Fact of the day men say they are 90% confident when trying to assert a fact they are guessing at to cover themselves !!
I make and never had made any effort to cover myself. I just read it as I see it and I didn't pluck 90% out of the air. I looked at all the charts from ECM/UKMO/GFS over the last 7 days and approximately 90% of these have shown a UK/MLB.
It's not rocket science it's just statistics.
I've never amended winter or summer LRFs and I don't hide or shy away from people when my thoughts go wrong. That's why I don't overreact to people having a go at me. I reap what I sow and if I'm wrong I'm happy for people to knock me down and ridicule me. But likewise when I am right it's nice to receive recognition for that as certain people did last year during the December from hell when I called a record breaking mild December and predicted exceptional warmth about 3 weeks before the month had started.
David Porter was particularly kind to me but I accept the criticism from him now likewise.
We are all enthusiastic amateurs and my brain is not a £97 million super computer.
Edited by user
13 January 2017 17:32:28
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Reason: Not specified
Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL