Snow risk in places later this week

[Updated 07:05 10/12/2018]

Wintry scene

Forecast details for the week ahead are uncertain due to the UK being close to the battleground between a cold continental air mass and a milder Atlantic one. Recent computer models runs have tipped the balance back towards colder conditions and there is the possibility of some sleet or snow on Thursday and Friday. By the weekend it begins to turn milder.

Monday starts with a few showers in the west but it is mainly dry and there has been a frost in parts of the north. Through the rest of the day it stays dry in most of Britain. There will be sunny spells but cloud steadily builds in western and central areas. During the afternoon patchy outbreaks of rain spread into Northern Ireland.

Temperatures range from 4C (39F) in Scotland to 10C (50F) in the south. See the rain radar for the latest view.

Arpege forecast chart 1

Meteo France Arpege, forecast cloud cover, 13:00 GMT Mon 10th December

Tonight clear spells in the east lead to a frost. Elsewhere cloudier skies could bring some light rain or drizzle.

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Winter 2018/19 forecast [Issued 01/12/2018]


Tomorrow the east will be dry and cold with bright spells. In central and western areas temperatures will be a little higher but thicker cloud continues to bring the risk of drizzle. Late in the day more persistent rain spreads into Northern Ireland.

Arpege forecast chart 2

Meteo France Arpege, forecast temperatures, 14:00 GMT Tue 11th December

Cold during the middle of the week

There has been a good deal of uncertainty about the weather prospects for the middle of the week and beyond. The UK will be near to the boundary between a cold continental air mass and a milder Atlantic one. During the last 24 hours the balance has tipped back slightly towards the colder air mass winning out for a time but things could change again.

On Wednesday showery outbreaks of rain push eastwards and fade away. Over high ground in the north they could turn to snow. It will generally be cold, although temperatures in Northern Ireland and south western England remain close to the mid December average.

During Thursday and Friday outbreaks of rain steadily push eastwards and possibly turn to sleet or snow on their leading edge. At this stage there is a lot of uncertainty about how far east they reach and how quickly they decay. 

By the weekend more active disturbances probably to move in from the Atlantic and push across all areas. They bring wet and windy weather but it also turns milder.

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GFS pressure and precipitation type

GFS pressure and precipitation type, 12:00 GMT Thu 13th December

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Snow risk later this week


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