IBM are forecasting 18 degrees and sunshine for Friday next week for me. First time I’ve seen anything resembling it this spring. 

also hardly any rain in my forecast for the foreseeable.

Thank goodness for that. We've already had way more than enough here already in recent weeks, as have so many areas. That said, things have been a bit drier in my area for the most part since mid-month.

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I see GFS is at it again this morning. 3C at 1PM tomorrow at the wolf centre near Reading... yeah, right!

We saw this in the winter, of course, and temperatures were inevitably several degrees warmer come the time.

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/been.jpg 


 

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I see GFS is at it again this morning. 3C at 1PM tomorrow at the wolf centre near Reading... yeah, right!

We saw this in the winter, of course, and temperatures were inevitably several degrees warmer come the time.

https://ukwct.org.uk/weather/been.jpg 

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

 

More like an idiot wrong temperature so won’t happen at all as this weekend finally slowly warming up to mid to high teens by early week.  11C tomorrow so Reading should be 13C not 3C.

Euro cooling continues this morning…
Still shockingly below average temps for the time of year. Only one instance of 15 degrees in this mornings 2m temp suite for my location on the south coast. 

This is MID MAY. To be honest I can’t remember a year like that. 

I’m now seriously writing off May seeing 20 degrees or at least until the end of the month. 
Anyone would think there’s been some type of global volcanic event. 

 

Good to see the cold anomalies disappearing over the coming week on the GFS op run.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp4

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

 

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Good to see the cold anomalies disappearing over the coming week on the GFS op run.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/temp4

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

 

Spain is the coldest spot after north Russia which is very wrong to happen after they had warm to hot end of winter over Spain.   At least the charts are correcting to adhere the season called Spring mean should be warming up phrase not other way around and the date today is 27th April not 27th October.

WX temps looking like yesterday though a little less optimistic. Week 1, W Europe still cool though something a little warmer approaching from Poland. In week 2 continental Europe generally looking mild and springlike, though not making it across the Channel. Quite a temp gradient from S to N Britain, and similar on the other side of the N Sea with Scotland and S Norway if anything cooler than at present. Rain in week 1 for S Britain, France and on across the Alps; in week 2 for S Britain and France. Dry in various parts of E Europe in both weeks.

GFS Op - current area of LP, not particularly deep, circulating around (mainly W) Britain until Thu 2nd when it moves S-wards to Biscay. Pressure rises but with no real centre near Britain before new LP approaches the SW 1000mb Thu 9th moving SE-wards into France by Sun 12th with some warmer E/SE-lies for Britain albeit with some embedded troughs for the S.

ECM - differs from GFS after Sat 4th when the LP moves from Biscay to Germany, generating E-lies at first but then a more definite pressure rise, 1025mb covering Britain Tue 7th.

GEFS - temps moving from a little below norm to a little above by Wed 1st and staying there though with ens members disagreeing increasingly after Sat 4th. By Mon 13th there is a range of 20C between warmest and coldest! (op run becomes notably cold in Scotland)  Rain for this weekend esp in England, some in many places probable around Fri 3rd, small amounts intermittently in many runs at other times, always wetter in the west.

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Spain is the coldest spot after north Russia which is very wrong to happen after they had warm to hot end of winter over Spain.   At least the charts are correcting to adhere the season called Spring mean should be warming up phrase not other way around and the date today is 27th April not 27th October.

A modelled persistent Low is responsible for that cool weather in Spain. I suspect when it shifts there will be a rapid rise in temperature (as shown on the ECM 00z op run)

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Euro cooling continues this morning…
Still shockingly below average temps for the time of year. Only one instance of 15 degrees in this mornings 2m temp suite for my location on the south coast. 

This is MID MAY. To be honest I can’t remember a year like that. 
 

A longer memory helps - there were a number of years in the late 60s/early 70s when temps at least in NW England didn't reach 20C until well into June, including but not limited to the county cricket match snowed off at Buxton June 2nd 1975.

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In 1979 England had snow falling somewhere every day during the first week of May.
There have been many far worse periods of cold and wet but the longer it goes on the more dramatic is the sudden change that inevitably follows.
https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2016/04/27/snow-in-late-april-more-common-than-you-may-think/ 

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Euro cooling continues this morning…
Still shockingly below average temps for the time of year. Only one instance of 15 degrees in this mornings 2m temp suite for my location on the south coast. 

This is MID MAY. To be honest I can’t remember a year like that. 

I’m now seriously writing off May seeing 20 degrees or at least until the end of the month. 
Anyone would think there’s been some type of global volcanic event. 

 

It all looks pretty average and typical for the time of year to me. 

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Last April snow was 2008 here. 16 year break from such cold for April but that was a short lived affair much as the other highlighted events.
What we’re experiencing now is a prolonged cool and wet period meaning spring just has not sprung. 

A longer memory helps - there were a number of years in the late 60s/early 70s when temps at least in NW England didn't reach 20C until well into June, including but not limited to the county cricket match snowed off at Buxton June 2nd 1975.

Don't need to have a long memory when you have weather records. The relentless cold, bleak and unsettled rubbish we are enduring this year was absolutely not typical during the 60s or 70s. 

The highest temperature here in the second half of April has been 12C and there has been one dry day. Going back to 1961 only 1973, 1983 and 2012 had a comparable lack of warmth during the second half of April and none were as unsettled.

1969 was the only year of the 60s to have a second half of April as cold as this and the main difference is that it followed on from an exceptionally cold and snowy February so we weren't still getting the same temperatures for three months solid. Also the cold weather back then was not as hideous as this as evidenced from it actually being possible to get frost,  something that has not happened this month due to the relentless cloud/wind/rain.

Only two years in the 1970s (1972 and 1974) at Dyce failed to reach 20C by June whereas currently we are on a run of three years where that has not happened and wouldn't be surprised if this is a fourth. Even in the colder 1960s there were only four years the entire decade that 20C was not reached by June (1961, 1962, 1963, 1968). 1980-82 all reached 20C in May so the 19 year period 1964-82 only had three years in total that 20C was not reached by end of May compared to 10 since 2005 i.e. the majority.

A truly awful time to be alive 👎

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