Yes that 06z GFS op run does offer some easterlyness. Overall the ensemble suite continues the theme from earlier runs with next weekend being chilly and then a return to more average conditions for the time of the year. Before that it looks like the mostly above average temperatures will continue for a few days.

The ensemble suite of the 06z shows the options very nicely, the first chart is for Aberdeen the latter one for London:

http://www.meteociel.com/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=57.2&lon=-2.3 

http://www.meteociel.com/cartes_obs/gens_display.php?ext=1&lat=51.5085&lon=-0.12574&ville=Londres 

Liverpool gets 12 snow rows for next Saturday, Newcastle 16 (plus 11 the following day)

Check out the ECM 12Z - better than GFS if you want an early start to winter:

http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php

I know these charts look great but we really need to see these sort of patterns persist as we head into next month. What we don’t want is the PV forming over its favourite locale as I feel we could well miss the boat with us being in a transitional stage of the QBO, once it enters its West based phase its game over more or less going of previous analogues if it’s a cold blocked pattern you wish to see.

A fairly typical early cold snap for the North next weekend by the looks of it. The usual "if only it were January" cliche caveats apply of course

Still after the glorious Autumn so far it will be of interest as a new pattern comes in.

It's almost as if you took a look at my post over on the other forum :P

Your thoughts pretty much echo mine 100%

Before then things seem rather benign with anticyclonic conditions prevailing and some pleasant mostly mild albeit a bit nondescript weather for many.

Pretty much my view. It is the type of northerly I'd not be getting excited about even if it were January.

Neither would I in either of your locations.  

Interestingly the Radio 4 news bulletin at 11pm even mentioned the risk of sleet or snow up here by the end of the coming week. I’m not sure it’s newsworthy. 

Either way the Arctic northerly is still shown on the 18z GFS http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU18_117_1.png

It must be near winter though to be getting the posts about where a moderately cold northerly is not intetesting in the areas it doesn’t really affect 

We can do very well from northerlies under the right conditions in winter. I know my northerlies. 

You can do, but Essex is somewhat less prone and really not in the firing line at this stage . Up here we can do well in most decent northerlies. This one does not quite have what it takes for your more temperate location in October. It does look chilly though generally. As Neil summarises nicely it is interesting weather (rather than extreme) http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU18_141_1.png. 

Tonight's ECM regarding snowfall potential to day 10:

Good for your location if you like that sort of thing. However, for those of us who have more 'extreme' tastes (i.e, probably just me ) it is just a continuation of the current very boring spell with an added northerly twist. 

Interesting easterly flow modelled in the medium range this morning.

This one has caught me by surprise slightly.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/ECMOPEU00_192_1.png

some support from GFS too. 

For some reason, the Polar Vortex has not propagated down the troposphere yet, hence its disorganised state allowing blocking at high latitudes.

Why that should be the case this year and whether it will change are key questions for our winter going forward. According to some, the global teleconnections (QBO in westerly phase, growing El Nino etc) should cause the PV to power up in its usual location, meaning a mild wet winter in western Europe.

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_171_1.png 

Cold day next Saturday - chance of snow over Wales too and maybe a soft hail shower or sleety shower over Exmoor?

#London #snowrow expected to reach 6 on the midday probability forecast update. The highest yet! https://t.co/bO5dJrQpxg pic.twitter.com/qJfT5rfDaK

— TheWeatherOutlook (@TWOweather) October 22, 2018

2 weekends ago I was walking through 2 feet of water. This weekend we had 2 days of drizzle so I'm getting excited!

Heavy snow for London this Saturday

(dusts off the Emojis)

CAnt believe i typing this - its not even halloween yet?!!

Ok, no crazy cold, but enough for snow in places....

but....again....

Its not even Halloween yet.

Another GFS run that ends with a very disorganized Polar Vortex and some crazy blocking. We've seen this before in November and its lead to nothing but perhaps this year is different as we've basically been in a blocked pattern since February. 

Yes amazing run and not out of the question similar to 2008.

To me GFS 12z looks like it's trying to set up quite a prolonged cold spell (outside of a few interruptions)