,never till return untill Spring,can't remember the year,but a common trend to get HLB in any other season accept Winter!

Only recent exception was nov2010 which carried on throughout Dec,can we hit the jackpot again.well the longer this pattern continue ,the greater the chance and it's been going on a fair while already.

White Meadows
Friday, November 8, 2019 6:37:56 AM


Very interesting output,the thing is,we have seen this before during the Autumn then once we hit December everything reverts to type again.
Can remember a few years back,we had lots of HLB throughout the Autumn, to only disappear come Dec,never till return untill Spring,can't remember the year,but a common trend to get HLB in any other season accept Winter!

Only recent exception was nov2010 which carried on throughout Dec,can we hit the jackpot again.well the longer this pattern continue ,the greater the chance and it's been going on a fair while already.


Originally Posted by: Argyle77 


i think it was 2016-17 which was expected to deliver the goods with blocking as we approached winter, coupled with a promising met office extended outlook. Still, the hair dryer got stuck in the on position and we ended up milder than average again.


2009 and 2010 were excellent winters here, the best in recent times. 

Shropshire
Friday, November 8, 2019 6:43:57 AM


Very interesting output,the thing is,we have seen this before during the Autumn then once we hit December everything reverts to type again.
Can remember a few years back,we had lots of HLB throughout the Autumn, to only disappear come Dec,never till return untill Spring,can't remember the year,but a common trend to get HLB in any other season accept Winter!

Only recent exception was nov2010 which carried on throughout Dec,can we hit the jackpot again.well the longer this pattern continue ,the greater the chance and it's been going on a fair while already.


Originally Posted by: Argyle77 


Yep and everything is pointing to a zonal December. As you say 2010 didn't begin until the end of the month.


 


From December 27th 2020, zonality will be banned from mixing with the UK. We appreciate that this may come as a shock to younger people and old Uncle Barty. This ban will last for a minimum of ten days.
Brian Gaze
Friday, November 8, 2019 7:22:13 AM

I'll start a new thread at 7:30am. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
Users browsing this topic
    Ads