Thundery rain today and tomorrow

[Updated 07:20 24/06/2019]

Lightning strikes

Thunderstorms and heavy rain are expected to affect much of the UK during the next 36 hours. There will be spells of warm and humid sunshine too. By Wednesday showers become more scattered. The heat builds through the second half of the week with he highest temperatures on Friday or Saturday.

Monday starts with a band of heavy rain in central Scotland and thunderstorms in northern England. Elsewhere it is dry. Through the day thundery rain continues in central and northern Scotland. Other areas have sunny spells but thundery downpours are expected to break out widely in the south and move northwards. They could lead to localised flash flooding.

Temperatures range from 14C (57F) in Scotland to 28C (82F) in central and eastern England. See the rain and lightning radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

DWD ICON, temperatures, 16:00 BST Mon 24th June

Tonight the rain in the northern half of the UK gradually fades way. In the south thundery downpours develop and they affect much of England and Wales by the end of the night. East Anglia and the far south eastern corner possibly remain drier.


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Monthly forecast

Buzz

Summer forecast Issued 01/06/2019


Tomorrow thundery rain moves into northern England before clearing away northeastwards in the afternoon. Scattered showers are likely elsewhere. Warm sunny spells develop in the south and east.

Arpege forecast chart 2

Meteo France Arpege, rain, 16:00 BST Tue 25th June

Temperatures rising

Wednesday brings variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells to much of the country. Further isolated showers are possible across the southern half of the UK but most places should stay dry. The highest temperatures will be in the south and west.

During the second half of the week it warms up further as winds turn into more of a southeasterly direction. Temperatures in southern and central areas may pip 30C (86F) but in eastern coastal counties it remains cooler. There is a risk of thundery rain in the north and west. 

Through the weekend cooler air is forecast to gradually spread eastwards across the whole of the country. That could lead to showers becoming more widespread for a time. Ahead of it there will be further very warm or hot spells of sunshine. The cooler and fresher weather continues in early July.

GFS forecast 850hPa temperatures

GFS 850hPa temperatures, 16:00 BST Sat 29th June

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16 day GEFS ensembles at a glance

A trend towards drier conditions is shown in the short term. Around the 20th June the risk of it turning wetter increases again. Temperatures fluctuate but in the south it could become warm or very warm for a time. View latest GEFS.

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