The Weather Outlook

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The Beast from the East
12 December 2018 10:37:41

Still some hope for the Xmas period

 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Rob K
12 December 2018 10:46:16

Let's bank the GFS Parallel 0Z run for Xmas day.

 

 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Solar Cycles
12 December 2018 10:48:30

Let's bank the GFS Parallel 0Z run for Xmas day.

 

 

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Lets not....... IMBY is snowless. 😁

ballamar
12 December 2018 11:15:09

Still some hope for the Xmas period

 

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

 

If you like cold rain!!

White Meadows
12 December 2018 12:53:03

 

 

If you like cold rain!!

Originally Posted by: ballamar 

Depends on your location. 

ballamar
12 December 2018 14:58:33
Given its quiet think we will start to see signs of Siberian high influencing Europe towards the end of GFS in the next run or hoping !!
ballamar
12 December 2018 15:48:51
Potential gets blown away so easily shame

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_45_1.png 

Gooner
12 December 2018 16:24:57

very different 

 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



Gooner
12 December 2018 16:49:45

12z( GFS ) gives us something new and very acceptable 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



idj20
12 December 2018 17:00:46

12z( GFS ) gives us something new and very acceptable 

Originally Posted by: Gooner 



I'd take that. At least it'd spare me the effort of issuing loads of travel advisories associated with stormy or snowy weather on my own forecasts in the run up to Christmas.


Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
ballamar
12 December 2018 17:04:22



I'd take that. At least it'd spare me the effort of issuing loads of travel advisories associated with stormy or snowy weather on my own forecasts in the run up to Christmas.

Originally Posted by: idj20 

 

Just potentially fog !

Saint Snow
12 December 2018 17:05:57

Just potentially fog !

Originally Posted by: ballamar 

 

I love a bit of fog.


Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

idj20
12 December 2018 17:18:39

 

 

Just potentially fog !

Originally Posted by: ballamar 



Rather have that over Christmas 2013 which was wild and stormy on the day before Christmas Day AND again on Boxing Day. That was vile.


Home location: Folkestone Harbour.
Nick Gilly
12 December 2018 17:24:08
Atlantic onslaught fizzles out on latest GFS 12z run. HP fights back.
JACKO4EVER
12 December 2018 17:44:42
Fog and travel problems ahead if some of that were to verify
marco 79
12 December 2018 18:23:08
Gfs op and ECM want to pull the Azores high out by day 10....this trend is quite significant ....watch this space..maybe some changes afoot?...
Home : Mid Leicestershire ...135m ASL
marcus72
12 December 2018 18:28:46

Classic - the 12Z brings us a "warm" northerly for the 25th!  The GFS really wants us to keep getting mild air, whatever direction it has to come from! 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=12&charthour=312&chartname=mslp850&chartregion=na-region&charttag=MSLP%20850hPa%20C


Langstone, SE Hampshire
ballamar
12 December 2018 18:33:15
ECM interesting get Arctic involved
Whether Idle
12 December 2018 18:52:43

ECM interesting get Arctic involved

Originally Posted by: ballamar 

Not really, it will get shunted eastwards and will not greatly influence or affect our weather, at day 9 we are under strong SW flow and its another slice of warming pizza on the menu as the days start to lengthen.


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
ballamar
12 December 2018 18:54:45

 

Not really, it will get shunted eastwards and will not greatly influence or affect our weather, at day 9 we are under strong SW flow and its another slice of warming pizza on the menu as the days start to lengthen.

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

 

wow mentioning the day lengthen is pointless 

Whether Idle
12 December 2018 19:00:04

 

 

wow mentioning the day lengthen is pointless 

Originally Posted by: ballamar 

Why?


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
tallyho_83
12 December 2018 19:06:32

 

Why?

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

It's the shortest day and even during the blizzard early March it looked pitch black at 6pm!!


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

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Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

JACKO4EVER
12 December 2018 19:14:22
What this run does highlight is that we could get well into December- and even to New Year without much of lowland Britain not seeing anything remotely wintery. Let’s hope January delivers.
Gandalf The White
12 December 2018 19:34:29

Classic - the 12Z brings us a "warm" northerly for the 25th!  The GFS really wants us to keep getting mild air, whatever direction it has to come from! 

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=12&charthour=312&chartname=mslp850&chartregion=na-region&charttag=MSLP%20850hPa%20C

Originally Posted by: marcus72 

LOL - but of course that isn't a northerly. The air originates in mid-Atlantic.


Location: South Cambridgeshire

130 metres ASL

52.0N 0.1E



beanoir
12 December 2018 19:34:49

 

 

 

wow mentioning the day lengthen is pointless 

Originally Posted by: ballamar 

 

agreed, it’s an emotionally pointed comment with very little impact on what happens from the model output.  


Langford, Bedfordshire

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