BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Becoming milder. Less unsettled in early March

Saturday 24 February to – Sunday 3 March
Becoming milder but changeable

Monday 4 March to – Sunday 10 March
Unsettled with above-average temperatures

Monday 11 March to – Sunday 24 March
Possibly turning colder after mid-month

Further ahead
In the next update on Wednesday, we will see if we can confirm the milder one or two weeks that we are expecting, and if there are any more signs of a colder spell later in March.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Ground speed record for a passenger jet broken = 853mph with the aid of a 264 mph jet stream
https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/av/68385942 

(you probably know the introductory elementary meteorology - it gets more interesting at about 50 seconds in)

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BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Chilly early March then warmer until late month

Wednesday 27 March to – Sunday 3 March
Unsettled and turning chillier

Sunday 3 March to – Sunday 10 March
Becoming milder and drier

Monday 11 March to – Sunday 24 March
Possibly turning colder after mid-month

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

It's a relief to see that the weather is forecast to trend drier in March

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BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Milder for a week or two. Maybe colder late March

Saturday 2 March to – Sunday 10 March
Becoming milder and drier

Monday 11 March to – Sunday 17 March
Wetter and windier in the south than the north

Monday 18 March to – Sunday 31 March
Rather uncertain but possibly turning colder

Further ahead
In the next update on Wednesday, we will see if the longer-range models remain consistent in suggesting a downturn in temperatures later in March, and whether they are looking any colder.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

MetO provisional stats for February and winter as a whole
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2024/february-2024-warm-and-wet-for-the-uk 
 

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MetO provisional stats for February and winter as a whole
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2024/february-2024-warm-and-wet-for-the-uk 
 

No surprise that the trend is warmer and wetter over the winter months. For much of my life February has tended to be a dry month, often with an easterly outbreak giving some chilly weather. In recent years it has changed drastically with far more Atlantic influence. Not great that sunshine levels are dropping even further than we already have to put up with.

I'm not really noticing the drier summers that they mention. Okay we've had a few dry and very hot spells but we seem to get frequent rain in most summers too. 

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BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Some chilly spells but mostly milder than normal

Tuesday 5 March to – Sunday 10 March
Drier until the weekend

Monday 11 March to – Sunday 17 March
A couple of chillier days. A few showers

Monday 18 March to – Sunday 31 March
Possibly turning colder later in March

Further ahead
In the next update on Friday, we will see if models continue to show chillier possibilities in late March and we will take a peek into early April.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

I don't recall there being so many BBC News Weather repeats… suppose a reflection of frequency, but used to be unusual to see same broadcast but now all morning can be same one or just missed all together

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BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Changeable and mild then chillier later

Saturday 9 March to – Sunday 17 March
Unsettled but becoming milder

Monday 18 March to – Sunday 24 March
Risk of turning colder

Monday 25 March to – Sunday 7 April
Could we see a colder spell?

Further ahead
Are there any more signals for a colder spell over Easter at the end of this month?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

The Met Office site has an option to use an alternative data set for the forecasts it is unclear what they are doing.
However the differences are significant at the moment it looks much better here with trial turned on 😄
- so you can select the forecast if not the actual weather according to your preferences.

I'd suggest turn it on using alternative browser as it is only cookie based e.g chrome and firefox then you can compare.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/website/enhanced-forecast-weather-data-trial 

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The Met Office site has an option to use an alternative data set for the forecasts it is unclear what they are doing.

You can swap data sets on TWO hourly forecasts to use UKV or Arpege, e.g.

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twoforecasts/hourly-weather-forecast.aspx?loc=berkhamsted 

 

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BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary
Unsettled and chilly then milder for a week or so

Saturday 23 March to – Sunday 31 March
Changeable and chilly for a while

Monday 1 April to – Sunday 7 April
Mild. Drier in the north than the south

Monday 8 April to – Sunday 21 April
A chance of a chillier spell, but very uncertain

Further ahead
In the next update on Wednesday, we will see if the longer range models pick up on any colder risks before mid-April.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

I've just found this  X (formerly Twitter) feed from BBC Weather which emphasises just how wet this month has been here in Edinburgh so far as I have posted on this month's precipitation thread in particular.

As a result, I've been doing some research to find out whether or not we could be on course for our wettest April on record here in Edinburgh.

According to this  article, the actual record is 147.0 mm although there is no information there about when that record was set or which station it was set at.

At the moment, we're well short of that but since we're not even halfway through the month, that record would be smashed if the rainfall totals continue to pile up during the rest of this month by as much as they have been doing up until now.

The article suggests that even with just a few more really wet days, that record could well end up being challenged.

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Met Office

”Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Largely settled for the outlook with some sunny spells. Otherwise mostly cloudy with occasional showers, particularly towards the end of the week.”

so which is it?

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Exact date Arctic vortex brings monster gales and plunges temperatures by 15C
Temperatures will plummet by more than 15C in the space of three days, and so the balmy weekend will appear a distant memory by midweek when northerly winds will hit.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/uk-weather-exact-date-artctic-32647723 

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