Two weather systems have emerged, he showed a tangle of small fronts over the west of Scotland and they've interacted with each other, pulling a wedge of milder air across southern Scotland.

Still cold and snowy to the north and relatively cold, although snow turning to rain for Northern England

As I predicted this morning, everything is fizzling over Scotland and pulling away east. It's now raining here at 3.5 C 🤢

Summary

Turning mild for a while. Colder by mid-February

Wednesday 17 January to – Sunday 21 January

Turning milder at the weekend

Monday 22 January to – Sunday 28 January

Unsettled but mild

Monday 29 January to – Sunday 11 February

Possibly colder by mid-February

Further ahead

The next forecast update will take us further into February, and we will also see if models give more of a clue about the potential for colder weather to return during February.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

"The ‘freeze of the century’ is here to stay in the UK"

https://metro.co.uk/2024/01/15/snow-london-weather-uk-met-office-forecast-latest-20106647/?ito=socialmetrouktwitter 

"Double fisted" ? 

Summary

Mild and unsettled then colder in February

Saturday 20 January to – Sunday 28 January

Much milder but unsettled

Monday 29 January to – Sunday 4 February

Drier in many areas but a bit chillier

Monday 5 February to – Sunday 18 February

Possibly turning colder again in February

Further ahead

Is there any more certainty regarding the change to a possible colder period as we head through February?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Summary

Mild and unsettled. Possibly colder mid-February

Wednesday 24 January to – Sunday 28 January

Unsettled but mild

Monday 29 January to – Sunday 4 February

Drier, with temperatures mostly above average

Monday 5 February to – Sunday 18 February

Possibly colder by mid-February

Further ahead

In the next forecast update, we will see if the models have any stronger indication of a colder turn by mid-February, and we will take a look at the prospects for the end of the month.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Their extended forecast currently includes:

"Later in the month there is an increasing likelihood of winds from the north or east, which will increase the chance of some colder spells and perhaps snow."

Summary

Mild and unsettled. Possibly colder later February

Saturday 27 January to – Sunday 4 February

Changeable but mild until later

Monday 5 February to – Sunday 11 February

Mostly milder than average and unsettled

Monday 12 February to – Sunday 25 February

Possibly turning colder mid to late February

Further ahead

We will again try to pick apart the indicators for mid to late February in the next update and see if colder weather is still looking possible.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Summary

Mild and unsettled, then colder mid-February

Wednesday 31 January to – Sunday 4 February

Changeable but generally mild

Monday 5 February to – Sunday 11 February

Milder than average for most but staying unsettled

Monday 12 February to – Monday 25 March

Possibly turning colder than average mid-February

Further ahead

With models tending to hint more at the possibility of colder weather for mid-to-late February, let's see the atmospheric drivers are still looking favourable for such conditions to develop.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Summary

A change to colder conditions is coming

Saturday 3 February to – Sunday 11 February

Turning chillier by the end of the coming week

Monday 12 February to – Sunday 18 February

Mostly likely near or colder than average

Monday 19 February to – Sunday 3 March

Colder than normal

Further ahead

We will see in the next update on Wednesday if the models and other indicators continue to depict the colder turn of events from mid-February into the second half of the month.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

https://news.stv.tv/scotland/sean-batty-were-heading-for-our-second-cold-snap-of-the-season-with-snow-and-very-low-temperatures-on-the-way 

A good article there by Sean and highlights the two key messages getting colder but very difficult to forecast the specifics due to the nature of the synoptics.

America can therefore expect an early spring.

Mild start

Wet and windy at times

Gradually turning colder

Some snow possible

https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m001w2t7 

“Exact time London will be pelted with 63 hours of rain before ‘wall of snow’”

🫤

Summary

Becoming colder with wintry precipitation at times

Wednesday 7 February to – Sunday 11 February

Unsettled with some snow in the north.

Monday 12 February to – Sunday 18 February

A bit colder than average. Some wintry showers.

Monday 19 February to – Saturday 2 March

Colder than normal.

Further ahead

On Friday, the next update will take a look further into March and might give us some idea if we will see a change to milder and unsettled conditions as we move further into March. And that is assuming that the new models continue with the colder theme until then.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 

Matt Taylor

BBC Weather

Today was always going to be a fine balance between rain and potentially very heavy snowfall in some areas.

I mentioned earlier that the intensity of the precipitation could be crucial. We are now seeing the intensity pick up in north Wales and the north-west Midlands. This is turning more of what was falling as rain to snow.

As that higher intensity area moves north, snowfall will become heavier on the hills of north Wales, the Peak District and Pennines over the coming hours, before turning back to rain. It could also mean some lower lying areas will see a bit more snow, mixed in with the rain, at times.

Even ahead of that, we are now seeing the forecast snow start to arrive more widely on the north Pennines and Northern Ireland.

The Met Office yellow warning for snow in southern Scotland now has an earlier start time of midday, indicating that things are progressing a little quicker than expected earlier.