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I'd take that. At least it'd spare me the effort of issuing loads of travel advisories associated with stormy or snowy weather on my own forecasts in the run up to Christmas.
Just potentially fog !
I love a bit of fog.
Classic - the 12Z brings us a "warm" northerly for the 25th! The GFS really wants us to keep getting mild air, whatever direction it has to come from!
https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=12&charthour=312&chartname=mslp850&chartregion=na-region&charttag=MSLP%20850hPa%20C
ECM interesting get Arctic involved
Not really, it will get shunted eastwards and will not greatly influence or affect our weather, at day 9 we are under strong SW flow and its another slice of warming pizza on the menu as the days start to lengthen.
wow mentioning the day lengthen is pointless
Why?
It's the shortest day and even during the blizzard early March it looked pitch black at 6pm!!
Classic - the 12Z brings us a "warm" northerly for the 25th! The GFS really wants us to keep getting mild air, whatever direction it has to come from! https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=12&charthour=312&chartname=mslp850&chartregion=na-region&charttag=MSLP%20850hPa%20C
LOL - but of course that isn't a northerly. The air originates in mid-Atlantic.
agreed, it’s an emotionally pointed comment with very little impact on what happens from the model output.
What this run does highlight is that we could get well into December- and even to New Year without much of lowland Britain not seeing anything remotely wintery. Let’s hope January delivers.
I would say most of lowland Britain has already had some fairly wintry weather. I'm above average for number of frosts by mid December, I would have thought.
ECM is interesting, high pressure is quite reluctant to leave the southern part of the country, and keeps fighting back. Might not be quite as unsettled as I was fearing.
"Kiss my shiny metal butt" as someone once said.
In all seriousness, it is a statement of fact. Are you arguing that the days don't lengthen after 21 December in Britain?
21 December is the winter solstice.
Here is a link so you can learn more about it
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_solstice
A chilly few days then unsettled (maybe some transient northern snow) and then unsettled and possibly uncertain.
Agreed. Hopefully the unsettled conditions will cease in time for Christmas.
I'm sure most of us would welcome a mild and benign Christmas and New Year. Its so much easier to get about, see the family and get out for nice walks during the holiday break