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Still some hope for the Xmas period
"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President
Let's bank the GFS Parallel 0Z run for Xmas day.
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Originally Posted by: Rob K
Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East
If you like cold rain!!
Originally Posted by: ballamar
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_45_1.png
very different
Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L
12z( GFS ) gives us something new and very acceptable
Originally Posted by: Gooner
I'd take that. At least it'd spare me the effort of issuing loads of travel advisories associated with stormy or snowy weather on my own forecasts in the run up to Christmas.
Originally Posted by: idj20
Just potentially fog !
I love a bit of fog.
Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Classic - the 12Z brings us a "warm" northerly for the 25th! The GFS really wants us to keep getting mild air, whatever direction it has to come from!
https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/gfs.aspx?run=12&charthour=312&chartname=mslp850&chartregion=na-region&charttag=MSLP%20850hPa%20C
ECM interesting get Arctic involved
Not really, it will get shunted eastwards and will not greatly influence or affect our weather, at day 9 we are under strong SW flow and its another slice of warming pizza on the menu as the days start to lengthen.
Originally Posted by: Whether Idle
wow mentioning the day lengthen is pointless
Why?
It's the shortest day and even during the blizzard early March it looked pitch black at 6pm!!
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com
Originally Posted by: marcus72
LOL - but of course that isn't a northerly. The air originates in mid-Atlantic.
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E
agreed, it’s an emotionally pointed comment with very little impact on what happens from the model output.