WX temps with a more optimistic display this morning. Week 1, 'springlike' over continental W Europe, fringing into S Britain, cool weather spreading S-wards only as near as W Russia. In week 2, much warmer weather spreading in from the SE as far as Germany though not by then near enough to raise temps in Britain. Rain in week 1 for W Britain and France, very dry for Scandinavia and S Spain. In week 2, rain widespread over continental W Europe, becoming less noticeable towards N Scotland.
GFS Op - current HP off to the Baltic by Sun 12th; at first pressure drops slowly and generally over Britain but by Tue 14th a definite depression develops 990mb Cornwall. This circulates around (mostly western) Britain, progressively filling but still identifiable until Tue 21st when it gets sucked into an LP which has suddenly developed over Norway. After some days with an indeterminate pressure pattern, HP appears as a ridge from the SW Fri 24th, steadily extending NE-wards but with lower pressure over the continent bringing E-lies to S Britain.
ECM - similar to GFS as far as it has downloaded ATM (to Fri 17th); yesterday's 12z differs after that as HP continues to dominate Scandinavia and links to HP from the SW, while the LP which has been cruising around Britain just drifts S-wards into the continent.
GEFS - Rain and a drop in temp 12th/13th Sun/Mon arriving first in the west and spreading everywhere. Temps continue near norm with only a gradual spread in ens members, rain in most places at many times, heaviest and most persistent in SW, light and patchy in far NE.
Weekend reviews may be either brief or absent as I'm involved in organising a major orienteering event.
Edited by user
10 May 2024 06:43:39
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Reason: Not specified
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl